05 March 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - They Make a Desert, and Call It Peace


"Plunderers of the world, when nothing remains on the lands to which they have laid waste by wanton thievery, they search out across the seas.

The wealth of another region excites their greed; and if it is weak, their lust for power. Nothing from the rising to the setting of the sun is enough for them.  Among all others only they are compelled to attack the poor as well as the rich.

Robbery, rape, and slaughter they falsely call empire; and where they create a desolate wasteland, they call it peace."

Tacitus, Calgacus' Speech from Agricola

Perhaps Calgacus was anticipating the rise of the predatory financial class and their Banks.  They seem to be almost unparalleled in their global power and reach, as well as their lack of self-awareness, and arrogance.

Gold and silver bounced back a little today, but from the charts it is clear that they are now working once again on an important overhead resistance level that marks a key 'neckline' in a series of inverse head and shoulder formations.

We may see quite a bit of sideways chop for the month of March, in anticipation of the next active delivery month of April.

Friday is another Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is often a magnet for market antics.  If the big trading desks cannot shove the price of gold lower, then we might have some indirect confirmation that the shortage of physical gold from the huge transfer of bullion to Asia is starting to bite into the cartel's ability to shove the paper markets around with their position size and leverage. 

There was no movement of bullion in or out of the Comex warehouses yesterday.

Have a pleasant evening.







SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Non-Farm Payrolls Report on Friday


"When in any country the small-farmer class is being squeezed off the land; when its labourers are slaves or serfs; when huge tracts are kept waste to minister to pleasure; when the shibboleth of art is on every man's lips, but ideas of true beauty in very few men's souls; when the business-sharper is the greatest man in the city, and lords it even in the law courts; when class-magistrates, bidding for high office, deal out justice according to the rank of the criminal; when exchanges are turned into great gambling-houses, and senators and men of title are the chief gamblers; when, in short, 'corruption is universal, when there is increasing audacity, increasing greed, increasing fraud, increasing impurity, and these are fed by increasing indulgence and ostentation; when a considerable number of trials in the courts of law bring out the fact that the country in general is now regarded as a prey, upon which any number of vultures, scenting it from afar, may safely light and securely gorge themselves; when the foul tribe is amply replenished by its congeners at home, and foreign invaders find any number of men, bearing good names, ready to assist them in robberies far more cruel and sweeping than those of the footpad or burglar -- when such is the tone of society, and such the idols before which it bends, a nation must be fast going down hill.

A more repulsive picture can hardly be imagined. A mob, a moneyed class, and an aristocracy almost equally worthless, hating each other, and hated by the rest of the world; Italians bitterly jealous of Romans, and only in better plight than the provinces beyond the sea;  more miserable than either, swarms of slaves beginning to brood over revenge as a solace to their sufferings; the land going out of cultivation; native industry swamped by slave-grown imports; the population decreasing; the army degenerating; wars waged as a speculation, but only against the weak; provinces subjected to organized pillage; in the metropolis childish superstition, wholesale luxury, and monstrous vice.

The hour for reform was surely come. Who was to be the man?"

A.H. Beesley, The Gracchi Marius and Sulla, 1921

Stocks shook off the miss in the ISM Service number, and the weaker than expected ADP jobs number, including a huge downward revision in the prior month's number.

There will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.   I expect it will be weak, and that weakness will be blamed on the weather.  The Recovery™ will ask to be given a snow day.

It is hard to figure out which way the market will spin this.   Will they view it as a threat to the recovery and consumer demand, or a sign of more Fed largess that will continue to boost financial paper, if not the real economy?  

I suspect the reaction will be largely 'technical' and driven by the large trading desks in a standard wash and rinse of the stock owning public and their institutional proxies. 

The only thing efficient about this market is its extraction of wealth from productive activities to underserving insiders.

Have a pleasant evening.




Sheldon Wolin: Inverted Totalitarianism and the Rise of the Corporatist Neo-Cons


“The enormous gap between what US leaders do in the world and what Americans think their leaders are doing is one of the great propaganda accomplishments of the dominant political mythology.”

