18 June 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Darkness Rising - Quad Witch Option Expiration Tomorrow


"Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity."

Martin Luther King


“Booms start with some tie-in to reality, some reason which justifies the increase in asset values, and then -- and this is the critical feature of speculative mood -- the market loses touch with reality.”

John Kenneth Galbraith


"Day by day the money-masters of America become more aware of their danger, they draw together, they grow more class-conscious, more aggressive. The [first world] war has taught them the possibilities of propaganda ; it has accustomed them to the idea of enormous campaigns which sway the minds of millions and make them pliable to any purpose.

American political corruption was the buying up of legislatures and assemblies to keep them from doing the people's will and protecting the people's interests; it was the exploiter entrenching himself in power, it was financial autocracy undermining and destroying political democracy. By the blindness and greed of ruling classes the people have been plunged into infinite misery."

Upton Sinclair, The Brass Check

As befitting the day before a quad witch, stocks had a ranging day, but finished almost unchanged compared to the day's highs and lows.

The wash and rinse is on, and small specs are being cleansed of their funds.

The surprisingly high number for new unemployment claims put a dark cloud over dreams of a rosy dawn of a V-shaped recovery.

Although the SP 500 continues to lag, the big cap NASDAQ stocks are still near lofty all time highs.  They are the heart of the classic 'new era' speculation and spin.

Gold and silver were struggling all day, and the Dollar drifted a bit higher.

This is all going to end in a tragedy of course. What else can we expect when we allow ourselves to be convinced that printing money without end will have no consequences?

It does serve to make a few filthy rich— at the expense of almost everyone else.

It breeds self-deception, financial corruption, civil unrest, and the degradation of values.

But there are no serious consequences.  Right?

Have a pleasant evening.




17 June 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Hair of the Dog - Policy Hangover Part IV - Belly Up to the Bar


“If getting drunk was how people forgot they were mortal, then hangovers were how they remembered.”

Matt Haig, The Humans


"In the field of monetary and credit policy, precautionary action to prevent inflationary excesses is bound to have some onerous effects— if it did not, it would be ineffective and futile. Those who have the task of making such policy don’t expect you to applaud. The Federal Reserve, as one writer put it after the recent increase in the discount rate, is in the position of the chaperone who has ordered the punch bowl removed just when the party was really warming up.”

William McChesney Martin, Speech to Investment Bankers Association of New York, October 1955


“Nothing spells trouble like two drunk cowboys with a rocket launcher.”

C.J. Box


"We're not even thinking about thinking about the consequences of our actions."

Jerome Powell, Chairman, Federal Reserve

Stocks attempted to rally again today, cheered on by the financial TV muppets and spokesmodels, riding the buzz from yesterday's retail sales numbers, and various fantasies about a cure for the coronavirus.

But alas, and again, stocks had their early rise, but then fell back into the close to finish lower or unchanged.

Gold and silver were under pressure most of the day, but managed to eke out a small gain into the close.

The Dollar gained a very small bit as well.

I cannot stress enough how volatile the situation is beneath the surface.

Madness.

Have a pleasant evening.





16 June 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Bring Out Your Bonds..... - Quad Witch Option Expiration on Friday


“I believe order is better than chaos, creation better than destruction. I prefer gentleness to violence, forgiveness to vendetta. On the whole I think that knowledge is preferable to ignorance, and I am sure that human sympathy is more valuable than ideology. I believe that in spite of the recent triumphs of science, men haven't changed much in the last two thousand years; and in consequence we must try to learn from history. History is ourselves.

I believe in courtesy, the ritual by which we avoid hurting other people's feelings, by satisfying our own egos. And I think we should remember that we are all part of a great whole, which for convenience we call nature. All living things are our brothers and sisters."

Kenneth Clark, Civilisation


"At the root of America's economic crisis lies a moral crisis: the decline of civic virtue among America's political and economic elite. A society of markets, laws, and elections is not enough if the rich and powerful fail to behave with respect, honesty, and compassion toward the rest of society and toward the world."

Jeffrey Sachs


"In the end the only real tragedy is not to have been a saint."

Leon Bloy

The Retail Sales number rebounded much more strongly month over month than anticipated.

Although the number was highly contrived, nevertheless it was good enough for those who are touting a V-recovery.

The FED is buying corporate debt.

You know, those bonds that corporations were issuing in big numbers to buy back their stock, to prop up the price and fatten their stock options.

So stocks rallied, although they were unable to hold on to their highs.

Gold and silver struggled again today.

The Dollar moved slightly higher.

Tony Sanders informs us that roughly 19% of all US corporations today are 'zombie firms.'

The looting is being taken to a whole new level.
"You pompously call yourselves Republicans and Democrats.  There is no Republican Party.  There is no Democratic Party. There are no Republicans nor Democrats in this House.  You are lick-spittles and panderers, creatures of the plutocracy.”

Jack London, The Iron Heel
The world does not love you.

Those dark powers of the world whom you serve are like ravening lions, seeking only to devour you.

Time to leave their service, and come home.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.





15 June 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Eenie, Meenie, Chili Beanie


"Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge."

Lao Tzu


"The blunt accusation, the brutal tap upon the shoulder - what can one make of such a denouement?   But the quick inference, the subtle trap, the clever forecast of coming events, the triumphant vindication of bold theories - are these not the pride and the justification of our life's work?   At the present moment you thrill with the glamour of the situation and the anticipation of the hunt.   Where would be that thrill if I had been as definite as a timetable?”

Arthur Conan Doyle, Sherlock Holmes

As a reminder we will have the end of the second quarter stock market option expiration this Friday.

Shenanigans are anticipated.

And shenanigans we had, as stocks came in slumping in fairly hard from the overnight into this morning.

But surprise, the major indices managed to take back the losses and finish with some outsized gains into the close.

Some of the big banking houses, somewhat preemptively I suspect, are ascribing this latest overdone rally to retail investors day trading on RobinHood.

Given that retail is about 3% of the volume in stocks these days seems to be a bit much.

But whenever the wiseguys start pointing the finger like this, one braces for the thrilling finish.

Gold and silver took a hit fairly hard. And purposefully I also suspect.

June is a big metals month, and shaking out the weak hands is the order of the day.

I picked up a long position in a battered miner early this morning, and let it go with a nice profit in the afternoon.

I don't like to do this daytrading bit, but when it happens it happens.

Donny is done. Stick a fork in him.

And the corrupt money may be preparing to exit later this year, flush with big bucks all the way, stage right.

Stay flexible, and don't feed the sharks.

Especially with yourselves.

Have a pleasant evening.