12 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dear Mr. Powell - Art Imitates Life— Life Imitates High School


"Thus the elements are in place: a weak legislative body, a legal system that is both compliant and repressive, a party system in which one (I would in 2019 now say either) party, whether in opposition or in the majority, is bent upon reconstituting the existing system so as to permanently favor a ruling class of the wealthy, the well-connected and the corporate, while leaving the poorer citizens with a sense of helplessness and political despair, and, at the same time, keeping the middle classes dangling between fear of unemployment and expectations of fantastic rewards once the new economy recovers.

That scheme is abetted by a sycophantic and increasingly concentrated media; by the integration of universities with their corporate benefactors; by a propaganda machine institutionalized in well-funded think tanks and conservative foundations; by the increasingly closer cooperation between local police and national law enforcement agencies aimed at identifying terrorists, suspicious aliens and domestic dissidents."

Sheldon Wolin, Inverted Totalitarianism


"The truth is that we were so spiritually and morally bankrupt that we could not even see some of those lines: we stepped over them blindly. Other times we saw the lines alright, but we wanted to cross them... It wasn’t God who was dead. We were."

Ray A., Practice These Principles


“Oh where is the noble face of modesty, or the strength of virtue, now that blasphemy is in power and men have put justice behind them, and there is no law but lawlessness, and none act with fear of the gods?”

Euripides, Iphigenia in Aulis


“Religion used to be the opium of the people. To those suffering humiliation, pain, illness, and serfdom, religion promised the reward of an after life.
But now we are witnessing a transformation: a true opium of the people is the belief in nothingness after death, the huge solace, the huge comfort of thinking that for our betrayals, our greed, our cowardice, our murders, that we are not going to be judged.”

Czeslaw Milosz, The Discreet Charm of Nihilism

Not to put too fine a point on it, we are a people addicted to greed, pride, and power. And like all who have been caught in such a devilish web, we are going to end this, badly.

Stocks rose to new highs, based on the pandering of the Federal Reserve to the moneyed interests.

It is, after all, the fashionable thing to do, since everyone who is anyone is doing it, from the liar-in-chief to the lowest creatures of the beltway and the corporate media.  En vogue.

Fed Chair Powell now owns this latest asset bubble, to the same extent that his predecessors going back to Greenspan at least owned theirs.

I would not put all the blame on the Fed, although the wiseguys are likely to pick them as the scapegoats.

I think we are long past the time when illusions could be dismissed as wishful thinking or as acts of naive desperation.   Men truly go mad in herds, and come to their senses slowly, one at a time.  And some, in their stubborn pride, never will.

There is little doubt in my mind that US stocks are forming a blow off top. The timing is going to be problematic as it always is.

What will trigger the next decline? Likely candidates are the FOMC meeting when they cut the interest rate, and the Street sells the news.

Or the upcoming earnings season, which begins next week, and the many surprises and realities that will be coming out of the dark.

Or some exogenous international event, political or economic, that sends the algos scurrying towards the exits.

But, while the music continues, the financiers and their creatures will keep dancing.   For who could have seen it, whatever it is, coming?

Have a pleasant weekend.





11 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Risk On, Kind Of


“A system of morality which is based on relative emotional values is a mere illusion, a thoroughly vulgar conception which has nothing sound in it and nothing true.”

Socrates

Socrates would have made a good critic of the theories of modern currency.

It was a risk on day in the markets, although one might not expect it given the general results in the major US Stock indices.

The Dow Industrials cracked through the 27,000 barrier quite handily. The SP 500 closed a fraction below 3,000, the Nasdaq was off a bit, and the broader market as measured by the Russell 2000 declined.

There appeared to be some distinction between appearance and reality.

All in all, a fairly typical day in 21st century America.

The discussion is revolving around the Fed, and what they will do next.

Smells like teen spirit.
"May God the Father and Christ Jesus our Lord give you grace, mercy, and peace."