Michael Parenti

Note that Sheldon Wolin wrote his essay and book referenced below long before the revelations about the surveillance state, and the bailout and ongoing subsidy of the corporate financial sector by the Treasury and Federal Reserve, with the proposed counterbalance being the imposition of austerity on the greater public, and the confiscation of private savings first through monetary inflation with carefully targeted distribution, preferential immunities, and then through ongoing subsidies and bail-ins.

Although I enjoy Parenti's insight, I think an even greater propaganda accomplishment has been to distort and twist the dissident impulse of a free people into the ironically named libertarian support for dominance of the many by a powerful few, and the subservience of the individual to the corporate State, totalitarianism by another name and shape, but to essentially the same effect. Orwell or Bernays could have not imagined it any better.

And of course, the far left is no better in its elevation of the central power over the rights and integrity of the individual.  Human beings are always an endangered species in times of great change and political polarization.

The Nation
Inverted Totalitarianism
By Sheldon Wolin
May 1, 2003

The war on Iraq has so monopolized public attention as to obscure the regime change taking place in the Homeland. We may have invaded Iraq to bring in democracy and bring down a totalitarian regime, but in the process our own system may be moving closer to the latter and further weakening the former.

The change has been intimated by the sudden popularity of two political terms rarely applied earlier to the American political system. "Empire" and "superpower" both suggest that a new system of power, concentrated and expansive, has come into existence and supplanted the old terms. "Empire" and "superpower" accurately symbolize the projection of American power abroad, but for that reason they obscure the internal consequences.

Consider how odd it would sound if we were to refer to "the Constitution of the American Empire" or "superpower democracy." The reason they ring false is that "constitution" signifies limitations on power, while "democracy" commonly refers to the active involvement of citizens with their government and the responsiveness of government to its citizens. For their part, "empire" and "superpower" stand for the surpassing of limits and the dwarfing of the citizenry.

The increasing power of the state and the declining power of institutions intended to control it has been in the making for some time. The party system is a notorious example. The Republicans have emerged as a unique phenomenon in American history of a fervently doctrinal party, zealous, ruthless, antidemocratic and boasting a near majority. As Republicans have become more ideologically intolerant, the Democrats have shrugged off the liberal label and their critical reform-minded constituencies to embrace centrism and footnote the end of ideology.

In ceasing to be a genuine opposition party the Democrats have smoothed the road to power of a party more than eager to use it to promote empire abroad and corporate power at home. Bear in mind that a ruthless, ideologically driven party with a mass base was a crucial element in all of the twentieth-century regimes seeking total power.

Representative institutions no longer represent voters. Instead, they have been short-circuited, steadily corrupted by an institutionalized system of bribery that renders them responsive to powerful interest groups whose constituencies are the major corporations and wealthiest Americans. The courts, in turn, when they are not increasingly handmaidens of corporate power, are consistently deferential to the claims of national security.

Elections have become heavily subsidized non-events that typically attract at best merely half of an electorate whose information about foreign and domestic politics is filtered through corporate-dominated media. Citizens are manipulated into a nervous state by the media's reports of rampant crime and terrorist networks, by thinly veiled threats of the Attorney General and by their own fears about unemployment. What is crucially important here is not only the expansion of governmental power but the inevitable discrediting of constitutional limitations and institutional processes that discourages the citizenry and leaves them politically apathetic.

No doubt these remarks will be dismissed by some as alarmist, but I want to go further and name the emergent political system "inverted totalitarianism." By inverted I mean that while the current system and its operatives share with Nazism the aspiration toward unlimited power and aggressive expansionism, their methods and actions seem upside down. For example, in Weimar Germany, before the Nazis took power, the "streets" were dominated by totalitarian-oriented gangs of toughs, and whatever there was of democracy was confined to the government. In the United States, however, it is the streets where democracy is most alive--while the real danger lies with an increasingly unbridled government.

