23 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Unbalanced Rebalancing

 

“There is only one kind of shock worse than the totally unexpected: the expected for which one has refused to prepare.”

Mary Renault, The Charioteer


"The dictatorship, and the whole process of its coming into being, was above all diverting. It provided an excuse not to think for people who did not want to think anyway. I do not speak of your ‘little men,’ your baker and so on; I speak of my colleagues and myself, learned men, mind you. Most of us did not want to think about fundamental things and never had. There was no need to.

Milton Mayer, They Thought They Were Free: The Germans 1933-1945


"It seems that under the overwhelming impact of rising power, humans are deprived of their inner independence and, more or less consciously, give up establishing an autonomous position toward the emerging circumstances.

The fact that the foolish person is often stubborn must not blind us to the fact that he is not independent. In conversation with him, one virtually feels that one is dealing not at all with him as a person, but with slogans, catchwords, and the like that have taken possession of him.

He is under a spell, blinded, misused, and abused in his very being. Having thus become a mindless tool, the foolish person will also be capable of any evil and at the same time incapable of seeing that it is evil. This is where the danger of diabolical misuse lurks, for it is this that can once and for all destroy human beings.”

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Letters and Papers From Prison


If today was the fourth Friday in June then this must have been thee annual rebalancing of the Russell 2000.

And so about 40% of the daily volume in equities came in the last five minutes of trading.

Gold and the dollar finished higher, while silver slumped a little with stocks.

VIX remains comparatively complacent.

Next Tuesday the 27th will be a precious metals futures option expiration on the Comex.

Have a pleasant weekend.


22 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Oathbreakers and Faithless Shepherds

 

Thomas More:  When a man takes an oath, Meg, he's holding his own self in his own hands.  Like water.  And if he opens his fingers then— he needn't hope to find himself again.

Robert Bolt, A Man For All Seasons

"The wealthy, not only by private fraud but also by common laws, do every day pluck and snatch away from the people some part of their daily living.  I perceive nothing but a certain conspiracy of rich men in procuring their own commodities under the name and authority of the commonwealth.  They invent and devise all means and crafts, first how to keep safely without fear of losing that which they have unjustly gathered together, and next how to hire and abuse the work and labor of the people for as little money and effort as possible."

Thomas More, Utopia

"You who make wicked judgements, who write oppressive laws to deprive the needy of justice, and to rob the poor of their rights, that widows may be your victims, and that you may make the orphans your prey— what will you do on the day of reckoning, when the consequences come from afar?   To whom will you run for protection, and where will you hide your riches?"

Isaiah 10:1-3

"No one can serve two masters, for he will hate the one and love the other, or he will be devoted to the one, and despise the other.   You cannot serve both God and your possessions."

Matt 6:24

Margaret Roper:  Haven't you done as much as God can reasonably want?
Thomas More:  Well, finally— it isn't a matter of reason.  Finally, it's a matter of love.

Robert Bolt, A Man For All Seasons

 

Stocks managed to put together a bounce today after the steep sell off from earlier this week.

That in turn was the consequence of a parabolic move higher which was targeting the very large short position in the SP 500.

The capital allocation system in the US has been co-opted, and broken.  

This will end badly.   And the jokers running the show do not care.  At all.

Gold and silver took a hit in the futures but recovered much of it in the miners.

The Dollar recovered what it gave up yesterday.

VIX continues to drift lower.

The oligarchs and their servants lie, to everyone and each other.

And they have come to admire their lies, for none do it better, or more boldly.

Dancing on the edge of a volcano.

Have a pleasant evening.



21 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - C'est la mode du temps, cherie, c'est la mode

 

"As a country becomes industrialized, its governance and corruption challenges do not disappear. They simply morph and become more sophisticated: transfer of a briefcase stashed with cash is less frequent.
Instead, subtler forms of capture and 'legal corruption' exist: an expectation of a future job for a regulator in a lobbying firm, or a campaign contribution with strings attached.  In many countries this may be legal, even if unethical.  In industrialized nations undue influence is often legally exercised by powerful private interests, which in turn influence the nation's regulations, policies and laws."

Daniel Kaufmann, Corruption And The Global Financial Crisis, Forbes, 27 January 2009

"America is caught in a confidence or credibility trap, in which the changes, investigations, and reforms necessary to restore trust to an economy or market are rendered unlikely because doing so would expose a pervasive corruption that the principals fear would destroy the careers of politicians and business people who may have permitted and even appeared to facilitate the control fraud that caused the financial crisis in the first place."

