05 August 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Zombie-nomics and Corporate Welfare - Gettin' Paid


There was intraday commentary here about a large number of ounces of gold taken in delivery yesterday, and JP Morgan's heroic attempt to fill the gap between paper and physical bullion at the last minute.

And yet these numbers are barely rounding errors compared to the global physical markets centered in Europe, the Mideast and Asia.  That is what seems so insane about this 'pricing discovery.'

The US financial system looks like an accident waiting to happen--  again

We bailed out the perpetrators who crashed the financial system, quickly made them even larger, and then stood by while they continued to commit serial financial frauds and  market manipulation, politely referred to as 'rigging,' in most of the global markets. 

See: Citigroup's Unchecked Crime Wave

How nuts is that?  How would you explain the reason for something like this?

Eric Hunsader of Nanex says that he can now prove that the US exchanges favor one class of trader over the others.  Why would the stock market be any different than all the other arrangments we see in our crony capitalist society amongst the pigmen.

Speaking of favoring a special class, want to end a corporate welfare tax loophole and subsidies that would save the US billions and help rebuild the national infrastructure?  Read this.

Have a pleasant evening.


Time for a demagogue break?  Too bad this time we do not have a chance for a 'New Deal.' 




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Breakout Attempt Fails


Stocks made an heroic attempt to break out this morning.

VIX plummeted to below 11.

And yet it failed in the afternoon.

This market looks tired, and very, very fully priced.

Have a pleasant evening.


 
 
 

JP Morgan Saves the Day With a 275,000 Ounce Gold Fill On the Comex


When I saw the CME gold report from yesterday I was a little surprised to see that over 300,000 ounces of gold in futures contracts were stopped, or taken for delivery, so far in August.  And there was a total request for 282,000 ounces just yesterday.

Since there were only 362,000 ounces offered, I was wondering how they would manage this.  Claims to deliverable ounces were still running over 120:1.
 
And just for grins, where were the biggest requests for gold coming from?  None other than the house accounts of Goldman and HSBC.  What's up with that?

Have no fear, JP Morgan stepped up and moved 276,000 ounces into the 'deliverable' category as show in the second chart. 
 
And they filled 275,000 ounces of that futures delivery request out of their 'house account' as shown in the first.
 
Just in the nick of time!
 
The dirty little secret is that this market is a tiny tail wagging an elephant of global physical demand.   And the tail waggers seem to be slowly, but surely, losing their grip.
 


04 August 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Meh

 
Gold and silver were drifting higher most of the day.
 
Dennis Lockhart of the Atlanta Fed felt the urge to declare that barring the wheels falling off the economy, he was inclined to raise rates at the September meeting.
 
That sounds familiar.  Oh, this is what I have been saying for most of the year.
 
Wow, what a revelation.
 
Traders in stocks and short term rates, and their associated algos, bounced their pricing to generate some activity, and more 'vig' for the HFT programs and the brokers.
 
Other than that this was a nothing day. 
 
The most important development I am watching, besides the stagnant economy and the kabuki theater of the Fed-centered propeller heads, is the decline in AAPL.
 
This is a danger, very narrow market that has been driven to an extreme based on a handful of 'new era stocks.'
 
Where have we seen this scenario before?
 
Nothing much happened in The Bucket Shop
 
Someone at Scotia decided to move 10,000 ounces from eligible to deliverable which will give the guys who track these things breathlessly the change to recalculate that 124:1 ratio of paper to bullion a bit lower.
 
I'll keep an eye on it, but it does not matter much if it is 116:1, or 120:1, or even 130:1.   If you don't have it, you don't have it.  And so they go to plan B, the artful dodge, which they have been hitting like a crack pipe in the VIP room at a 10th avenue 'nightclub' on a Friday night.
 
Have a pleasant evening.