Or another example of the inversion: Under Nazi rule there was never any doubt about "big business" being subordinated to the political regime. In the United States, however, it has been apparent for decades that corporate power has become so predominant in the political establishment, particularly in the Republican Party, and so dominant in its influence over policy, as to suggest a role inversion the exact opposite of the Nazis'. At the same time, it is corporate power, as the representative of the dynamic of capitalism and of the ever-expanding power made available by the integration of science and technology with the structure of capitalism, that produces the totalizing drive that, under the Nazis, was supplied by ideological notions such as Lebensraum.

In rebuttal it will be said that there is no domestic equivalent to the Nazi regime of torture, concentration camps or other instruments of terror. But we should remember that for the most part, Nazi terror was not applied to the population generally; rather, the aim was to promote a certain type of shadowy fear--rumors of torture--that would aid in managing and manipulating the populace. Stated positively, the Nazis wanted a mobilized society eager to support endless warfare, expansion and sacrifice for the nation.

While the Nazi totalitarianism strove to give the masses a sense of collective power and strength, Kraft durch Freude ("Strength through joy"), inverted totalitarianism promotes a sense of weakness, of collective futility. While the Nazis wanted a continuously mobilized society that would not only support the regime without complaint and enthusiastically vote "yes" at the periodic plebiscites, inverted totalitarianism wants a politically demobilized society that hardly votes at all. Recall the President's words immediately after the horrendous events of September 11: "Unite, consume and fly," he told the anxious citizenry. Having assimilated terrorism to a "war," he avoided doing what democratic leaders customarily do during wartime: mobilize the citizenry, warn it of impending sacrifices and exhort all citizens to join the "war effort."

Instead, inverted totalitarianism has its own means of promoting generalized fear; not only by sudden "alerts" and periodic announcements about recently discovered terrorist cells or the arrest of shadowy figures or the publicized heavy-handed treatment of aliens and the Devil's Island that is Guantánamo Bay or the sudden fascination with interrogation methods that employ or border on torture, but by a pervasive atmosphere of fear abetted by a corporate economy of ruthless downsizing, withdrawal or reduction of pension and health benefits; a corporate political system that relentlessly threatens to privatize Social Security and the modest health benefits available, especially to the poor. With such instrumentalities for promoting uncertainty and dependence, it is almost overkill for inverted totalitarianism to employ a system of criminal justice that is punitive in the extreme, relishes the death penalty and is consistently biased against the powerless.

Thus the elements are in place: a weak legislative body, a legal system that is both compliant and repressive, a party system in which one party, whether in opposition or in the majority, is bent upon reconstituting the existing system so as to permanently favor a ruling class of the wealthy, the well-connected and the corporate, while leaving the poorer citizens with a sense of helplessness and political despair, and, at the same time, keeping the middle classes dangling between fear of unemployment and expectations of fantastic rewards once the new economy recovers. That scheme is abetted by a sycophantic and increasingly concentrated media; by the integration of universities with their corporate benefactors; by a propaganda machine institutionalized in well-funded think tanks and conservative foundations; by the increasingly closer cooperation between local police and national law enforcement agencies aimed at identifying terrorists, suspicious aliens and domestic dissidents.

What is at stake, then, is nothing less than the attempted transformation of a tolerably free society into a variant of the extreme regimes of the past century. In that context, the national elections of 2004 represent a crisis in its original meaning, a turning point. The question for citizens is: Which way?

Sheldon Wolin is the author of Alexis de Tocqueville: Man Between Two Worlds and Democracy Incorporated: Managed Democracy and the Specter of Inverted Totalitarianism.

Here is a review of Wolin's book 'Democracy Incorporated' by Chalmers Johnson

Inverted Totalitarianism: A New Way of Understanding How the U.S. Is Controlled.




04 March 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Ebb and Flow - Gresham's Law


"When a government overvalues one type of money and undervalues another, the undervalued money will leave the country or disappear from circulation into hoards, while the overvalued money will flood into circulation."

Gresham's Law
In case you were wondering why gold is flowing from west to east, it is Gresham's Law in action.  Nothing could be clearer.  What we have not yet seen is mispriced paper flowing back en masse into a vortex of defaults on counterparty risk.