Jesse, America Trapped in a Massive Coverup of Control Fraud and Corruption, 22 January 2011


"As many as a dozen members of Congress and their aides took part in insider trading based on foreknowledge of market moving information on Capitol Hill, disgraced Washington lobbyist Jack Abramoff told CNBC in an interview.  Legal analysts say that Wall Street insider trading laws do not apply to Congress.   As an open and public institution, the legal assumption has long been that any member of the public can have access to information about how Congress works.  In practice, though, that's simply not true, as powerful members of Congress come into contact daily with market-moving tidbits.  That gap between the law and the reality has made Capitol Hill a virtual free-fire zone for insider trading."

Eamon Javers, Congress Members Took Part in Insider Trading, 11 Nov 2011

"But it is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon him not understanding it."

Upton Sinclair, The Moneychangers

"The abuse of buying and selling votes crept in and money began to play an important part in determining elections.  Later on, this process of corruption spread to the law courts.  And then to the army, and finally the Republic was subjected to the rule of emperors."

Plutarch, The Roman Republic


Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is providing testimony this week to the US Congress.

Today he made the markets cringe by reasserting that the Fed is seriously about reducing inflation.

Gold and silver were smashed early in the morning, but gained quite a bit of that as the day wore on.

VIX declined.

Markets remain wobbly and will be sensitive to a negative exogenous event.

Have a pleasant evening.



20 June 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Witness to Injustice - True Nihilism

 

"We cannot speak to the conscience of the world when our own conscience is asleep."

Carl von Ossietzky, editor of Die Weltbühne, awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1935


"During the years of the Weimar Republic Carl von Ossietzky's political commentaries gained him a reputation as a fervent supporter of democracy and a pluralistic society.  He was convicted in 1931 of revealing state secrets, the illegal German militarization, and served 18 months in prison.  He was released in 1932.

Ossietzky continued to be a constant warning voice against militarism and Nazism when, in January 1933, Adolf Hitler was appointed Chancellor and the Nazi dictatorship began.  Ossietzky was one of a very small group of public figures who continued to speak out against the now ruling Nazi Party.

On 28 February 1933, after the Reichstag fire, he was taken by the police and held without trial in Spandau prison.  He was detained afterwards at the concentration camp KZ Esterwegen near Oldenburg.

He was visited while in the camp by Swiss historian Carl Jacob Burkhardt, as a representative of the International Red Cross.  Burkhardt described Ossietzky as 'a deadly pale broken creature, who seemed numb, with one eye swollen over, and his teeth broken.'

Carl von Ossietzky's international rise to fame began in 1936 when, already suffering from serious illness that was not being treated, he was awarded the 1935 Nobel Peace Prize after an international campaign of people who hoped to achieve his release through this recognition and honor. 

 The award divided public opinion, and was generally condemned by conservative forces.  The leading conservative Norwegian newspaper Aftenposten argued in an editorial that Ossietzky was a criminal.

He was largely forgotten during the period of favorable international regard for the Third Reich, sparked in part by the propaganda campaign for the 1936 Berlin Olympics and the German 'economic miracle.'

Ossietzky died in the Nordend hospital in Berlin-Pankow, still in police custody, on 4 May 1938, of tuberculosis and from the after-effects of the abuse he suffered in the concentration camps.  In 1938 Time Magazine named Adolf Hitler as their 'Man of the Year.'"

Jesse, In memory of Journalist Carl von Ossietzky, 16 June 2012


"Which of the prophets did your ancestors not persecute?  They put to death those who foretold the coming of the righteous one, whose betrayers and murderers you have become."

Acts 7:52


“Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence and thereby eventually lose all ability to defend ourselves and those we love."

Julian Assange, Witnessing


Commodities were slammed today, with oil, gold and silver taking a hard sell-off, purportedly because of a 'disappointment' on Wall Street at the level of Chinese economic stimulus.

Smells like teen spirit.

Stocks themselves were trading weakly despite the much better than expected housing data.

A true opium of the people is the belief that for our betrayals, our greed, our cowardice, our lawlessness, our selfishness, and even murders that we are not going to be judged.

Historically the cup is filling,  and this is when we might see a reversal begin to unfold, call it karma, nemesis, fortune, judgement, or natural consequence as you prefer.

But for now, let's see what the rest of the week brings.

Have a pleasant evening.