08 August 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Show Me Your Ways, O Lord

 

"Show me your ways, O Lord, and teach me your paths. Lead me in your truth, and teach me: for you are the God of my salvation.  Remember, O Lord, your tender mercies and loving kindness, as they have ever been of old."

Psalm 25:4-6

"'For I was hungry and you gave me no food, I was thirsty and you gave me nothing to drink, I was a stranger and you did not welcome me, naked and you did not give me clothing, sick and in prison and you did not visit me.'

And they will ask, 'Lord, when was it that we saw you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or sick or in prison, and did not take care of you?' Then he will answer, 'Truly I tell you, just as you did not do it for one of the least of these, you did not do it to me.'”

Matthew 25:42-45

"A new commandment I give you, to love one another. As I have loved you, so you must love one another."

John 13:34

"There was a scholar of the law who had come to test him and said, 'Rabbi, what must I do to inherit eternal life?' and Jesus asked him, 'What is written in the law? How do you understand it?' The scholar replied, 'You shall love the Lord, your God, with all your heart, with all your being, with all your strength, and with all your mind, and your neighbor as yourself.' Jesus replied, 'You have answered correctly. Do this and you will live.' But because he wished to justify himself, he asked Jesus, 'And who then is my neighbor?' 

And Jesus replied, 'A man fell victim to robbers, as he went down from Jerusalem to Jericho...'"

Luke 10:25-30


Stocks had their usual funny, highly contrived trading day.

Most of the action on the tape seems very 'handled.'

Gold was hit after a huge overnight spike up to a new near term record high.

Silver just meandered around.  I think the physical delivery situation will sustain silver to a certain degree - because the Western central banks do not have any silver in their reserves to lend out at key moments.

The Dollar chopped around and ended mostly unchanged. 

VIX dropped quite a bit.  We are back into relative complacency.

If one ignores the sturm und drang of the contrived culture conflicts, it is difficult to understand who is really running things in the US political system, and why basic transparency and reform seem to be so illusive. contrived contrasts of the culture conflicts,

Here is an interesting discussion of the American political scene since WW II and the growth of the 'Deep State' for your weekend viewing.

Have a pleasant weekend.

 


07 August 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Mindless Tools, Foolish Hearts, Diabolical Madness

 

"The inability to identify with others was unquestionably the most important psychological condition for the fact that something like Auschwitz could have occurred in the midst of more or less civilised and innocent people. The silence under the terror was only its consequence. The coldness of the societal mindset, the isolated competitor, was the precondition, as indifference to the fate of others, for the fact that only very few people reacted."

Theodor Adorno, Education After Auschwitz, 18 April 1966

"They defended him, verbally and physically, every time he committed one of his criminal acts. They went blithely on past the suffering of all the bombing victims, the prisoners in the concentration camps, and the religious persecutors, because a different regime would have meant the end of their power."

Friedrich Reck-Malleczewen, Diary of a Man in Despair, 1947

"Against such foolishness we are defenseless. Neither protests nor the use of force accomplish anything here; reasons fall on deaf ears; facts that contradict one’s prejudgment simply need not be believed — in such moments the foolish person even becomes critical — and when facts are irrefutable, they are just pushed aside as inconsequential, as incidental.

In all this the foolish person, in contrast to the malicious one, is utterly self-satisfied and, being easily irritated, becomes dangerous by going on the attack.

The fact that the foolish person is often stubborn must not blind us to the fact that he is not independent. In conversation with him, one virtually feels that one is dealing not at all with a person, but with slogans, catchwords and the like that have taken possession of him. He is under a spell, blinded, misused, and abused in his very being.

Having thus become a mindless tool, the foolish person will also be capable of any evil and at the same time incapable of seeing that it is evil. This is where the danger of diabolical misuse lurks, for it is this that can once and for all destroy human beings.

The word of the Bible that the fear of God is the beginning of wisdom declares that the internal liberation of human beings to live the responsible life before God is the only genuine way to overcome foolishness."

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Letters and Papers from Prison, executed on April 9, 1945

"If there are damned souls in Hell, it is because men blind themselves.”

E.A. Bucchianeri, Faust: My Soul Be Damned for the World, 2010


The lust for money and power is indifferent to whom it sickens and kills.

It knows and serves only itself.

But the Devil sees and desires you, to ravage, possess, and consume you.

And there are those who are attracted to such ardent devotion, and yearn to give their hearts over to darkness. 

They hold out their hand, and he entwines his fingers with theirs tightly, and they are his.

It's the fashion of the day.  All the finest people are doing it. 

Stocks did a fairly impressive pop and flop today, but managed to come back to unchanged in the last hour.

It's doesn't matter if the market is sound, what matters is that it looks good.   

Gold and silver rallied, with gold going out on a recent closing high.

The Dollar took a dive in that same last hour of trading.

What new knowledge penetrated the mind of the market in the late afternoon. 

We mere mortals can only wonder.

Let's see what happens tomorrow, in the markets and the world.  Perhaps goodness will finally prevail..