It was 'risk on' in the markets as Russia's Putin reassured the world that he does not intend to invade the Ukraine, but will protect Russia's interests in the Crimea, a traditional base for their navy.

And so stocks soared, and gold and silver gave up some of the ground which they had taken yesterday.

So the ebb was in price, and there was no flow out of the Comex gold warehouse.

I suspect that March will be relatively quiet now, save for the stray exogenous event as we saw yesterday. The line in the sand has long been drawn on the charts, and the Anglo-American banking cartel is likely to try and hold the price about where it is now.

The wild card is the continuing physical offtake of real bullion in the Asia markets, particularly India and China.

President Obama submitted a 2015 budget today that was largely unnoticed with all the sabre rattling being done of the Congressional neo-cons.   It has an interesting infrastructure proposal, and some moves towards real tax reform by closing the massive carried interest loophole that serves the financiers and distorts capital allocation towards gimmickry. 

Given the broken state of the political landscape I sincerely doubt that anything constructive will be done.   Until the financial system is reformed, and balance is restored, there will be no sustainable recovery.   The plundering of the real economy by the moneyed interests will continue until exhaustion or collapse.

Bank of England Seeks to Suspend Derivatives Default Clause Now to Prevent Another Lehman.

I think when the time comes, when people finally wake up to the need to protect some portion of their wealth, there will be little or no physical gold or silver bullion available anywhere, at almost any price, for some period of time.

There will be a market dislocation as we saw in the credit markets when Lehman Brothers collapsed, and the pyramid of leveraged paper and cross claims came to a complete halt overnight, with no one knowing what is the real value of paper, and who owes what to whom.    It will be a cavalcade of broken promises and false representations.

And the Fed may face a daunting task in printing its way out of that one.  If it happens as I think, it will be a reckoning to remember.  It will be MF Global, writ large.

Have a pleasant evening.




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Rally Time, For Now


The markets took off higher overnight as Vladimir Putin indicated he was not interested in invading the Ukraine, but has moved to protect Russia's interest in the Crimea, which is their traditional naval base on the Black Sea.

I will not get into the response from Republicans like John McCain, since much of what they say is just partisan theater, politics as usual,  but let it suffice to say that it is a relief that the neo-cons are out of power and out of favor. One can forget how truly misguided they are.   I don't think they realize how the nation's attitude towards their discretionary wars has changed over the past thirteen years of continuous war. 

So what next. Despite the euphoria on Wall Street, the economic signs are still weak. I was reading the Fed's Mission Accomplished article by Tim Duy about those in the Fed who are urging higher interest rates now because of the 'tight labor market' and wonder to myself, 'what are they thinking?'

It is a tight labor market, if you are applying for a part time job flipping burgers or stacking shelves, but the recovery is tightly constrained to those economic sectors which have financialized the real economy, largely to the detriment of the greater public.

This is not to say that blowing a stock market bubble to cure the housing bubble that was created to offset the tech bubble is a good idea, but the Fed is celebrating The Recovery™ very prematurely, judging by the slack economic demand, continuing stagnation in real disposable income, and high economic uncertainty and insecurity enjoyed by most Americans.

Have a pleasant evening.





03 March 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Flight To Safety, Undeniable - Yellow Dog, Wagging


"When a nation threatens another nation the people of the latter forget their factionalism, their local antagonisms, their political differences, their suspicions of each other, their religious hostilities, and band together as one unit. Leaders know that, and that is why so many of them whip up wars during periods of national crisis, or when the people become discontented and angry."

Taylor Caldwell


"Every war when it comes, or before it comes, is represented not as a war but as an act of self-defense against a homicidal maniac...War against a foreign country only happens when the moneyed classes think they are going to profit from it."

George Orwell

Gold popped very hard today on what is undeniably a flight to safety out of fiat currencies and into something that is durable in a crisis with less counterparty risk. It was a clear result of the tension in the Crimea.

By the way, most Americans have little understanding of the role which the Crimea has played historically and how it is different from and more important to Russia than the Ukraine itself, which is important in its own right.

