Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Fed's Private Bucket Shop - Desperately Seeking Equilibrium

 

"All conservatism is based upon the idea that if you leave things alone you leave them as they are.  But you do not. If you leave a thing alone you leave it twisting in a torrent of change."

G.K.Chesteron

"Inequality is a euphemism, a kind of shorthand, for all of the things that have gone to make the lives of the rich so much more delicious, year on year, for the last three decades. And also for the things that have made the lives of working people so wretched and so precarious in that same time.

Inequality is about the way in which speculators, and even criminals, get a helping hand from Uncle Sam, while the Vietnam Vet down the street from you loses his house."

Thomas Frank

"Let's face it, I fucked 'em all.  I mean, that's what I do.  That's why I went to beauty school.  I mean, they're always there and I-I just can't I-I, you know, I - I don't know what I'm apologizing for.  I go into that shop and they're so great lookin', you know, and I - I doing their hair and they feel great and they smell great.  Or, I could be out on the street, you know, and I could just stop at a stoplight or go into an elevator or - I - it's a beautiful girl - I - I don't know - I mean, that's it!  It makes my day.  I mean, it makes me feel like I'm gonna live forever."

George Roundy (Warren Beatty), Shampoo

That last quote could be well fitted to someone explaining why they went to work in our modern financial sector, especially investment banking or Wall Street.

Stocks swooned presumably because the JOLTS report, a child of the BLS, came in much higher than expected.

Here is what the Bureau of Labor Statistics had to say:

The number of job openings was little changed at 11.2 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.4 million and 5.9 million, respectively.  Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) were little changed.  This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the total nonfarm sector, by industry, and by establishment size class.

You know what they say, BLS in, and BLS out.

Well, let's see how the markets react to the ADP report this week, as they wait intently for the Jobs report on Friday.

These types of government numbers are all right for trends, preferably broad ones, but these reactions to one time head line numbers is too often just a rationale for the Street to do what they wanted to do anyway.

Stocks dropped sharply, but managed to claw back a little back from the bottom.

Gold and silver especially were hit hard.

The Dollar chopped sideways, which was misreported by the closing bell crowd who assumed it was higher because gold was lower.

Let's see what the rest of the week brings.

I would say cloudy with a chance of a wash and rinse. 

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Unsteady As She Goes - Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday

 

"The failure of the central bankers and economists to 'manage the economy' is nothing new. One only has to look at the mainstream economic 'forecasts' in 1929 and 1930 to realize that not only is economics not a precise science, but too often economists are nothing more than mouthpieces for vested interests, and dabbling in politics and public policy in the guise of science.

A new school of economics will likely rise out of the coming financial collapse of the US, as it did in the 1930s. Perhaps this one will be more scientific, less subservient to private business interests and political objectives. 

But until that time it is good to realize that much of the discussion of macro-economics is nothing more than public policy and personal philosophy, with a strong dose of financial bias.  

For the sake of our country, we need to stop the Fed from increasing its opaque power to regulate and control our economy.  They have made a botched job of it, and show no signs of improvement beyond serving the needs of their special interests and the wealthy elite. 

Jesse, Economics in Disrepute as the Economy Tumbles, 9 July 2008


"How can a society which defines its first principle, the ultimate good, as greed be anything but what it is? Cruel, self-absorbed, shallow, unjust, delusional and imbalanced. Fear is the tool of a tyranny, and greed is a horse to be harnessed, not the measure of policy or an administrator of justice to run maximized, or even unchecked.

Why the lack of self-recrimination among the economists? Because they are no different than anyone else who failed to exercise their stewardship and basic human obligation to protect the innocent and to stand for justice, and uphold the standards of their profession. In this they are no different than politicians and lawyers and accountants and the mainstream media, although we foolishly expected more."

Jesse, In Defense of Economics, 12 January 2009

Nothing will change while the system continues to reward malfeasance and faisl to stop pervasive corruption by a self-serving elite.

This is the oft-cited credibility trap.

Stocks slumped this morning, but managed to come back to almost unchanged after Europe went home to bed.

Gold was mostly unchanged along with the Dollar.

Silver lost a little ground along with stocks.

The VIX was higher.

There will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.

Have a pleasant evening.

