Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dollar Rises and Stocks Hold Support and Bounce

 

"The singular feature of the great crash of 1929 was that the worst continued to worsen.  What looked one day like the end proved on the next day to have been only the beginning.   Nothing could have been more ingeniously designed to maximize the suffering, and also to insure that as few as possible escaped the common misfortune.

The fortunate speculator who had funds to answer the first margin call presently got another and equally urgent one, and if he met that there would still be another.  In the end all the money he had was extracted from him and lost.  The man with the smart money, who was safely out of the market when the first crash came, naturally went back in to pick up bargains. 

The bargains then suffered a ruinous fall.  Even the man who waited out all of October and all of November, who saw the volume of trading return to normal and saw Wall Street become as placid as a produce market, and who then bought common stocks would see their value drop to a third or a fourth of the purchase price in the next twenty-four months. 

The Coolidge bull market was a remarkable phenomenon. The ruthlessness of its liquidation was, in its own way, equally remarkable." 

John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash of 1929 

 

"Adversity makes men, and prosperity makes monsters." 

Victor Hugo 

 

"Those who have the faith had better keep in the state of grace, and those who have neither had better find out what they mean, for in the coming age there will be only one way to stop your trembling knees, and that will be to get down on them and pray.  The most important problem in the world today is your soul, for that is what the struggle is about." 

Fulton J. Sheen

 

Stocks slumped strikingly in the overnight futures and declined quite a bit towards critical support in the morning.

But during the day the bulls and their dip-buyers came in to stabilize prices, and then gradually then turned into the green, and rallied quietly but steadily into the close, going out near the highs.

Gold and silver were hit hard again.

The Dollar rallied higher, taking a firm hold on the 101 handle.

The VIX declined inversely to the stock rally in the afternoon.

Nice bounce for equities.  Let's see if they can keep it together.

Have a pleasant evening.

 

 

 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Almost Time to Head for Higher Ground

 

"Over the last thirty years, the United States has been taken over by an amoral financial oligarchy, and the American dream of opportunity, education, and upward mobility is now largely confined to the top few percent of the population.  Federal policy is increasingly dictated by the wealthy, by the financial sector, and by powerful industries such as telecommunications, health care, automobiles, and energy. These policies are implemented and praised by these groups’ willing servants, namely the increasingly bought-and-paid-for leadership of America’s political parties, academia, and lobbying industry.

If allowed to continue, this process will turn the United States into a declining, unfair society with an impoverished, angry, uneducated population under the control of a small, ultrawealthy elite.  Such a society would be not only immoral but also eventually unstable, dangerously ripe for religious and political extremism."

Charles Ferguson, Predator Nation, June 2012


"Our plutocracy, whether the hedge fund managers in Greenwich, Connecticut, or the Internet moguls in Palo Alto, now lives like the British did in colonial India: ruling the place but not of it."

Mike Lofgren, The Deep State: The Fall of the Constitution and the Rise of a Shadow Government, 5 January 2016

"The American economy increasingly serves only a narrow part of society, and America's national politics has failed to put the country back on track through honest, open, and transparent problem solving.  Too many of America's elites — among the super-rich, the CEOs, and many of my colleagues in academia — have abandoned a commitment to social responsibility.  They chase wealth and power, the rest of society be damned."

Jeffrey Sachs, The Price of Civilization, January 2012


“If you can feel that staying human is worth while, even when it can't have any practical result whatsoever, you've beaten them.”

George Orwell

Stocks came in a little stronger this morning, but then reversed and turned sharply lower, and went out at the lows of the day as well.

Gold and silver were lower as most everything that was not the Dollar or Treasuries were getting sold.

It resembled a liquidation event, or at least the prologue to one.

Smells like teen spirit.

The Fed spooked the markets that are now pricing in a trio of 50 basis point rate increases this year.

At some point either the Fed or the markets are going to blink.

Let's see what happens.

I'm making the national dish of England for dinner this evening— tikka masala.

Have a pleasant weekend.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Stormy Day in the Metaverse

 

"The market ideology is now the new form of imperial power and many of us, without any critical reflection, have signed onto that and organized our lives in that way so we do not have any time, energy or capacity for the things that are rightly important to us."