Nato has shoved its membership to the doorstep of Russia, using European as a proxy with the most to lose. And finally Russia has reacted, drawing their own line in the sand. And we are shocked, shocked that they can do something so primitive as send in the military to protect what they view as strategic interests over a territory and a people who have long standing ties.

I do not wish to defend Putin and what he is doing, as I prefer not to defend China. I view both of these former communist nations as evolving oligarchies that routinely diminish the rights of the individual and enjoy significant corruption at the top.  Copycats that they are.

Unfortunately continental Europe is providing a convenient buffer for this conflict by proxy, and we know what the Anglo-American policy thoughts on that topic have been of late, FU Europe. And that does not stand for Frank Underwood or Francis Urquhart, although it certainly matches their fictional styles towards politics depending on which version of House of Cards you may have been watching.  A house of cards indeed.

Have a pleasant evening.





SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Auto Sales Light


Auto sales, specifically for light vehicles aka light trucks, came in 'light' today.

As an aside, I grew up around and worked with the US auto industry most of my life, and have some particularly strong opinions on how they have failed to execute strategically.  And after many years of product management, albeit in an unrelated field, my thoughts on using product line strategies are fairly strongly set.

The Bloomberg anchor du jour thinks that domestic car sales are light because most of the kids are moving to a few large cities, where they do not need cars, and if they do, they will share them with Bitcar.

And his counterpart chimed in that the US automakers have made cars so well that people do not need them as often. As if.   Not a shred of evidence provided. 

Yes, urban consumers tend not to own cars, but I mean, come on.  And people are hanging on to their cars for much greater lengths of time.  And car repair and maintenance costs are no joke.   Is it car and truck ownership overall that is falling dramatically, or is it something else entirely related to our being in a continuing recession, the worst which we have seen since WW II? 

Rather, I think it is more likely that in their never-ending quest for maximum short term profit, the US automakers keep moving the goalposts for the average vehicle cost higher, even while the average US consumer is experiencing a balance sheet recession, and a great reluctance to make major purchases and take on years of debt.

What is the average cost for a decently equipped light vehicle these days, $30,000 or so? And import prices are decidedly higher. At these higher prices more affluent Americans tend to buy imports, rather than Fords or Chevies. If the US automakers are smart, having finally learned a lesson about quality, they need to relearn some lessons about marketing that they have also forgotten, and selling to your target markets. And most importantly, knowing who they are.

Why, for example, Ford does not more aggressively carve out a chunk of market share for themselves by making a determined effort to force BMW, Mercedes, and Toyota into the even higher brackets of consumer, and beat them to death with lower cost with quality and more basic vehicles with more standardized engineering components?  As I recall, the US did this spectacularly well once upon a time.   They can segment with real luxury brands as they once did, like Lincoln and Cadillac, and not trumped up high end basic vehicles with a few more standard options.

Ford had remarkable success with its Focus, but again they keep moving the average price higher and higher, treating each car line not as a strategic component but as an independent line competing on profit margin with each other.

So they tend to blur their marketing and attempt to optimize on profit margin on a vehicle line basis. And they continue to do some of the dumbest things in engineering their products, as if they have institutional amnesia with each model year. They repeat the same mistakes over and over, and manage for pennies while losing dollars.

This higher low end is the niche being targeted by Hyundai and some of the other newcomers, but their quality is lacking based on what I have seen. If the US firms keep trying to be all things to everyone, they may find themselves going down with the disappearing middle class.

But again, much of this is due to misalignments and distortions in government policy, rolling over for mercantilism.

Have a pleasant evening.







NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


A short squeeze has really not yet begun.


This is a 'convenient crisis' if they wish to allow the price of gold to rise gracefully without being too straightforward about the impending squeeze on physical supply which their monetary and official bullion policies are causing. It would tend to relieve some of the pressure if it is done judiciously.

However, I don't think it likely this will happen however, since this implies a certain self-awareness and humility that is uncharacteristic of the banking cartel.

To paraphrase Orwell, in a currency war, as in a war by other means, the first victim is the truth.


