10 December 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Economics, a Thoroughly Disgraced Profession


"I write to you from a disgraced profession. Economic theory, as widely taught since the 1980s, failed miserably to understand the forces behind the financial crisis.

Concepts including “rational expectations,” “market discipline,” and the “efficient markets hypothesis” led economists to argue that speculation would stabilize prices, that sellers would act to protect their reputations, that caveat emptor could be relied on, and that widespread fraud therefore could not occur.

Not all economists believed this – but most did."

James K. Galbraith

But in the defense of the economists I would like to add:

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding [or seeing] it.”

Upton Sinclair

In other words, I don't think in many cases that there was a failure of the intellect, so much as a failure of intellectual and moral integrity.

Economics is a profession that succumbed almost en masse, whether by individual actions or the complicit silence of careerism, to the pervasive corruption of financial fraud, and of the persuasive power of Wall Street, the Banks, and big money. The only group that approaches their failure is the national political and financial class, including the accountants and the regulators.

For the most part this has not yet changed because of the unreformed state of the financial system, combined with the snare of the credibility trap. And they cover their shame by calling themselves the 'scholar-gentry' and tut tutting about the failure of the public in much the same tones that the plutocrats of past colonial empires would agonize over the plight of the victims of their perfidy in terms of the white man's burden.

Scotia Mocatta managed to squeeze out another 20,000 or so ounces of bullion for the registered (deliverable) category at the Comex. The bullion banks now have it back up to 723,000 which should be more than enough to meet deliveries.

So when will there be any actual deliveries of gold bullion out of these warehouses?

Someone redeemed 19,200 ounces of gold out of the Sprott gold fund.

Have a pleasant evening.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Floating on Highs, But the Markets Seem 'Tense'


The markets seems a bit edgy, even given their stratospheric heights which *should* hold until year end at least.

There was more Fed taper talk today for their meeting next week. I doubt it, but they could do 'something.'

Have a pleasant evening.








Jan Skoyles Interviews Ben Davies On Gold and Silver


I found this to be interesting. Jan did a nice job on what seems to be her debut on a new show called 'Get Real.' As she settles into her role as interviewer I am sure the show will add quite a bit to the discussion of the precious metals and other commodities as well.



NAV Premiums Of Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Sprott Gold Has 19,200 Ounces Redeemed


Premiums on the gold and silver funds remain depressed, show little sign of any short squeeze.

Interestingly enough another 19,200 ounces of gold bullion were redeemed from the Sprott Gold Trust. Apparently the premiums on physical gold make this an attractive proposition. There is no leverage in the Sprott fund that I can determine, so I doubt it is a risk factor that prompted the redemption.

Physical gold bullion is in tight supply judging by a number of factors including the forwards rates and the inventory levels at the ETFs and exchanges.

If I had unallocated gold at a dealer or a bullion bank, I would be inclined to move it to a storage only facility where I had very clear title and access if it was a long term holding.

And based on my own experience I am not sure I would trust an active bullion bank or dealer with the storage of even allocated gold. MFGlobal showed us how 'sacred' customer assets can be when the biggest claimants start lawyering up.

If the rehypothecation in the gold bullion market starts unwinding quickly it could get a bit muddy with cash settlements and crossed claims.


09 December 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts


"As long as you are proud you cannot know God. A proud man is always looking down on things and people: and, of course, as long as you are looking down you cannot see something that is above you.”

C.S. Lewis

It appears that the bullion banks have the Comex warehouses prepared to meet December delivery.

Perhaps they can now start actually delivering into the standing demand.

The admonishment of arrogance is at hand.  Watch and be amazed.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts


Stocks are simply irresistible.