06 June 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Fed Cred


"The world can appear to be so empty if one thinks only of mountains, rivers, and even cities;  but to know someone here and there who thinks and feels along with us, and though distant, is close to us in kindred spirit - this makes the earth seem like a peopled garden."

Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

Too bad that the Fed's policies are turning most of the real economy into a barren parking lot.

Janet Yellen was out speaking today, trying to salvage some shred of the Fed's credibility after that awful Non-Fulltime Payrolls Report last week.

But despite the happy talk it just did not work.

Maybe people are listening to what the Fed heads are saying, but looking at the Fed's own data and seeing things like this chart on Labor Market Conditions on the right.

As you may recall, the Fed will be meeting FOMC style next Tuesday and Wednesday.  It is unlikely that they can raise rates by even 25 bp and ascribe that to economic necessity.  If they cite their own policy needs then maybe.  How can they lower rates again, given that negative rates are like some cruel prank gone viral, and they are still stuck near ZIRP?  

If rates ever do start going up with conviction look for a bloodbath in the bond markets.  And we have not seen anything like that yet.

Gold and silver were just moving sideways for much of the day in a very dull trade.

There was another big set of deliveries recorded at the Comex last Friday.

The NAVs of some of the Precious Metal Trust and Funds were also posted intraday and are worth a look.

Today's market action gave me the urge to go out and cut my grass, so I think I will do just that.

Have a pleasant evening.

Related:  Fed Labor Market Conditions Worst Since the Great Recession









SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Hypocrites' Oath


Stocks were drifting in a relatively lackluster day.

For the first weeks in June it seems more like the dog days of Summer already.

It was very interesting to hear US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew lecturing China about what they ought to do with their economy.   It was like listening to the king of the bar flies lecturing the people about the virtues of sobriety from his favorite corner stool.

There has been no recovery.

Tomorrow is a Super Tuesday in the Democratic primaries.

Have a pleasant evening.






NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


Rather high ratio of gold/silver.

Interesting that the Sprott Gold Trust is holding a better premium than Sprott Silver.





Another Huge Delivery Day For Gold - Over 1,176,000 Ounces Delivered for June


There was another big delivery day for the June Comex Gold Contract on Friday.

HSBC was the big 'seller' from its house account, as the big stopper for the gold bullion was the house account and mystery customer(s) at JPM.

This type of delivery volume is a very big change from more recent history in New York, and reminds one of the bigger volume days of 2006 and the years following into the crisis period.

What do I make of this?

Speculatively, any number of things, including increasing pressures on physical supply around the London free gold float, despite the re-repatriation of the gold bullion of the people of Venezuela.

But this sudden burst of activity on the predominantly paper Comex is a change of what has been customary, something different.  I might be even more impressed if there was gold actually leaving the Comex warehouses, although given the times it may leave there through a proliferation of claims, and not ever physically leave the vault.