04 June 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The People of the Lie

 

“Evil is not committed by people who feel uncertain about their righteousness, who question their own motives, who worry about betraying themselves.  The evil in this world is committed by the spiritual fat cats, by the Pharisees of our own day, the self-righteous who think they are without sin because they are unwilling to suffer the discomfort of significant self-examination.

The evil hate the light—the light of goodness that shows them up, the light of scrutiny that exposes them, the light of truth that penetrates their deception.”

M. Scott Peck, People of the Lie, October 10, 2023

"Narcissists damage and hurt but they do so offhandedly and naturally, as an afterthough. They are aware of what they are doing to others - but they do not care.”

Sam Vaknin, Malignant Self-Love

“'Woe to you, Pharisees.  For you love to sit in the seats of honor in the synagogues and receive respectful greetings as you walk in the marketplaces. What sorrow is awaiting you.  For you are like hidden graves in a field. People walk over them without knowing the corruption.'

'Teacher,' said an expert in religious law, 'you have insulted us too, in what you just said.'

And Jesus said, 'What sorrow also awaits you lawyers and teachers of the law.  For you crush people with unreasonable demands, and you never lift a finger to ease their burden.  What sorrow awaits you.  For you raise monuments to the very prophets that your fathers killed.'"

Luke 11:40-50

"We have now sunk to a depth at which the restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men.  It is not merely that at present the rule of naked force obtains almost everywhere.  Bully-worship, under various disguises, has become a universal religion."

George Orwell, Book Review of Bertrand Russell's Power, 1939

 

This was an interesting way that Zelensky and Trump decided to kick off a proposed cease-fire discussion.

This isn't NY real estate deals, bullying  and threatening weaker parties.   

I suspect that Putin is from the Chicago School:  'They send one of ours to the hospital, we send one of theirs to the morgue.'

But this is not funny, and it is a game that comes with consequences.   Papa needs a brand new bag. 

Stocks lost their early rally attempt.

The Dollar declined.

VIX is now at the complacent level.

It's a matter of days to the next correction. 

Not even Bessent and the ESF can prop this mispriced pig up indefinitely.

Believe what you will, it's still a nominally free country.

But if you wish to trade the markets, it's good to see things as they are behind the enticing illusions. 

Have a pleasant evening. 

 

03 June 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Thy Will Be Done

 

"In all these instances the large multinational bankers were actively supporting both sides.  It is a shocking fact that both British and American banks continued to do business with the Nazis even after the War was well underway, even as Germany was invading Europe and bombing London."

BBC, Banking with Hitler, 1998

"One of the primary characteristics of narcissists is their exaggerated sense of entitlement.  In their heavily self-biased opinion, if they want something, by rights it should be theirs.  So, nothing if not opportunistic, they take from public and private coffers alike whatever they think they can get away with.  And given their grandiose sense of self, they're inclined to believe they can get away with most anything."

Leon F. Seltzer, Narcissism: Why It's So Rampant in Politics, December 21, 2011

“When Fascism came into power, most people were unprepared, both theoretically and practically.  They were unable to believe that man could exhibit such propensities for evil, such lust for power, such disregard for the rights of the weak, or such yearning for submission.”

Erich Fromm, Escape from Freedom, 1941

“There are only two kinds of people in the end— those who say to God, 'Thy will be done,' and those to whom God says, in the end, 'Thy will be done.'  All that are in Hell choose it.  Without that self-choice there could be no Hell.”

C.S. Lewis, The Great Divorce, 1945

"War against a foreign country only happens when the moneyed classes think they are going to profit from it."

George Orwell

"They say to their seers, 'Do not see!’ and to the prophets, 'Say nothing of what is right!  Tell us only things that please us.  Prophesy illusions."

Isaiah 30:9-10

"It is so important to understand that one of the primary means of immobilizing the American people politically today is to hold them in a state of confusion in which anything can be believed but nothing can be known, nothing of significance that is.  And the American people are more than willing to be held in this state because to know the truth — as opposed to only believe the truth — is to face an awful terror and to be no longer able to evade responsibility."

E. Martin Schotz, History Will Not Absolve Us, 1996

"Many of us like to ask ourselves, 'What would I do if I was alive during slavery?  Or the Jim Crow South?  Or apartheid?  What would I do if my country was committing genocide?'  The answer is, you're doing it.  Right now."

Aaron Bushnell

"They live out their days in prosperity, and slide peacefully down into hell."

Job 21:13

In keeping with the endless wash and rinse most markets had a bit of a reversal today.

Gold and silver fell, although both came back quite a bit from their lows.

The Dollar bounced.

Stocks managed to rally a bit.

VIX fell even lower, into the territory that suggests a correction may be in the cards.

All in all, a snoratorium except for hard core day traders.

Have a pleasant evening.

02 June 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Truth to Powerful Illusions

 

"The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake.  We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power, pure power.  What pure power means you will understand presently.  We are different from the oligarchies of the past in that we know what we are doing.  All the others, even those who resembled ourselves, were cowards and hypocrites.