 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Waschen und Spülen - Bankers' Jawbone Jab Jolts Markets

 

"And so without justice, what are kingdoms except great robber bands?  For what are robber bands except little kingdoms?  The band also is a group of men governed by the orders of a leader, bound by a social compact, and its booty is divided according to a law agreed upon.  

If by repeatedly adding desperate men this plague grows to the point where it holds territory and establishes a fixed seat, seizes cities and subdues peoples, then it more conspicuously assumes the name of kingdom, and this name is now openly granted to it, not for any subtraction of greed, but by addition of impunity. 

For it was an elegant and true reply that was made to Alexander the Great by a certain pirate whom he had captured.  When the king asked him what he was thinking of, that he should molest the sea, he said with defiant independence:  'The same as you when you molest the world!  Since I do this with a little ship I am called a pirate.  You do it with a great fleet and are called an emperor.'”

Augustine of Hippo, City of God IV


"Nothing from the rising to the setting of the sun is enough for them.  Among all others only they are compelled to attack the poor as well as the rich.  Plunder, rape, and slaughter they falsely call empire; and where they make a desert, they call it peace."

Tacitus

 

I would like to say that today was something different, but it was not.

It was more of the same old wash and rinse, on an economy sized scale (pun), designed to benefit a relatively few insiders at the expense of all the rest.

Fed Chair Powell came out and laid on a heavy tone of hawkish, and the 'rally' from yesterday went into a meltdown, tout de suite.

The public and real economy must once again pay the price for the sins of the Banks and their bubbles.

Everything was down in the risk assets, improperly priced as they were from the rally just yesterday. 

What a coincidence.

Gold and silver took a hit.

The Dollar rose on the rise in short term interest rates.

Many of the miners were clocked, although some bounced back a little at the end.

September could be a dangerous month for the markets as I have cautioned previously.

The bulls need to take out the second high on the Crashtrak model.  

Today they were going in the wrong direction.

There are some benefits to staying on the higher ground.

Have a pleasant weekend.

 

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Thy Will Be Done

 

"Wonderful providence indeed which is so silent, yet so efficacious, so constant, so unerring.  This is what baffles the power of Satan.   He cannot discern the Hand of God in what goes on; and though he would fain meet it and encounter it, in his mad and blasphemous rebellion against heaven, he cannot find it."

J. H. Newman


“The books which the Holy Spirit is writing are the living, with every soul a volume in which the divine author makes a true revelation of His word, showing it to every heart, unfolding it in every moment.  The will of God presents itself like an immense sea that your heart cannot exhaust.

There is not a moment in which God does not present Himself under the cover of some pain to be endured, of some consolation to be enjoyed, or of some duty to be performed.   All that takes place within us, around us, or through us, contains and conceals His divine action.  All simple souls must admire and respect one another, saying: 'Let us each proceed along our path to the same goal, united in purpose and by means of God's order which, in its great variety, is in us all.'

This state of abandonment to providence is full of consolation for those who have attained it; but to do so it is necessary to pass through much anguish. The doctrine concerning pure love can only be taught by the action of God, and not by any effort of the mind. God teaches the soul by pains and obstacles, not by ideas.  With God, the more one seems to lose the more one gains.  The more He strikes off of what is natural, the more He gives of what is supernatural.  He is loved at first for His gifts, but when these are no longer perceptible He is at last loved for Himself.

'But,' say you, 'what will become of me if ...?'  This is indeed a temptation of the enemy.  Why should you be so ingenious in tormenting yourself beforehand about something which perhaps will never happen?  Sufficient for the day is the evil thereof. Uneasy forebodings do us much harm; why do you so readily give way to them?  We make our own troubles, and what do we gain by it

To escape the pain caused by regret for the past or fear about the future, this is the rule to follow: leave the past to the infinite mercy of God, the future to His good Providence, and give the present wholly to His love by being faithful to His grace.”

Jean-Pierre de Caussade, L'Abandon a la Providence divine


“Man has places in his heart which do not yet exist— and into them enters suffering, in order that they may have life.”

Léon Bloy


Stocks rose.

The VIX fell a little.

The Dollar drifted lower.

Gold and silver were higher.

The markets are obviously waiting to see what Fed Chairman Jay Powell has to say tomorrow at 10 AM.

Let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.