20 October 2015

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


Sprott silver appears to be temporarily out of cash for current expenses.

Typically they have been selling off a little bullion in order to raise funds, since their premiums do not allow for secondary offerings under their current arrangements.

At at the bottom, central bankers extraordinaire Stanley and Janet take a QE Victory Tour by auto through the Swiss Alps, with Mario Draghi at the wheel.



19 October 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Retracement - J'attendrai - I Will Wait


Gold and silver were under light pressure most of the day, and slid a little in the afternoon to finish slightly lower.

The Bucket Shop was very quiet as usual, with only a little movement in the silver warehouses.

Gold bullion continues to act as though it was under lockdown.

As you know I was looking for a retracement here. The depth and shape of it will inform us on what sort of chart formation, if any, we have in play.

I have included the chart of the three scenarios and a 'worst case' below.  We are now in the 'shallow retracement' area, probably from here down to 1170ish.  The other levels are down to about 1150, and deeper down to 1130.  If gold breaks down below 1120 and sticks a solid close for a couple days at least then this formation is off the table.

Much of the commentary I am reading these days about gold and silver is junk food for the mind.  If you take in too much of it, you may become a fathead.

Have a pleasant evening.








SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Hope Isn't the Only Thing That Floats


Stocks came in weakly, but clearly had a push under them throughout the day.

Techs led the way higher, while the SP 500 lagged, weighed down in part by the awful earnings from Morgan Stanley and the financial sector.

After the bell IBM missed and lowered forecasts.

The Street would like to keep stocks growing higher for now.  Let's see if they can keep it going against such light selling.

Have a pleasant evening.







Martin Luther King: The Drum Major Instinct



The 'drum major instinct' according to Martin Luther King is the impulse to lead, to be praised, to be the center of attention, and to have more than others.

 It can become the basis of pride and selfishness, and corrosive to society, our relationships, and our personal well being.





17 October 2015

Stephen Kinzer: The Brothers - Rise of Exceptionalism and Aspirations of Empire


“Exceptionalism”—the view that the United States has a right to impose its will because it knows more, sees farther, and lives on a higher moral plane than other nations—was to them not a platitude, but the organizing principle of daily life and global politics...

With a glance, a nod, and a few words, without consulting anyone other than the President, the brothers could mobilize the full power of the United States anywhere in the world."

Stephen KinzerThe Brothers: John Foster Dulles, Allen Dulles, and Their Secret World War




Shanghai Gold Exchange Withdrawals Running at Record Pace


Withdrawals of gold from the Shanghai Exchange alone are at 1,958 tonnes for the year.   The first chart below compares that pace to the prior years.

As I noted the other day, the mispricing of value and risk in the gold market, primarily driven by traders in London and New York, is calling a form of Gresham's Law into action.

Gold in the New York and London vaults is heavily leveraged and hypothecated.  The full extent of this is not disclosed and can only be surmised.

If the tide of gold keeps going out at these amounts, we will see who is wearing what, as the old traders say.

Is this a 'problem' that we need to save them from?  Hardly.  This is a problem which they have created by manipulating this market and trading it with reckless disregard as they have done with so many others.

The only 'help' they require is to allow the market to set the price, and abide by some modest rules of leverage and risk management, rather than sacrificing safety and fairness for short term gains.

Gold is flowing from West to East.  Of this there should be little doubt except for the most hardened apologists for the bullion banks.