01 March 2014

Third World America - The Big Fix: The Gulf Of Mexico Oil Spill Coverup


"Maintaining silence about a dirty truth is another way of lying, a common practice in high places."

Michael Parenti

As we approach the fourth anniversary of the Deepwater Horizon Gulf Oil Disaster, perhaps it is a good time to remember the great success it represents, the success in shifting the thoughts of attention deficient Americans from the things that really matter, like honest and accountable government.

Is anything really different, or have we just been prompted to move on and think about something else?  Will the US be better prepared to deal with the next financial or environmental crisis?

Are portions of the US any different from other third world countries that are sacked of their resources, their people impoverished, their quality of life ruined, and their children left with little or no hope for the future?

Hope and change.




Related:

BP Gets Slick In Trying to Undermine Gulf Oil Spill Settlement
Fish Suffering Heart Failure and Decreased Numbers Due to BP Oil Spill
BP Oil Spill Causes Heart Damage Killing Tuna
Gulf War Syndrome Comes to the Gulf of Mexico?


28 February 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Last Call for February - Ukraine


Gold and silver were under modest pressure much of the day as the February delivery period rolled into the sunset.

Stocks slumped and gold jumped this afternoon when news broke that Russia 'had invaded' the Ukraine.  President Obama will be speaking on this subject at 4:45 PM today.

The Comex warehouse report shows a little offtake. We'll have to see if there is any more listed next week.  We will see what happened to warehouse metals today on next Monday.

The pullback alleviated a short term overbought condition on the charts, and did no technical damage to any formations.

March is a very light month for futures activity. The focus now shifts to the physical markets, primarily in Asia, and to April.

Another winter storm, this one called Titan, will be sweeping across the northeastern US on Monday morning. 

Have a pleasant weekend.




 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - SeeSaw End of Month


Equities managed to shake off a big miss on the GDP revision this morning, it being so old economy.

The SP hit another record today to close out the end of February.

There was a bit of a bobble in the market around 2:45 PM EST as news came out that Russia had 'invaded the Ukraine.'

But stocks shook that off, because at these valuations US equities are in the world, but not of it.

Have a pleasant weekend.







27 February 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Heart of Gold


"The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit...For what avail the plough or sail, or land or life, if freedom fail?"

Ralph Waldo Emerson


"Over the long run, the price of gold approximates the total amount of money in circulation divided by the size of the gold stock. If the market price of gold moves a long way from this level, it may indicate a buying or selling opportunity."

Ray Dalio

That latter quote from Ray Dalio is what is known as 'the fundamentals.' When the price of gold reverts to the mean of its valuation, despite the best efforts of the banking cartel to oppose it, then we are going to see an absolutely mind blowing adjustment of price to market.

It is much better if it happens in stages, rather than in one fell swoop. But then again, it is probably foolish to credit the ruling classes with self-awareness, much less wisdom.   They are environmentally psychopathic, in a world unto themselves.

There was more shuffling around of bullion between the warehouses, but nothing particularly meaningful happened yesterday.  Or today for that matter.  We are in a phony market, a seeming impasse between the bulls and the bears.  But this in only in the market that we can see, or rather, are allowed to see.

When will this end? I think Tolstoy said it this way. "Truth, like gold, is to be obtained not by its growth, but by washing away from it all that is not gold."

A new study indicates that the gold price may have been manipulated by the London fix for a decade or more.   This is in contrast to the pristine price discovery to be found on the Comex, according to a five year study of extremely odd price fluctuations and outsized market positions in the silver market, that was led down a blind alley by a spineless bureaucracy and quietly strangled.

There was intraday commentary titled The Scandal In America That Is Hidden in Plain Sight.

While it is addressed in particular to the States, the same words can certainly apply to most of the English speaking nations.  And much of Europe as well.   They have created that most ironic of remarkable things, a social environment that is hostile to human life.

Powers and principalities, the rulers of the darkness of this world, and wickedness in high places.  C'est la guerre, sans fin. Ainsi soit-il.

Have a pleasant evening.







SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Up, Up, and Away


Unemployment claims came in on the high side this morning.

Stocks rallied on nothing in particular, except perhaps the Fed's willingness to hand the Wall Street financial insiders billions more in money each month for nothing, to use as they please.

Have a pleasant evening.






The Scandal in America That Is Hidden In Plain Sight - Privilege Blindness


“There’s a new isolationism,” Kerry said during a nearly one-hour discussion with a small group of reporters. "We are beginning to behave like a poor nation,” he added, saying some Americans do not perceive the connection between US engagement abroad and the US economy, their own jobs and wider US interests.

The Guardian, John Kerry Slams 'New Isolationism'

Things may seem rosy from your perspective, John, but the sad truth is that far too many people in this country are doing without, doing more with less, too often living on the edge, and are far too often afraid.  They are referred to disparagingly as 'the common 99%',  as takers not makers, and even the 'parasitic 47%,'.   They are what is commonly referred to as 'the people' in the Constitution.

They are being spied on, bullied, repressed, and conned at almost every turn by a foul partnership of big money and power.  They often sacrifice their personal liberties, and send their children to foreign shores to fight in a perpetual war against a loosely defined 'enemy.'

One of the great marvels of the time is how effectively well-funded propaganda campaigns and a captive mainstream media have distorted the peoples' view of reality so that they act as if they are sleep-walking.

An ongoing trend in the US has been a tax code that favors large multinational corporations with loopholes and subsidies that far too often result in an effective tax rate of close to zero, despite booming corporate profits in the face of a long stagnation in median family income and wages. 

The real unemployment numbers are shockingly high, and those jobs that are available are often part time and poorly paid.   Justice is openly administered in ways that give the powerful a free pass on grossly criminal activity, from laundering drug money to financial racketeering. The rigging of prices and markets by powerful interests, and the lack of effective prosecution of such grave abuses of power, is something that seems to be de facto government policy.

This places small private businesses and individuals at a distinct disadvantage with regard to economic viability in the marketplace.  It fosters consolidation and monopoly.  It lends itself to a cynicism that is undermining the conscience of many of those who have sworn oaths of office.  It isolates dissent to corrals and 'free speech zones.'  It breaks up peaceful gatherings of protest with pepper spray, bullets, and clubs.  It pollutes the internet with campaigns of disinformation, and silences the voices of journalists.

It is intertwined with the financialisation of the real economy that is a tool for the redistribution of wealth from the many to the well connected few.  It feeds the corrupting influence of big money on the political landscape.

And often these multinationals are beneficiaries of government spending of tax revenues on procurements, outsourcing, and other initiatives, particularly with regard to infrastructure and defense spending on perpetual and largely discretionary wars.

And lately corporations have been making headway in the courts to receive all the benefits and privileges of personhood, without having to pay the price of citizenship.   War, far from being an occasion of personal loss and privation and risk, is often a beneficial period of significant revenues and greater profits.

The way in which dividends, certain types of executive compensation, and private equity investments are treated for tax purposes merely exacerbates the problem and the ongoing hypocrisy in the trickle down approach to The Recovery.

The partnership between large corporate America, often called the moneyed interests, and the political class is something that is of deep concern to some, but not known nearly enough.  It has been a point of political contention over and over again in US history, and the history of all nations.

If tax reform is on the agenda, closing loopholes, subsidies and government welfare programs for corporate America ought to be a top priority.  But change must come.

We are acting like a poor nation John, even a third world nation, with widespread corruption, declining press freedom, a crumbling infrastructure, and an alarming concentration of power in a few hands, a few powerful families. Both political parties are owned by the same elite class and are essentially the same corporate sponsored products; they are just different brands with different target markets.

And you and yours have made it that way. Welcome to our brave new world.

The following is from Ralph Dillon at Global Financial Data:
"Inevitably, the tax man will cometh…..Except of course, if you are a large multinational corporation. Despite the political banter over who pays and who does not, the 2000s have ushered in an era of corporations avoiding paying taxes. Armed with teams of CPAs and attorneys, these large multinational companies have pushed the limits on how they can avoid paying taxes and have done so quite successfully.