But if not, I will not bow, and God grant that we will never bow, before the gods of evil.  

Even if we are only a few, a happy few, who will remain standing. 

Have a pleasant evening. 

06 August 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Lords of Excess

 

"Wall Street in boom days is an aggregation of madmen. The Stock Exchange becomes Bedlam well dressed. In the end, of course, all violations of the fundamental laws of economic and financial common sense are paid for; but every bull thinks he will unload before the break. They really do not know when to stop winning, and so in the end they lose profit and principal.”

Edwin Lefevre

"The world needs a new generation of policymakers who don’t hobnob with billionaire speculators and who understand workers’ concerns. Unfortunately, the change will not come smoothly."

Andy Xie

"Wealth, in even the most improbable cases, manages to convey the aspect of intelligence. Wealth is the relentless enemy of understanding. In a community where the primary concern is making money, one of the necessary rules is to live and let live. To speak out against madness may be to ruin those who have succumbed to it. So the wise in Wall Street are nearly always silent. The foolish thus have the field to themselves. None rebukes them.

John Kenneth Galbraith

"At the root of America's economic crisis lies a moral crisis: the decline of civic virtue among America's political and economic elite. A society of markets, laws, and elections is not enough if the rich and powerful fail to behave with respect, honesty, and compassion toward the rest of society and toward the world."

Jeffrey Sachs

"People criticize owning bullion because there’s no yield.  But there’s a reason everything else needs a yield, to compensate you for things like obsolescence risk, business-cycle risk and management risk, all of the things that gold does not have.  There’s a reason humanity has tended to use gold as an alternative to man-made currency – it’s the only virtually infinite-duration asset in the world."

Matthew McLennan, First Eagle Funds, 2015


I am posting the charts a bit early today, as I have an appointment to keep at 4 PM.

If stocks radically depart from their current levels I will update them later tonight.

But it seems like stocks are marking time now.

Having driven valuations to another extreme, the punters are waiting for an additional excuse to pump them even further.

Another vaporous big trade deal, another market friendly ruling, some imaginary reason to cast doubts aside and believe. 

In times of madness belief is a badge of belonging, of submerging frailty into the slogans and power of the herd, thereby escaping the burden of individuality.

We serve the Lords of Excess, or must navigate the unsteady winds of reality alone. 

Have a pleasant evening. 

05 August 2025

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Beasts and Angels

 

"The world would be better off if people tried to become better, and people would be better if they stopped trying to become better off.  For when everyone tries to become better off, nobody is better off.  But when everyone tries to become better everyone is better off."

Peter Maurin, Easy Essays, The Catholic Worker, 1933

"I was satisfied that I wasn't personally to blame and that I hadn't known about those things.  I wasn't aware of the extent of the crimes.  But one day I went past the memorial plaque which had been put up for Sophie Scholl in Franz Josef Strasse, and I saw that she was born the same year as me, and she was executed the same year I started working for Hitler.  And at that moment I actually sensed that it was no excuse to be young, and that it would have been possible to find things out."

Traudl Junge, Im toten Winkel - Hitler's Sekretärin, 2002

“How can we expect righteousness to prevail when there is hardly anyone willing to give himself up individually to a righteous cause? Such a fine, sunny day, and I have to go.”

Sophie Scholl, Last Words Before Execution, February 22, 1943

"Love does not make you weak, because it is the source of all strength— but it makes you see the nothingness of the illusory strength on which you depended before you knew it."

Léon Bloy, The Pilgrim of the Absolute

"The demon's target is not the possessed; it is us the observers— everyone in this house. The point is to make us despair, to reject our humanity, to see ourselves as bestial, vile and putrescent, without dignity, ugly, unworthy."

William Peter Blatty, The Exorcist, May 1971

"If heaven is seeing and in turn being seen, transformed and made new by the beatific face of pure love in resplendent glory, then hell must be seeing, at last and forever after, their own dark and miserable soul as it really is, alone."

Jesse, Death By Overdose, 24 February 2015

"Each day we are becoming a creature of splendid glory, or one of unthinkable horror.”

C. S. Lewis, Mere Christianity, 1952


Stocks retreated a bit, from yesterday's transparently mechanical optimism.

The market rises.  The abuse of power is affirmed.  QED.

This is the market as god, the new morality of the bestial class.

Gold and silver bounced around a bit.

The Dollar chopped its way to unchanged.

VIX showed a little consciousness.

I am struggling to believe we are going to come back from this.  

We seem to have lost our sense of ideals, and of history, our humanity, in worshiping the idol of the markets. 

We see the rising lust to possess and ravage innocence. 

On the one hand the political elite offer us power, the tooth and claw of the beast.  

And on the other, performative humanity, with the tooth and claw of the beast.

We live in a garden of beasts. 

I would like to think we are seeing the worst, but doubts remain. 

It comes down to a matter of faith. 

It is always, at the heart of love, down to love. 

Have a pleasant evening.