15 June 2016

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - What Is Truth?


"Sin has many tools, but a lie is the handle which fits them all."

Edmund Burke


"A noble man compares and estimates himself by an idea which is higher than himself; and a mean man, by one lower than himself. The one produces aspiration; the other ambition for power or wealth, which is the way in which a vulgar man aspires."

Marcus Aurelius

We live in an age when breaking the rules for personal profit, cheating if you will, and telling lies about it has become an accepted means of acting in public, quietly fashionable, almost admirable to some, provided that the lying is done skillfully well more as a distortion than an outright whopper, and with style.

I have noticed of late that some seem to lie now quite freely almost as a convenience, in imitation of their 'betters,' those more verbally acute and skillful in the deceptive arts. And when caught out in a factual lie, seem offended that you would take notice of it. They are ashamed, not of the lie, but of having done it poorly. And they try to become better at it, more clever.

It seems as though even more have been given over passively to this sort of self-deception, perhaps not originating the falsehoods as such, more from a lack of creativity than scrupulous honesty. They will pass along the lies of others aggressively and without shame, even when they are shown to be objectively false. What matters is that the lies flatter us, our biases, our positions, and our passions. Team spirit. But what team?

I had a friend, who to all appearances and reputation was an upstanding person and quite proud of it, who passed along things that were blatantly false, unkind, and quite nasty to others. I implored him to stop sending these things to me. And when it was shown to be false, in a fairly indirect and non-confrontational manner for the sake of friendship, he was quick to respond indignantly, 'what is truth?'

This is ironically the quote that marked Pontius Pilate's great moment of moral failure for the sake of personal expediency. I am not sure what was more injured in this: our long friendship which this ended, or his character as a man.

It is not that most of our sins are so great; they are not, for in most things we do not rise to greatness in any sense of the word. Rather, it is that they obtain for us so little while costing us so much. What does it profit a man indeed.

And there is no reward in constantly marking the failures of others, but a pitfall.   It is better that we mark our own shortfalls, which are many. But at some place we must stand our ground, stand for something, some principle, even if we do so in fear and trembling for our own weaknesses and poor grasp of what is true.

What is truth? This could be the vulgar motto for the generation that is passing. And looking to our prescriptive leadership, could we see any better examples of vulgarity?    Truth is whatever we say it is, and woe to any who dare to disagree with the lie, or bring any light to our fanciful imaginings. The children of the darkness of this world will hate them for it.  For they are given over to greed and power, not truth.

The Central Fund's NAV discount has contracted quite a bit from what it had been.

Sprott Gold has raised its cash by selling additional units.

Sprott Silver is priced at a slight discount, which is a bit unusual given its historical norms.

The gold/silver ratio is still a bit high, but not as high as it had been.

The rally in gold is being driven by a flight to safety, among other things. Although Year-To-Date silver is still leading gold on a percentage basis, and many other financial assets as well.

We will be hearing from the FOMC within the hour.



Ubi sunt? The mighty rise and are fallen, but the word and the spirit endure.



14 June 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - FOMC Tomorrow - The Gathering Storm


“The combination of power, optimism and abstract thinking makes powerful people more certain. The more cut-off they are from others, the more confident they are that they are right.”

Margaret Heffernan, Willful Blindness


"I think this is where the academics are kind of clashing with the practitioners. I think on paper negative rates make a lot of sense if you're running academic models, but in reality they make no sense. Having seven or eight trillion dollars of debt trading at negative rates, having thirty year JGB's trading at fifty basis points is absolutely ludicrous. This experiment that's going on we all know will end poorly at some point in time, I just don't know when that time is...

I think that one of the fears that they have is a run on cash. If they told you and I that they're going to tax your deposits by a hundred basis points, well it's better to put it in a safe or under your mattress. And that's why you see a resurgence in gold. The more they move to negative rates, the more gold is gonna take off because there's no carrying cost."

Kyle Bass, Hayman Capital


Gold showed some strength today despite the long run up from the bottom it experienced for the expiration of the June options on the Comex.

FOMC tomorrow.

It is not so much the unethical and almost stupidly selfish actions that are so corrosive to trust, but the increasingly brazen, criminal coverups that are stretching the social fabric to the breaking point.

And they 'never see it coming.'  Because they are willfully blind.

Let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.










SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Brexit Jitters and the Central Banks


Given the depth of the negative yields across the durations of the major sovereign debt in Europe, it is fairly obvious that a 'flight to safety' is ongoing.

The FOMC is meeting and will make a sage pronouncement tomorrow afternoon.

The people of Britain will cast their votes on June 23.

Have a pleasant evening.








13 June 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Flight to Safety


My father used to play with my brother and me in the yard. Mother would come out and say, 'You're tearing up the grass.' 'We're not raising grass,' Dad would reply. 'We're raising boys.'

Harmon Killebrew


"And the peace of God that surpasses all understanding will guard your hearts and minds."

Phil 4:9

We continued to see an extension of the rally in gold, off the bottom that was set for the June option expiration.

In particular the current tilt in the polls for Brexit has the international banking community shifting from foot to foot. After all, if the Brits exit the EU, who will be there to bail out the continental banks as the neoliberal economic madness continues to destroy the real economies of one nation after another.

There was a tragic mass shooting over the weekend in Orlando, and all of the victims and their families have been in our thoughts and prayers.

There will be more economic news this week, as well as some central bank actions that could influence the price of gold. Silver seems to be following gold at this point, but that will change when we move to an active month for the silver trade.

I have been having some fun with the Queen, helping her to reorient herself to every day activities. Today I was able to get her behind the wheel of a car, even though it was in a parking lot, just to get the feel of it again. It will be a little while before she can go out on the highway, but I know she enjoyed it.

And then I took her for a drive to the car wash in her car, and picked up a large pizza at one of her favorite places. I then took her to the bank, and watched as she made out a deposit slip and banked a check she had received from a small life insurance policy from her father. Watching her delight as she realized that she could write normally again was quite a joy. What a change from just a few weeks ago. It is a gift of infinite wonder.

We have liked doing these little chores together for some years now, and go to most places together, but for the sake of our marriage I do not do any clothes shopping with her. I drop her off at Kohls and go to Lowes. But it is still fun, and does not seem like a chore when you do it with an amiable companion.

Its the little things that make life worth living.

Have a pleasant evening.