Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Fear Not

 

"If history is what is recorded, then deep history is the sum of events which tend to be officially obscured or even suppressed in traditional books and media.   Important recent deep events include the political assassinations of the 1960s, Watergate, Iran-Contra, and now 9/11.   All these deep events have involved what I call the deep state, that part of the state which is not publicly accountable, and pursues its goals by means which will not be approved by a public examination."

Peter Dale Scott, 9/11, JFK, and War: Recurring Patterns, 2013

"The ultimate purpose of crime is to establish an endless empire.  It seeks a state of complete insecurity and anarchy, founded upon the tainted ideals of a world thought doomed to annihilation.   When humanity, subjugated by the terror of crime, has been driven mad by fear and horror, and when chaos has become the supreme law, then the time for the empire of lawlessness will have come."

Friedrich Rudolf Klein-Rogge, Das Testament des Dr. Mabuse, 1933

"Wonderful providence indeed which is so silent, yet so efficacious, so constant, so unerring.  This is what baffles the power of Satan.  He cannot discern the Hand of God in what goes on; and though he would fain meet it and encounter it, in his mad and blasphemous rebellion against heaven, he cannot find it.

The world seems to go on as usual.  There is nothing of heaven in the face of society; in the news of the day there is nothing of heaven; in the faces of the many, or of the great, or of the rich, or of the busy, there is nothing of heaven; in the words of the eloquent, or the deeds of the powerful, or the counsels of the wise, or the resolves of the lordly, or the pomps of the wealthy, there is nothing of heaven. 

And yet the Ever-blessed Spirit of God is here; the Presence of the Eternal Son, ten times more glorious, more powerful than when He trod the earth in our flesh, is with us.  Let us ever bear in mind this divine truth,—the more secret God's hand is, the more powerful—the more silent, the more awful."

John Henry Newman, Parochial and Plain Sermons Vol 4 No 17, 1838

 

A fairly in-line CPI reading seemed to have a delayed reaction in cheering the risk markets higher.

VIX fell.

The Dollar chopped around and finished just about unchanged.

Gold backed off a bit, but silver rose with equities.

PPI tomorrow.

We're in the 'silly season' now as the election approaches.  

Added to that the stresses of our irrational foreign policies is making people abandon reason in the face of the unreasonable. 

But, the madness serves none but itself.

We have our light to follow, and we know what to do.  The best course of personal and financial action is to keep our heads focused on what is true, and let the madness go its own way. 

The madness serves none but itself.

"When humanity has been driven mad by fear and horror, and when chaos has become the supreme law, then the time for the empire of lawlessness will have come."

Fritz Lang said this in his cinema, in 1933, as the society of his time was giving way to madness, and slipping steadily into the abyss.

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Devils in the Dominant Narrative

 

"It is not simply crude power that triumphs abroad, but its exultant justification.   The world is being inundated by the brazen conviction that power can do anything, and justice nothing."

Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn, Nobel Lecture for Literature, 1970

"Unpopular ideas can be silenced, and inconvenient facts kept dark, without the need for any official ban.  At any given moment there is an orthodoxy, a body of ideas which it is assumed that all right-thinking people will accept without question.  It is not exactly forbidden to say this, that or the other, but it is ‘not done’ to say it.  Anyone who challenges the prevailing orthodoxy finds himself silenced with surprising effectiveness."

George Orwell, Freedom of the Press

"Do not be surprised, brothers and sisters, if the world hates you.  We know that we have passed from death to life, because we love one another.  Anyone who does not love is in thrall to death.  Anyone who hates a brother or sister is a murderer.  And you know that no murderer has life eternal residing in him.

Little children, let us not love with words or speech but with actions and truth."

1 John 3:13-18

"Why is my language not clear to you?  Because you are unable to hear what I say.  You belong to your father, the devil, and you want to carry out your father’s desires.  He was a murderer from the beginning, not holding to the truth, for there is no truth in him.  When he lies, he speaks his native language, for he is a liar and the father of lies."

John 8:43-44

"The selfishness of an age that has devoted itself to the mere cult of pleasure has tainted the whole human race with an error that makes all our acts more or less lies against God.   The devil is no fool.   He can get people feeling about heaven the way they ought to feel about hell.  And men are so poor in intellect that a few cold chills down their spine will be enough to keep them from ever finding out the truth about anything.  We stumble and fall constantly even when we are most enlightened.  But when we are in true spiritual darkness, we do not even know that we have fallen."

Thomas Merton, No Man Is an Island


Stocks managed to hold a bounce today.

VIX fell, of course.

The Dollar chopped around, but finished mostly unchanged.

Gold and silver are hanging in there.

Gold seems to be in an ascending triangle, which is developing along the lines of a potential continuation pattern.

Tomorrow we get the CPI and PPI the day after.

This may help to resolve a number of things on the charts.

I have seen our leadership perpetrate nasty and undesirable things in my life. 

Most of the time they were truly awful, but hidden with some sense of shame.

Their boldness is growing, and the facades are falling away. 

And they delight with the skill in their lying.

"As soon as men know they that they can kill without fear of punishment or blame, they kill; or at least they encourage killers, with approving smiles."

