15 November 2015

Nomi Prins: Crony Capitalism and Corruption - An Entirely Rigged Political-Financial System


I think you would do well to watch this video below.

Too big to fail is a seven-year phenomenon created by the most powerful central banks to bolster the largest, most politically connected US and European banks. More than that, it’s a global concern predicated on that handful of private banks controlling too much market share and elite central banks infusing them with boatloads of cheap capital and other aid.

Synthetic bank and market subsidization disguised as ‘monetary policy’ has spawned artificial asset and debt bubbles - everywhere. The most rapacious speculative capital and associated risk flows from these power-players to the least protected, or least regulated, locales.

There is no such thing as isolated 'Big Bank' problems. Rather, complex products, risky practices, leverage and co-dependent transactions have contagion ramifications, particularly in emerging markets whose histories are already lined with disproportionate shares of debt, interest rate and currency related travails.

The notion of free markets, mechanisms where buyers and sellers can meet to exchange securities or various kinds of goods, in which each participant has access to the same information, is a fallacy. Transparency in trading across global financial markets is a fallacy. Not only are markets rigged by, and for, the biggest players, so is the entire political-financial system.

The connection between democracy and free markets is interesting though. Democracy is predicated on the idea that every vote counts equally, and in the utopian perspective, the government adopts policies that benefit or adhere to the majority of those votes. In fact, it's the minority of elite families and private individuals that exercise the most control over America's policies and actions.

The myth of a free market is that every trader or participant is equal, when in fact the biggest players with access to the most information and technology are the ones that have a disproportionate advantage over the smaller players. What we have is a plutocracy of government and markets. The privileged few don't care, or need to care, about democracy any more than they would ever want to have truly "free" markets, though what they do want are markets liberated from as many regulations as possible. In practice, that leads to huge inherent risk.

Michael Lewis' latest book on high frequency trading seems to have struck some sort of a national chord. Yet what he writes about is the mere tip of the iceberg covered in my book. He's talking about rigged markets - which have been a problem since small investors began investing with the big boys, believing they had an equal shot.

I'm talking about an entirely rigged political-financial system.

Nomi Prins


13 November 2015

The Fed In December





About 45 Tonnes of Gold Were Taken Out of the Shanghai Exchange in the Latest Week Ending 6 November



Another record year in the making for China gold bullion taken off the exchange.

Pet rocks.




Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Life Imitates High School, Or Monopoly


Very little of consequence occurred at The Bucket Shop today.

Gold had the usual rise and then smack down into the London PM fix and the New York open, just to give the sleeping pit crawlers a wake up call, and then bounced along 1180 support for the rest of the day.   Silver was pretty much a copy cat, or vice versa.

There were no deliveries made for the precious metals at the Comex yesterday.  As Dr. Zoidberg says, 'what a surprise!'

And as you can see on the domestic warehouse reports below, little happened except for the slow rim-leak of bullion outbound.

Hong Kong was quite a different matter yesterday.  So much so that it merited some intraday commentary About 38% of All the Comex Gold in Hong Kong Left the Warehouses Yesterday.

In the course of finding yet another excuse not to go out and take care of the leaves again, I took some time to write an open letter to Mr. Paul Krugman titled,  An Open Letter to Paul Krugman on the 'Republican Lust For Gold.'

Perhaps I should have said, 'so-called lust for gold.'

I mean, besides Rand Paul and his father, there may be an abundance of lust for certain things among the GOP and the Wall St Democrats for that matter, but not much of it is for the betterment of the common people and their experiences with money and markets.

In fact, one might be excused if they think that in practice there is little difference between the 'establishment Republicans' and the 'Wall Street Democrats' except for names of the billionaires who sign their paychecks.

And what flaming liberal Democrat took us OFF the gold standard for the dollar with regard to  international monetary settlements and valuation, and unilaterally slammed the gold window shut?

Richard Nixon.  Oh yeah, that Republican. Like most of the ruling elite no lust for gold there: just power.

Let's see if gold and silver can hold their levels here.

And let's see if the financiers can once again 'pass go' and collect their big fat bonuses without blowing up any new markets, or institutions, or countries between now and the New Year.