Walter Brueggemann

"The enormous gap between what US leaders do in the world and what Americans think their leaders are doing is one of the great propaganda accomplishments of the dominant political mythology."

Michael Parenti

"Congress and the Senate were empty pretenses, farces.  Public questions were gravely debated and passed upon according to the old forms, while in reality all that was done was to give the stamp of constitutional procedure to the mandates of the Oligarchy."

Jack London, The Iron Heel


"Psychopaths often come across as arrogant, shameless braggarts—self-assured, opinionated, domineering, and cocky. They love to have power and control over others and seem unable to believe that other people have valid opinions different from theirs. What makes psychopaths different from all others is the remarkable ease with which they lie, the pervasiveness of their deception, and the callousness with which they carry it out.

Wherever you find money, prestige and power you will find them.  We are far more likely to lose our life savings to an oily-tongued swindler than our lives to a steely-eyed killer."

Robert D. Hare, Without Conscience


Stocks were in rally mode, risk on this morning.

But alas, there appears to be a flaw in the bullish scenario.

Stocks reversed and gave up not only all of their morning gains, but fell out of bed, and went out on the lows.

We should not be watching where stocks go next, and if we set a lower low or not.

Gold and silver were monkey-hammered in the risk on exuberance this morning.

Gold managed to take back quite a bit of its early losses by the close of day.

Silver not so much.

The Dollar bounced a little higher on the flight to safety amid expectations of higher rates. 

What will they think of next?

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Fall of the Republic - The Oligarchy Is Audacious

 

"According to several reports, the administration is considering Michael Barr for the vice chair of supervision slot.  Barr is a veteran of the Clinton and Obama years who is now the Sanford Weill Dean of Public Policy at the University of Michigan.  (Weill was the former CEO of Citigroup, whose merger with Travelers Insurance triggered the end of Glass-Steagall and the beginning of the mega-bank era.)

As assistant Treasury Secretary for financial institutions in the Obama years, Barr was the key right-hand man to Tim Geithner and liaison with Congress on the Dodd-Frank reforms.  Sheila Bair wrote considerably in her memoir of that time about how Barr defended the financial industry from aggressive regulation at every turn, seeking to eliminate strong derivatives regulations, weaken the Volcker Rule that attempted to prevent banks from engaging in risky trading with customer money, and preserve the ability for future bailouts.  He infamously gave the quote to New York magazine that the bill could have broken up big banks if Treasury had agreed to it, but they decided against it.

Barr was also the lead designer of HAMP, the failed foreclosure mitigation program that allowed banks to trap borrowers in predatory schemes.  Barr kind-of sort-of apologized for the failure to stop the foreclosure wave in a 2020 book, saying that the White House should have “acted more forcefully from the start.” He also led the investigation into fraudulent evictions with phony documents, promising things would change within a year. (They didn’t.)"

David Dayen, The Return of Michael Barr


"Impunity is epidemic in America. The rich and powerful get away with their heists in broad daylight. When a politician like Bernie Sanders calls out the corruption, the New York Times and Wall Street Journal double down with their mockery over such a foolish 'dreamer.'   The Journal recently opposed the corruption sentence of former Virginia governor Bob McDonnell for taking large gifts and bestowing official favors — because everybody does it.  And one of its columnists praised Panama for facilitating the ability of wealthy individuals to hide their income from 'predatory governments' trying to collect taxes.  No kidding.

Our major institutions, the ones that should know better, are often gross enablers of impunity.

Jeffrey Sachs, The Age of Impunity, 2016

 

The wiseguys wanted to take stocks up today in a risk on wash cycle, but the bombshell miss by Netflix broke the script, and weighed heavily on the big cap tech stocks.

These are, as you may recall, once again the bloated heart of a 'new era' stock bubble.

Gold and silver bounced.

The Dollar fell back hard from 101 but managed to hang on to the 100 handle fairly well.

A strong Dollar hurts the real economy, but does well for the financiers who can buy up foreign assets on the cheap.

The VIX fell in the spirit of a wash cycle attempt.

This will end.  But it is going to end badly for many. 

You know what to do. It is the same in every age.

But we are such faithless cheats and swindlers that we convince ourselves that we do not, because we do not wish to do what we have been told to do, what has been written on our hearts. 

Greed and pride kill.  But love covers a multitude of sins.

And the band played on.

Have a pleasant evening.