Simone Weil, La Pesanteur et la Grâce, 1947

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - A Gathering of Vultures

 

"The historical evidence is overwhelming.  Many societies have done well for a while – until powerful people get out of hand.  This is an easy pattern to see at a distance and in other cultures.   It is typically much harder to recognize when your own society now has an elite less subject to effective constraints and more able to exert power in an abusive fashion.   And given the long history of strong institutions in the United States, it appears particularly difficult for some people to acknowledge that we have serious governance issues that need to be addressed.

We had strong institutions for a long time in this country — including effective checks on the power of bankers.  Many people remember that history and still hold its image in their mind’s eye as they look at modern Wall Street.  It’s time to wake up.  In recent decades we abandoned the governance mechanisms that previously served us well.  Global megabanks have obtained excessive and inappropriate power – the power to take a great deal of risk, with cash for their executives on the upside and huge damage for the rest of us on the downside."

Simon Johnson, Jamie Dimon and the Fall of Nations, May 31,2012

"Give strength to the hands that are tired
      and to knees that tremble with weakness.
Tell all who are discouraged,
      'Be strong. Do not be afraid.
      God is coming to your rescue,
      coming to chastise the oppressor.'”

Isaiah 35:3-4

"For they sanctify the power of markets in the name of economic efficiency, which requires the elimination of administrative or political barriers capable of inconveniencing the owners of capital in their individual quest for the maximisation of individual profit, which has been turned into a model of rationality.  And they preach the subordination of nation-states to the requirements of economic freedom for the masters of the economy, with the suppression of any regulation of any market, beginning with the labour market, the prohibition of deficits and inflation, the general privatisation of public services, and the reduction of public and social expenses."

Pierre Bourdieu, L’essence du néolibéralisme

"Until this moment I think I never gauged the cruelty or recklessness of some conservative economists, politicians and their masters. They have created a wreckage of financial devices and led us on the edge of a societal precipice.  Have they not done enough?  Have they no sense of decency left at long last?

Must they now attempt to define the poor as those who by their nature prefer cheap and shoddy goods, and a lower standard of life, and who are therefore are separate but equal with the wealthy who are genetically compelled (entitled?) to require the finer things in life?  The words of Robert Welch to lowlifes like McCarthy and Cohn still fit after all these years, to those lacking the basic integrity of the schoolyard, who thrive on and generate conflict, and who will say or do almost anything in their pursuit of the will to power."

Jesse, Economists Discover 'Separate But Equal', 20 May 2008

"They asked, 'Where will this happen, Lord?' And Jesus said, 'Where death is, there a gathering of vultures will be.'”

Luke 17:37


Stocks managed to bounce back today after last week's rough declines.

Gold and silver were higher.

The Dollar was higher.

VIX fell.

The news to watch this week will be the CPI on Wednesday, and the PPI on Thursday.

There seems to be a consensus that the Fed will be making their 'pivot' official, and offer up a rate cut at their next meeting this month.

The debate is whether it will be 25 or 50 bp.

If it is 50 I would expect it to be due to the proximity of the Presidential election, so they will cut big once and then stand aside until after that event.

But let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - From the Wilderness

 

"Anger and fury are abominations, yet a sinner holds them close in his heart. The vengeful will face the Lord’s justice, for he has a strict account of their sins. Forgive your neighbor the wrong he has done, and then your sins will be forgiven when you pray."

Sirach 27:30-28:1

"Spiritual pride blinds us to our own faults. But even worse, it leads us to magnify and fix ourselves upon the faults of others.  We become full of the law, and harsh judgement, and the trappings and ornaments of worldly observance, and finally, ourselves.  It is a sickening romance with the self, unto death."

Jesse, On Being Human, 20 August 2017

"Holiness consists simply in doing God's will, and being just what God wants us to be. Our Lord does not look so much at the greatness of our actions, or even at their difficulty, but at the love with which we do them. Without love deeds, even the greatest, count as nothing. Our Lord's love shines forth as much in the simplest of souls as it does in the most highly gifted, as long as there is no refusal of His grace."

Thérèse Martin de Lisieux

"Then the devil took him to a very high mountain, and showed him all the kingdoms of the world, and their extravagance and splendour. ‘All this I will give you,’ he said, ‘if you will fall down and worship me.’ And Jesus said, ‘Begone, Satan. For it is written: “Worship the Lord your God, and serve him only.”’ Then the devil left, and angels came and ministered to him."

Matthew 4:8-11

"In the Incarnation the whole human race recovers the dignity of the image of God. Thereafter, any attack, even on the least of men, is an attack on Christ, who took on the form of man, and in His own Person restored the image of God in all. Through our relationship with the Incarnation we recover our true humanity, and at the same time are delivered from that perverse individualism which is the consequence of sin, and recover our familiarity with all mankind."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, The Cost of Discipleship

"And because of the increase in wickedness, the love of most will grow cold. But those who endure to the end will be saved The gospel of the kingdom of God will be proclaimed throughout the world, as a testimony to all nations. And then the end will come."

Matthew 24:11-14


The numbers for the Non-Farm Payrolls report were remarkably in-line with expectations.

But the revisions lower in the prior months cast a pall on the outlook.

Still, its just a question of the magnitude of the Fed's next interest rate decision not the direction, which is lower.

Stocks sold off hard, and went out near the lows.

Gold and silver were sold.

The Dollar rose slightly.

VIX is wandering around.

Let's see if next week brings any clarity.  Today looked like the usual technical trading gambits we see on event days such as this.

How far have we fallen from the ideals embodied in the oaths our leaders and public officials take to uphold the Constitution.

Have a pleasant weekend.