11 October 2016

SP 500 and NDX Future Daily Charts - Stock Bubble Spanked By Reality


Stocks sold off today triggered by a wide miss by Alcoa last night as they kicked off the third quarter earnings season.

Other corporate bad news added a bit of fuel to the reversion to reality.

We will be getting the Fed minutes tomorrow which may stir the pot a bit. I do expect them to give it a go for a 'one and done' in December. It has nothing to do with the economy, except to the extent that it is not falling apart, making their policy-needs driven rate increase too embarrassing to justify.

The market is fragile, and looks a bit toppy. But given the central banks and their liquidity life support for it, and the self-absorbed narcissism of the fatuous class, stocks may keep toddling along until 'something happens.'

Have a pleasant evening.

Average Intraday Gold Movement Percentages For September 2016 and 2015






10 October 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Tom and Daisy or Lord and Lady Macbeth


“They were careless people, Tom and Daisy — they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness, or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.”

F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby


"Come, you spirits
That tend on mortal thoughts, unsex me here,
And fill me from the crown to the toe top-full
Of direst cruelty!"

"Stars, hide your fires;
Let not light see my black and deep desires:
The eye wink at the hand; yet let that be,
Which the eye fears, when it is done, to see."

William Shakespeare, Macbeth

Stocks were led higher by expectations of higher oil prices based on some proposed price and production collusion between Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Gold and silver initially rallied, but were bucking a stronger dollar.  The cross trades in FX can be quite strong at times.  Totally divorced from the fundamentals with their eyes closely focused on their own very short term technicals, but that is how it goes.

I did not watch the debate between Lord and Lady Macbeth.   I am so disappointed in all of this self-serving hypocrisy, crude wit, and sly prevarication that is all the fashion among our ruling elite.

Let's see if the precious metal chart formations can sort themselves out after the latest Non-Farm Payroll sequenced smackdown.

The delivery reports were thin to nil.

The warehouse reports were nothing of note, but I did include those for completeness and future reference.

Have a pleasant evening.


SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - All About Oil


Stocks rallied today on higher oil prices, as Russia and Saudi Arabia said that they *might* agree on some limitations in oil production.

That is not good at all for the real economy, but as we have seen so many times by now, the stock market is no longer tied to the real economy.

It exists in the bubble zone. Along with its denizens, who are living in a world of their own delusions.

Have a pleasant evening.



09 October 2016

Reading for a Sunday Afternoon


"For ourselves, we know full well that much as we may have attempted, we have done very little, that our very best service is nothing worth, — and the more we attempt, the more clearly we shall see how little we have hitherto attempted.

Those whom Christ saves are they who at once attempt to save themselves, yet despair of saving themselves; who aim to do all, and confess they do nought; who are all love, and all fear, who are the most holy, and yet confess themselves the most sinful; who ever seek to please Him, yet feel they never can; who are full of good works, yet of works of penance.

All this seems a contradiction to the natural man, but it is not so to those whom Christ enlightens. They understand in proportion to their illumination, that it is possible to work out their salvation, yet to have it wrought out for them, to fear and tremble at the thought of judgment, yet to rejoice always in the Lord, and hope and pray for His coming."

John Henry Newman

Remember me, O Lord.

07 October 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - 'Goldilocks' and The Recovery®


The Jobs Report came in weakly this morning, almost surprisingly so, all things considered.  It was heavily touted on the financial infomercials that pass as business news as a 'goldilocks' report.

If the Fed did not want to get off the ZIRP boundary so badly I would be guessing that they would be doing nothing much until there was a real indication from the economy that it was warming up. But since they do want higher rates for their own policy purposes then a one-and-done in December still feels like a viable option.

Gold and silver were hammered this week. The notion that this was normal market action is risible nonsense if one looks at the actual tape of the huge sales at market in quiet hours. It was classic market manipulation.

The problem for the bullion bullies was the huge overhang of longs in the October and December contracts, stacked up against the steadily shrinking supplies of freely available metal.

This week was opportune for this sort of 'technical trading' because he largest physical market in the world in Asia was closed for a holiday week. It was also a Non-Farm Payroll Report week, which is one of the signal events for gold selling.

Andrew Maguire says this was an opportunity for the wiseguys who were trapped in naked shorts by the Brexit event to get out of their losing trades. That makes much more sense to me than Rickard's notion of the Western central banks conspiring to knock down the price to give China a chance to buy more gold.

But time will tell.

Speaking of time, it looks like after five years the guy at the center of the MF Global looting of customer accounts is going to be held to a wristslap (for him) fine and no trial. I think his executive insurance is covering most of the legal fees and perhaps any fines.  It pays to be friends with the Wall Street Democrats.  Their hypocrisy in pursuit of money apparently knows no bounds.

The clearing reports from yesterday were quite, as were the warehouses although I did include those figures just for reference.    The Comex is not a very good measure of what is going on in the metals anymore.  Perhaps it was at one time.

The key price level supports held, and next week we will see if Asia has a taste for the metal at oversold prices.

The American League Divisional Series have been entertaining so far, although the coverage by TBS is not nearly as sophisticated as the playoff coverage from ESPN.  I preferred watching it today to this nonsensical market rigging puppet show.

Have a pleasant weekend.