“Depart from me, you accursed. For I was hungry and you gave me no food, thirsty and you gave me no drink, a stranger and you did not welcome me, naked and you did not clothe me, sick and in prison and you did not comfort me.' They answer, 'Lord, when was it that we saw you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or sick or in prison, and did not care for you?' He answered, 'Truly I tell you, as you did not do it to one of the least of these, you did not do it for me.’” Matthew 25:40-46
US stocks managed to close higher today, led by the tech-heavy NDX which is rallying in anticipation of a new product introduction from Apple tomorrow.
I think the Nas even managed to close at a new all time high today. Well done, Fed.
So here is the stock market, all dressed up, but with no place to go. The real economy cannot afford a date.
The Jobs Report came in light in key areas of wages and hours worked, in addition to the net number of jobs added.
And so the market rallied, on expectations that the Fed will stay its hand in September.
There is a bit of mixed sentiment, with the defenders of the statist quo like Goldman Sachs, the NY Times, and the Washington Post suggesting that this was a goldilocks report that opens the door to a Fed interest rate increase.
However, the rest of the market which is saying that there is no sustainable recovery, and therefore the data does not warrant it.
And so gold and silver rallied a bit on the back of a weaker dollar. The US needs a stronger dollar like they need another Clinton in the White House. Although Trump is certainly no better, just differently bad.
The States will be on holiday on Monday, celebrating those who labor. Ironic, because the policy of the ruling class pretty much hold those sorts in contempt.
Try to carry on without the imperial guidance.
A hurricane will be blowing its way up the East Coast this weekend. It is that time of year again.
“The books which the Holy Spirit is writing are the living, with every soul a volume in which the divine author makes a true revelation of His word, showing it to every heart, unfolding it in every moment.”
Jean-Pierre de Caussade, The Sacrament of the Present Moment
The Jobs Report came in light this morning, with a special nod to the average hourly wage and the hours worked, both of which missed projections.
There will be a three day weekend in the States, as we celebrate Labor Day.
How ironic, given the disdain that the ruling class holds towards those who earn their livelihoods through real labor.
"Rome has grown so much since its humble beginnings that it is now overwhelmed by its own greatness...The state is suffering from two opposite vices, greed and excesses; two plagues which, in the past, have been the ruin of every great empire."
The PMI number came in much lower than expected this morning at 49.4, an outright contraction.
This was dismissed by some as indicative of manufacturing, which is no longer very important to GDP as compared to the 'service sector.'
All eyes will be on the Non-Farm Payrolls report, probably to an excess, because the thinking is that a stronger number will give the hawks cover to arm twist a 25 bp rate increase at the FOMC in September.
A much lower than expected number will chill that expectation, and will probably cheer on financial asset prices unless it is disastrous.
The expected number is 180,000 and the 'whisper' is 200,000.
After the initial reaction, wiser heads will be looking at the prior month's revision from 255,000 if any. And probably more importantly, they will look at the growth in average hourly earnings.
The financiers and the Democratic establishment would like a number north of 200k. This would give the former a stronger dollar to eat you with my foreign dears, and the latter a boost for their presidential candidate who hopes to ride in on waves of Obama brand economicolatry.
Let us pray for those whose hearts are hardened against His grace and loving kindness by greed, fear, and pride, and the seductive illusion and crushing isolation of evil.
We pray that we all may experience the three great gifts of our Lord's suffering and triumph: repentance, forgiveness, and thankfulness. And in so doing, may we obtain abundant life, and with it the peace that surpasses all understanding.
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