27 August 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Bottom Watching - Icahn Buys Stake In Miner Freeport-McMoran


Gold took a gratuitous little hit on the NY open/London PM fix this morning. It was held down most of the day.

Silver managed to perk up nicely though, regaining the midpoint to the 15 handle. Next month will be more active for silver, and not so for gold.

Lets see if sparky can carry the day.

Not much ever happens at The Bucket Shop these days, so when Goldman takes 44,200 gold ounces for its house account as they did yesterday it is at least worth of note intraday which you can read about here.

I know, it's not that great, but it's something.  We're hard up for any real action here, except for the daily dump of paper to knock the prices lower in the AM with a slight recovery into the PM and then higher prices overnight.  Rinse and repeat the next day.

Chart formations for the precious metals have not meant much for, oh I don't know, about a year or so now.   Its just a steady knockabout lower, tap tap tap.

It may be dissipating.   Way to early to say.  But let's watch the chance for a rounding bottom here.  No charge for looking.  And after all, Summer is almost over.

Have a pleasant evening.


Related:   Carl Icahn Takes 8.5% Stake In Miner Freeport-McMoran








Check out those 1960's outfits and hairstyles. And that frilly blue cap?  Ouch!


SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Walking the Dog


The revision to 2Q GDP came in higher than expected this morning.

Even more importantly, stocks did not fall out of bed overnight, so that gave the Streeters an opportunity to 'walk the dog' back up to less threatening levels after the decline on Monday got out of hand, compliments of the HFT algos.

Both of the futures I follow, the SP 500 and the NDX, have achieved a fifty percent retracement of the big decline. I have marked it on the charts.

Lets see if the dog walkers can keep the pooches in line for the close into the weekend tomorrow.

I know at least two aficionados of this pooch parade, Jan and Stan, who would like to see stocks recover in time for their big rate soiree in September.   Cannot have a paper with the dog messing the rugs.

They might well put down some heavy paper, and then go for it.  They may not get a better chance this year.

Have a pleasant evening.








Michael Hudson: Killing the Host, With Reckless Disregard


"In Killing the Host, economist Michael Hudson exposes how finance, insurance, and real estate, also known as the FIRE sector, have seized control of the global economy at the expense of industrial capitalism and governments. The FIRE sector is responsible for today’s extreme economic polarization, the 1% vs. the 99%, via favored tax status that inflates real estate prices while deflating the “real” economy of labor and production.

Hudson shows in vivid detail how the Great 2008 Bailout saved the banks but not the economy, and plunged the U.S., Irish, Latvian and Greek economies into debt deflation and austerity. Killing the Host describes how the phenomenon of debt deflation imposes punishing austerity on the U.S. and European economies, siphoning wealth and income upward to the financial sector while impoverishing the middle class."

I have not yet read Michael Hudson's soon to be released book Killing the Host.   However we do have some highlights of his thoughts coming out of his existing body of thought which I have followed, and also in this recent interview with Democracy Now which is included below.

I cannot agree completely with Mike Hudson's take on China in this interview.   No surprise, since we are two different people with different viewpoints and perspectives.  I think we also are from different economic schools of thought.  However I see much merit in most of what he is saying.

There was and is still a very dangerous speculative bubble and misallocation of capital that has been going on in China, that is often due to mismanagement, regulatory weakness, a surfeit of easy money, speculative fervor, and flat out corruption.   While China is working to correct many of those problems, their outlook is not all sunshine and rainbows.

And I would not say that they were just 'defending themselves' by building up enormous currency reserves that just happened to come there way.  I have not gone into this recently, but China took some very aggressive policy moves, including devaluing their currency against the dollar and then controlling it, and spread quite a bit of money in the right circles with regard to trade policy around Washington, to enable a mercantilist system in which they were able to build up their economy to some degree at the expense of the American middle class.  Although vast fortunes were also made by some of their all too willing partners in the West as well as their own emerging class of oligarchs.

But putting that aside, the outsized financial sector in the US, which was also enabled by a big money campaign for deregulation in Washington, marked by the overturn of Glass-Steagall, has certainly spawned a significant systemic problem of corruption and malinvestment, inequality reinforced by policy, and an eroding of democracy itself.

Until steps are taken to correct this, there will be no sustainable recovery.  People are fed up, and angry, and reaching for solutions some of which appear to be some rather poor choices made in extremis.   

And as for the wealthy, dumb, and distracted classes, busily keeping themselves out of any meaningful discussion with the amusing distractions of the triviata of their professions, while occasionally taking a fat stipend for spewing nonsense while nursing a steady share of the vig, the consequences of all this are going to roll over them like a tsunami at midnight.

And once again, 'who could have seen it coming.'

Related:  Of Bubbles and Busts:  Which Way For China (Oct 2009)



JPM Customer Delivers 500 Gold Contracts of Bullion, Goldman Takes Most For the House


It is not possible to interpret the action fully from this report below.  Let me stipulate that up front.

It seems that a 'customer' trading with JPM has allowed 500 of their August gold receipts to be taken for 'delivery.' And most of them, 442 to be exact, were picked up by Goldman Sachs for their 'House' account.

In and of itself this may not be so significant. For example, we do not know who the 'customer' at JPM might be, or why they might have been selling their bullion receipts. Perhaps they were just raising some cash to cover stock losses.

And we do not know why Goldman picked up receipts for 44,200 ounces of gold at $1124. And what exactly this 'house account' might be.

Goldman has been stopping, or taking deliveries, for their House account pretty steadily this month.

Don't be too impressed by the words, because a 'delivery' just means paper receipts change hands.  Most of the time nothing really happens to the bullion, at least in The Bucket Shop.  It just gets shoved around the plate.  Up for delivery, back to storage, rinse and repeat.

I do like to keep track of how many receipts are marked 'deliverable' or offered for sale at the prevailing price, compared to the potential number of claims, or active contracts.

This is how it is for gold.   Silver, not so much.

CNT seems to be using the Comex for an actual sale and delivery and withdrawal mechanism for their actual business of obtaining a supply of bullion for their wholesale customers.

What an odd thing to do, actually transact deals between people who will take and use what they sell.  Well, they are an oversized coin shop, so you will have to excuse them.

And as the pit slugs will be quick to point out, we do not know exactly what this transaction on this report 'means.'  That is in the nature of these markets and their reports.  It could have been this, it could have been that.   Don't stand too close to the table kid.

I just thought it was interesting, and wanted to make a note of it for future reference.   I am curious to see how things in the warehouse reports set up for the big month of December.

And besides, it's nice to watch someone busy doing God's work.