16 July 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Our Fallen Angels - Mind-numbing Arrogance and Incompetence


“Who can doubt that there is an American empire?—an 'informal' empire, not colonial in polity, but still richly equipped with imperial paraphernalia: troops, ships, planes, bases, proconsuls, local collaborators, all spread around the luckless planet."

Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr., The Cycles of American History


“We live in a collective adrenaline rush, a world of endless promotional/commercial bullshit, that masks a deep systemic emptiness. The result is that children now live in an ethos of fantasy consumerism.”

Morris Berman, Dark Ages America: The Final Phase of Empire


“What you need to remember, with these guys, is that they don't know they're con men. They're wildly overconfident.  Omnipotence, omniscience--that's part of the mythology... Your guy can walk in the door and promise something he personally doesn't know how to do, and not even realize he's bullshitting about his own capabilities.  It's a special kind of gullibility."

William Gibson


"As everything in what used to be called creation becomes a commodity, human beings begin to look at one another, and at themselves, in a funny way, and they see price tags. There was a time when people spoke, at least occasionally, of 'inherent worth'— if not of things, then at least of persons."

Harvey Cox, The Market as God


"Even in a time of elephantine vanity and greed, one never has to look far to see the campfires of gentle people."

Garrison Kellor

What do you get when you cross a mafioso and a central banker?

They make you an offer that you can't understand.

And they probably don't either. But the bosses want it.

Stocks stumbled again today, although there was a determined effort to 'hold the line' on any declines.

More significantly perhaps, after hours the stay-at-home tech darling Netflix missed its numbers and provided less than sparkling outlook for Q3.

And so it promptly puked up 10+% of its market cap.

Gold and silver were hit today. The Dollar edged a bit higher.

I think this is stock option expiration shenanigans.

All those holders of leveraged positions and mining options probably took a good gut check on the strength of their convictions.

Chart-wise neither gold or silver broke anything important to the downside for now. Let's see how that works out.

I did my part for the economy today, and had a new hot water heater installed. The old one had reached the end of its effective product life. And I don't like to wait until it springs a leak or fails in the night to take some action on it.

Interestingly they tossed in a higher featured model, because that is what they had in stock in the right brand and size.

So now I can communicate with it on my smartphone, although it does not seem to have anything particularly interesting to say. But it will let me know if it is faltering, and shut off itself and the water automatically, so as not to make a mess.

I wish we could equip some people in politics and business with a similar capability.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.





15 July 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - What Is It Going To Take? - Stock Option Expiration on Friday


"Things are going to be getting very real this year, even as some continue to deny reality, to an almost astonishing degree of self-absorption and denial. What is it going to take?"

Jesse, 27 February 2020


“One reason we rush so quickly to the vulgar satisfactions of judgement, and love to revel in our righteous outrage, is that it spares us from the impotent pain of empathy, and the harder, messier work of understanding."

Tim Kreider, We Learn Nothing


"As in all periods of speculation, men sought not to be persuaded by the reality of things but to find excuses for escaping into the new world of fantasy."

"John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash of 1929


“Everybody knows that pestilences have a way of recurring in the world; yet somehow we find it hard to believe in ones that crash down on our heads from a blue sky. There have been as many plagues as wars in history; yet always plagues and wars take people equally by surprise.

Stupidity has a knack of getting its way; as we should see if we were not always so much wrapped up in ourselves. In this respect our townsfolk were like everybody else, wrapped up in themselves; in other words they were human: they did not believe in plagues.

Albert Camus, The Plague

What is it going to take?

How many impoverished, how many dead?

There was a 'sector rotation' in stocks today.   That means that the hot money shifted out of the big cap techs and into the broader and small caps such as the out-performing Russell 2000.

Gold and silver held their own with the dollar declining slightly.

There will be a stock market options expiration on Friday.

Need little, want less, love more.

Have a pleasant evening.






14 July 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Enervation Nation


“Men are not angered by mere misfortune, but by misfortune conceived as injury.  And the sense of injury depends on the feeling that a legitimate claim has been denied.  The more claims on life they can be induced to make, the more often they will feel injured and, as a result, ill-tempered.”

C.S. Lewis, The Screwtape Letters


"Immaturity is spoiled.  And what is spoiled doesn’t ripen.  It goes bad early, gets bitter, and withers on the vine.”

Gina Barreca


"My desperate prayer is that God would grant me a robust faith sufficient to trust Him not just for one crisis, but for an eternity of miracles.”

Craig D. Lounsbrough

Things are getting to get even more bizarre than they already are.

Get right. Sit tight.

Have a pleasant evening.








13 July 2020

Stocks and Precious Metals Chats - A Chill Runs Through Wall Street - A Stumble, But Not Yet a Swoon


Dolly watches the turmoil in the kitchen from the safety of the hallway.
"Think about it, there must be higher love
Down in the heart or hidden in the stars above
Without it, life is wasted time
Look inside your heart, I'll look inside mine.

Things look so bad everywhere
In this whole world, what is fair?
We walk blind and we try to see
Falling behind in what could be.

Worlds are turning and we're just hanging on
Facing our fear and standing out there alone
A yearning, and it's real to me
There must be someone who's feeling for me.

Bring me a higher love
Bring me a higher love
Bring me a higher love
Where's that higher love I keep thinking of?"

Steve Winwood, Higher Love


"Pride goes before destruction, and arrogance before a fall."

Proverbs 16:18


"A new command I give you, to love one another. As I have loved you, so you must love one another. By this all will know that you are my disciples, if you love one another."

John 13:34-35

Stocks were on an utter tear higher, in what looked like a speculative short squeeze.

The lead sled dogs were the 'story stocks' whose fabulous tales are designed to uncouple them from the chains of valuations and common sense.

But alas, a chill wind blew through Wall Street today as stocks reached their summit, and the selling began.

One will say it was because of a new bout of coronavirus and lockdown in California, and another will point to Mike Pompeo calling out China and their claims in the South China Sea.

When we reach these lofty bubble heights it does not take much to start the avalanche of selling.

I trimmed up some short positions this morning, and set off on the troubled seas of installing a new dishwasher.

These older homes are never a plug n' play experience, unless they have been thoroughly remodeled.

The old KitchenAid had done good work since 1991. It's done now, and hopefully someone else can deal with it again, another 29 years from now.

Have a pleasant evening.