The German Nazis and the Russian Communists came very close to us in their methods, but they never had the courage to recognize their own motives. They pretended, perhaps they even believed, that they had seized power unwillingly and for a limited time, and that just around the corner there lay a paradise where human beings would be free and equal.

We are not like that. We know that no one ever seizes power with the intention of relinquishing it.  Power is not a means; it is an end.  One does not establish a dictatorship in order to safeguard a revolution; one makes the revolution in order to establish the dictatorship.  The object of persecution is persecution.  The object of torture is torture.  The object of power is power.”

George Orwell, 1984

"What happens to a society fed a diet of rushed, re-purposed, thinly reported content? Or branded content that is really merchandising — propaganda — posing as journalism? And what happens when PR turns a profit and the truth goes penniless?"

Bill Moyers, Journalism in the Pressure Cooker of Plutocracy, May 26, 2015

"Early on in the gospel traditions the power elite in Jesus’ society, who were colluding with the Roman Empire, recognized him as a threat and began to conspire to kill him.  Jesus became a reference point for much of the hostility and resistance to the power of the empire because he refused to accommodate it, and told another story of reality that the empire could not co-opt."

Jonathan Merritt, Walter Brueggemann On How to Speak Truth to Power, June 26, 2014 


Gold and silver were the big story today, as they both had a 'snapback rally' from the market manipulation of last week with their option expiration on the Comex.

There will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report on this Friday the 6th.  Shenanigans are to be expected.

Some think that markets are 'efficient,' that is the assumption that prices are set by supply and demand, on a fairly even and steady course.

And this has proven to be discredited nonsense.  Prices in lightly regulated markets in the short term are set at the margins, as larger players with more knowledge and leverage and a bigger stack of chips can push the price of things around with relative ease.  

Longer term manipulation is possible with a great application of force and fraud.   

The efficient market hypothesis is a such an implausible canard that I doubt anyone who was not talking their book or plagued by commercial or ideologically induced naïveté could have said it.

“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market.  Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis.  Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.”

Benoît B. Mandelbrot, The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, 1997

Stocks managed to creep up today. 

VIX continued to fall.

Uncle Buck took it on the chin a bit, back down to the 98 handle. 

I suspect that things are not going to be going well in general over the next few month, despite what the media of our free nations will be saying and the burning need that some cultist sorts may feel to believe in false idols, until their bitter end.   

Have a pleasant evening. 

 

30 May 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Virtue of the Simple, and the Wisdom of the Just

 

"Joan was a being so uplifted from the ordinary run of mankind that she finds no equal in a thousand years. She embodied the natural goodness and valour of the human race in unexampled perfection. Unconquerable courage, infinite compassion, the virtue of the simple, the wisdom of the just, shone forth in her. She glorifies as she freed the soil from which she sprang."

Winston Churchill, The Birth of Britain, 1956

“She was truthful when lying was the common speech of men; she was honest when honesty was become a lost virtue; she was a keeper of promises when the keeping of a promise was expected of no one; she gave her great mind to great thoughts and great purposes when other great minds wasted themselves upon pretty fancies or upon poor ambitions; she was modest, and fine, and delicate when to be loud and coarse might be said to be universal; she was full of pity when a merciless cruelty was the rule; she was steadfast when stability was unknown, and honorable in an age which had forgotten what honor was; she was a rock of convictions in a time when men believed in nothing and scoffed at all things.

She was unfailingly true to an age that was false to the core; she maintained her personal dignity unimpaired in an age of fawnings and servilities; she was of a dauntless courage when hope and courage had perished in the hearts of her nation; she was spotlessly pure in mind and body when society in the highest places was foul in both—she was all these things in an age when crime was the common business of lords and princes, and when the highest personages in Christendom were able to astonish even that infamous era and make it stand aghast at the spectacle of their atrocious lives black with unimaginable treacheries, butcheries, and beastialities. Whatever thing men call great, look for it in Joan of Arc, and there you will find it.”

Mark Twain, Joan of Arc, 1896

"I know this now.  Every man gives his life to what he believes.  Every woman gives her life for what she believes.  Sometimes people believe in little or nothing, and so they give their lives to little or nothing.  If I am not in the state of grace, may God put me there; and if I am, may God so keep me.  I would that every one could hear the Voice as I hear it.

You say that you are my judge. I do not know if you are.  But I tell you that you must take good care not to judge me wrongly, because you will put yourself in great danger.  I warn you, so that if God punishes you for it, I have done my duty by telling you."

Jeanne d'Arc, Trial records, 15 March 1431

"God have mercy upon us, we have burned a saint."

A Witness at the Execution, 30 May 1431


There was quite a bit more of end of month jockeying of stock prices that one might have expected for a non-end of quarter close.

Stocks ended up mostly unchanged after a wide-ranging day.

Gold and silver were shoved around, and the miners with them.

Silver and gold came back a bit but still finished lower.

The Dollar was largely unchanged from the close yesterday.

VIX is wallowing.

We have to sit back and watch to see how the geopolitical situation continues to unfold this weekend.  

Need little, want less, love more.  For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

We were born for this.

Have a pleasant weekend.