Have a pleasant weekend.







SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - This Is Why We Can't Have Nice Things


Wow. I was expecting a decline down to these very key support levels, which as you may notice are just about where you would like to see them step in a 'cup and handle' or W bottom.

But the wiseguys certainly did not waste any time getting here.

Tell me, what happened this week that changed the entire complexion of the equity market, which rose in an almost unstoppable manner from a hard bottom back to challenge the all time highs in a matter of a few weeks?

What new wisdom did the trading desks and the algos discern that turned sentiment on a dime from mindless greed to panic and fear?

Or was this the usual 'wash and rinse' that one might expect in a market dominated by relatively unregulated behemoths who feel free to shove prices around like a pinball machine, all the better than to consume the public with, my dears?

Well, take heart young bulls.  IF the market can stop and make a stand within a little leeway to the downside, then it has a good chance of doing this all over again and providing the one percent with yet another 'Santa Claus rally' and a 'Merry Christmas' to them.

I took all my short positions and VIX long off.  I don't remember if I mentioned that.  Now we will see what this latest attempt by the financial community to baffle the world is all about.

I would give that a 50-50 at least at this point, and cannot quite see things going much lower, unless they are really of a mind to take it all the way down, and bring it all the way back up in December, lets say on the news that the Fed did not have the stones to raise rates after all that.

Nomi Prins does not think that they will.  And I respect her judgement.  But having missed their window, and being preoccupied with doubts about their whacky QE and Twist programs that have accomplished almost nothing except ghosting the middle class and upsetting the balance of power in the republic, I really hesitate to put anything past their busy little financial engineering hands.

We will sacrifice all, our lives, liberty and sacred honor, for the Banks.

Have a pleasant weekend.






About 38% of All the Comex Gold in Hong Kong Left the Warehouses Yesterday


Perhaps it went out for some dim sum.  TTFN, but be right back!

Roughly 21 tonnes, or 685,652 troy ounces of gold in .999 fine kilo bars, was withdrawn, net of a small deposit of 27,328 ounces, from the Brinks warehouse in Hong Kong yesterday.

To put that into some perspective, that is the same amount of all gold in the entire JPM warehouse in the US.

Now compared to the Comex US, in which very little gold bullion actually changes hands or goes anywhere, that is a huge number.  But Hong Kong is typically seeing large inflows and outflows of gold.  Because that is how the precious metals market has been manifesting in Asia since about 2007: not with endless chains of paper just changing hands in a grand game of liar's poker, but with the physical exchange of bullion.

And most of that bullion leaves the warehouse and does not come right back, as Koos Jansen has explained repeatedly about the operations on the Shanghai Gold Exchange.  It is being accumulated on the mainland, and this probably does not include the PBOC official purchases.

The point of this is that the price discovery in New York is becoming increasingly distinct from the actual physical supply and demand flows of bullion which are taking place in Asia.  As I have said, gold is 'trading like a modern currency' without respect to its nature as a commodity bound by physical supply.  The Fed et al. can print money, but they cannot print bullion.  That is the point of it.

And that is a potentially dangerous development, especially with respect to a commodity that is being traded at a leverage in excess of 200:1.  And in the face of shrinking inventories of gold available for delivery at current prices in both New York and London.

I have put the most recent report for all the US warehouses registered with Comex below that of Hong Kong.

As the Comex told Kyle Bass, 'price' will take care of any imbalances.  Yes, just as smoothly and seamlessly as it did when the price of highly levered and risky paper corrected back to reality in 2008.  Ba-boom!

Are you kidding me? That is what Kyle Bass said, not me.  'Just give me the gold.'

And if people should choose to stand for physical delivery given the relative scarcity, how much of a price adjustment might be required if they could even find any to be had without an onerous delay and in sufficient numbers?

At the A&P?

How many people, once again, are going to be allowed to walk blindly into another financial buzz saw caused by reckless gambling on Wall Street?   Are we willing to repeat the folly of MF Global on a grand scale?  Will the rest of the world be so cowed by the Banks as its investors?