General Electric, one of the largest and most well respected companies in America has been criticized for paying little or nothing on their corporate taxes the last few years. In fact, GE is currently suing the IRS for over 650 million dollars they feel should have been a tax credit instead of a liability that they owe taxes on.

If you look at the S&P 500 members citing effective tax rates of 0%, it is staggering. With names like Broadcom, Verizon Wireless, Public Storage, Seagate Technologies and even News Corp having not paid any taxes in the past twelve months. The list of companies with a 0% effective tax rate is a long one and perhaps one that needs some attention. It just seems odd that we can tax everything in this country but not huge multinational companies that make billions of dollars each year.

Favorable tax codes and massive amounts of lobbying have created corporate welfare in this country and perhaps the time has come to address the inequalities that exist in the tax code.

It is estimated that that there is over 2 trillion dollars in cash sitting in the coffers of corporate America right now. Shareholder activists like Carl Icahn, are forcing companies like Apple to address what they are going to do with the loads of cash they are sitting on.

What’s really interesting to see is that the divergence between corporate profits and tax receipts on that corporate income. In early 2000, we saw a gap that widened and then virtually exploded.

Currently, corporate profits have never been better yet the liability of paying taxes on those profits has stayed flat. It has created the largest divergence the 2 series have had in over 65 years!"


I have written about this on occasion over the years.  You may find prior posts on this subject by clicking on the subject 'Corporate Tax' at the bottom of this posting. Or any of the other subjects as well.

26 February 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Phaeton Descending


"Narcissism falls along the axis of what psychologists call personality disorders, one of a group that includes antisocial, dependent, histrionic, avoidant and borderline personalities.

But by most measures, narcissism is one of the worst, if only because the narcissists themselves are so clueless."

Jeffrey Kluger

As I noted last night in my gold and silver commentary, 'we might get a gutcheck tomorrow...'

And so we did, and it was hard to miss.

Some gold was finally taken off the deliverable inventory at the Comex yesterday.   See how they run.

What is most shocking I think is the utter lack of self-awareness of the ruling class, and the disconnection and disregard which they have for the greater reality of the people of their country and the world.

But, to paraphrase Keats, what will create the most intense surprise is when their souls look out through renovated eyes. Unfortunately their muse is not of the intellect and the light, but the hubris of Phaeton giving itself over to the dark, disordered madness of Dionysus.

There will be torches, but it is not yet clear who will be carrying them.  But it appears that the bonfires will be lit, nevertheless.   See how readily they burn the breadbasket of the Slavs to achieve their ends.

Have a pleasant evening.




...Here Homer with his nervous arms
Strikes the twanging harp of war,
And even the western splendour warms,
While the trumpets sound afar:
But, what creates the most intense surprise,
His soul looks out through renovated eyes.

Then, through thy Temple wide, melodious swells
The sweet majestic tone of Maro's lyre:
The soul delighted on each accent dwells, -
Enraptur'd dwells, - not daring to respire,
The while he tells of grief around a funeral pyre...

John Keats, Ode to Apollo

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Ghosts of Bubbles Past


The New Homes Sales number came in much higher than expected this morning, and so stocks reversed from their initial slump. They rose to challenge the overhead resistance once again, only to fall back down in the afternoon.

Rinse, wash, repeat.

Be careful, because this is a piñata market, shaped like the bubbles past, an elevated construction with the consistency of papier-mâché, at which a crowd of those with the forethought of children are taking their swings, trying to release its hidden riches.

But, alas, this one comes with a plague of Pandora's woes inside.

Have a pleasant evening.





NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Stockman On Crony Capitalism


As I suggested might happen yesterday, the precious metal longs were given a gutcheck today as the price was hit on the NY open.

The housing number this morning was a well-seasonalized canard, from the looks of it.

Below the chart, there is a reprise of Bill Moyers and David Stockman discussing the crony capitalism that is pervasive on the US economic scene, have encompassed both political parties, despite their marketing campaigns and brand differentiation.