06 May 2016

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Turning That Economic Frown Upside Down


The commentary on the financial television channels today was just too funny.

Have a pleasant weekend.








05 May 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - A Delivery in Gold - Payrolls Tomorrow


"So the rich man said, ‘Then I beg you, father Abraham, send Lazarus to my five brothers to warn them of the perils of this place of torment.’ But Abraham said, ‘They have had the words of Moses and the prophets.’

Then the rich man said, ‘No, father Abraham, but if someone from the dead comes before them, then they will repent.’ And Abraham replied, ‘If they will not listen to Moses and the prophets, then they will not be convinced enough to change even if someone rises from the dead and warns them.’”

A large 'customer' at SG Americas coughed up a decent sized position in gold yesterday on the Comex, and the house accounts at JPM and Nova Scotia snarfed it right up.

This is notable only because May is such a 'nothing' contract month for gold.

The global recovery peaked in 2013, such as it was, and has been in a gradual but steady decline ever since.

Never have so many unnecessarily suffered so much for such an undeserving few.  There are no real shortages or lack of provisions and comfort, excepting for an overwhelming, insatiable greed that possesses those who would be as gods.

Non-farm payrolls tomorrow.

Have a pleasant evening.











SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts


The economic news this week has been rather poor.

The global economy peaked in 2013 and has been in a gradual but steady decline ever since.

A reckoning is coming.

Have a pleasant evening.





Global Recovery 'Peaked' in 2013 and Has Been Declining Ever Since As Measured by PMI


Not everyone can become a waiter or a bartender.  And as more disposable income accrues to the top, and is deployed in luxury goods and the pursuit of rents and acquisition, the rest have lest to spend for goods that stimulate the aggregate demand.

As you know I would ascribe this slow decay in economic activity to the 'top down' monetary stimulus being deployed by the Western central banks, and their overattention to the well being of the largely broken and misdirected financial sector that was in fact primarily responsible for the crash in 2008.  That they corrupted the regulatory process along the way for their own benefit is an ancillary cause at best.

As I have been saying since roughly 2008, the Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustainable recovery.

Since greed has no limits by its very nature, and since the credibility trap is preventing the one percent and their enablers from engaging in meaningful reform, I conclude that things will continue to get worse until there is a real break in the system that ends the feedback loop of the abuse of power and corruption of public policy.

I believe that the current election in the US, which is surprising to so many establishment pundits, is a clear indication of this.   Now whether it is fruitful change or not is another thing altogether.  We do see that the odds in the post 1930s political changes were a rather mixed bag.

This chart is from Nick Laird at sharelynx.com.