1 Timothy 1:2
Have a pleasant evening.


10 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Mask of Agamemnon - Deliberate Lies and Mispricing of Risks


"At the root of America's economic crisis lies a moral crisis: the decline of civic virtue among America's political and economic elite.  A society of markets, laws, and elections is not enough if the rich and powerful fail to behave with respect, honesty, and compassion toward the rest of society and toward the world."

Jeffrey Sachs


"Of this Logos the Word being eternal, men have proven to be uncomprehending, both before they hear and once they have heard it. For although all things happen according to this Word, they are like the uneducated who first experience words and deeds such as when I distinguish each thing according to its essence and show how it is.

And as for the rest, they are as unaware of what they do when they are awake, as they are when they are asleep."

Heraclitus


“I believe order is better than chaos, creation better than destruction. I prefer gentleness to violence, forgiveness to vendetta.  On the whole I think that knowledge is preferable to ignorance, and I am sure that human sympathy is more valuable than ideology.  I believe that in spite of the recent triumphs of science, men haven't changed much in the last two thousand years; and in consequence we must try to learn from history.  History is ourselves.

I believe in courtesy, the ritual by which we avoid hurting other people's feelings, by satisfying our own egos.  And I think we should remember that we are all part of a great whole, which for convenience we call nature.   All living things are our brothers and sisters."

Kenneth Clark, Civilisation


The broken wall, the burning roof and tower
And Agamemnon dead.

W. B. Yeats, Leda and the Swan


“Each day we are becoming a creature of splendid glory, or one of unthinkable horror.”

C. S. Lewis

Lies seem to be coming more and more easily to and prevalent among the ruling elite, and their enablers and acolytes in the professional class.  And it is therefore no surprise that hatred and irrationality are also in the air.

It will get worse before it gets better. If history is any guide, may God forgive us, this will end in blood.

Pray for each other, that you do not lose your way in this madness.

Stocks were soaring to new highs today, and gold rose sharply, off of the rather dovish testimony of Fed chair Powell.

His rationale for cutting rates in such a 'strong economy' is trade risks. Although he did note correctly that despite the apparent improvements, wages still remain sub-par.

Gold rallied smartly, up $20 to the upper bound of the consolidation pattern in which it is currently coiling.

If it breaks out to the upside it could be rather impressive.

I am stunned, and I hear little talk about it, at the lack of withdrawals from the Comex Hong Kong warehouses, much less the NY ones.

Hong Kong has been an active supplier of physical gold to Asia for some time.

Something momentous is happening behind the scenes. I am almost certain of this.  It will of course be brought to light, eventually.   But it will not be acknowledged readily by those who draw power from this rotten system.  This is the credibility trap.
"The truth has to be melted out of our stubborn lives by suffering.  Nothing speaks the truth, nothing tells us how things really are, nothing forces us to know what we do not want to know except pain."

Aeschylus, The Oresteia
Do not allow yourself to be swayed back and forth by those snakes and vipers who prey upon the innocent for a living, and lead them into destruction, for gain, and too often just for sport.

And remember me in your prayers, as I remember you.

Have a pleasant evening.





09 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dog Days Afternoon


"The press of the United States?  It is a parasitic growth that battens on the capitalist class.  Its function is to serve the established by moulding public opinion, and right well it serves it.

I know nothing that I may say can influence you.  You have no souls to be influenced. You are spineless, flaccid things.  You pompously call yourselves Republicans and Democrats.  There is no Republican Party.  There is no Democratic Party. 

There are no Republicans nor Democrats in this House.  You are lick-spittlers and panderers, the creatures of the Plutocracy.

You talk verbosely in antiquated terminology of your love of liberty, and all the while you wear the scarlet livery of the Iron Heel.”

Jack London, The Iron Heel

Now are the dog days of our discontent.

The markets were largely unchanged today, stepping back and forth from one foot to the other.

They wait with bated breath to hear the pronouncements of the Fed Chair on Wednesday and Thursday to the Congress.

Have a pleasant evening.