12 February 2015
Do Not Be Afraid
"Fear not, little flock, for your Father delights to give you welcome into His Kingdom."
Luke 12:32
“We are slow to master the great truth that even now Christ is, as it were, walking among us, and by His hand, or eye, or voice, bidding us to follow Him. We do not understand that His call is a thing that takes place now. We think it took place in the Apostles' days, but we do not believe in it; we do not look for it in our own case.
God beholds you. He calls you by your name. He sees you and understands you as He made you. He knows what is in you, all your peculiar feelings and thoughts, your dispositions and likings, your strengths and your weaknesses. He views you in your day of rejoicing and in your day of sorrow. He sympathizes in your hopes and your temptations. He interests Himself in all your anxieties and remembrances, all the risings and fallings of your spirit.
He encompasses you round and bears you in His arms. He notes your very countenance, whether smiling or in tears. He looks tenderly upon you. He hears your voice, the beating of your heart, and your very breathing. You do not love yourself better than He loves you. You cannot shrink from pain more than He dislikes your bearing it; and if He puts it on you, it is as you would put it on yourself, if you would be wise, for a greater good afterwards.
There is an inward world, which none see but those who belong to it. There is an inward world into which they enter who come to Christ, though to men in general they seem as before. If they drank of Christ's cup it is not with them as in time past. They came for a blessing, and they have found a work.
To their surprise, as time goes on, they find that their lot is changed. They find that in one shape or another adversity happens to them. If they refuse to afflict themselves, God afflicts them.
God has created me to do Him some definite service; He has committed some work to me which He has not committed to another. I have my mission -- I may never know it in this life but I shall be told it in the next.
I am a link in a chain, a bond of connection between persons. He has not created me for naught.
I shall do good, I shall do His work. I shall be an angel of peace, a preacher of truth in my own place while not intending it if I do but keep His commandments.
Therefore I will trust Him. Whatever I am, I can never be thrown away. If I am in sickness, my sickness may serve Him; in perplexity, my perplexity may serve Him. If I am in sorrow, my sorrow may serve Him.
He does nothing in vain. He knows what He is about.
He may take away my friends. He may throw me among strangers. He may make me feel desolate, make my spirits sink, hide my future from me -- still He knows what He is about.
Let us feel what we really are--sinners attempting great things. Let us simply obey God's will, whatever may come. He can turn all things to our eternal good. Easter day is preceded by the forty days of Lent, to show us that they only who sow in tears shall reap in joy.
The more we do, the more shall we trust in Christ; and that surely is no morose doctrine, that leads us to soothe our selfish restlessness, and forget our fears, in the vision of the Incarnate Son of God.
May the Lord support us all the day long, till the shades lengthen, and the evening comes, and the busy world is hushed, and the fever of life is over, and our work is done.
Then in His mercy may He give us safe lodging, and a holy rest, and peace at last.”
John Henry Newman
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John Henry Newman
11 February 2015
Unidentified Source: Greece Will Stay in Eurozone on 'Bailout Extension' - Updated
Unidentified Source
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An 'unidentified source' says that Greece has agreed to stay in an EU bailout program, according to CNBC.
I think the initial surge in the futures market on these headlines crossing the wires have backed off, no doubt on the complete lack of substantive detail provided by CNBC's Michelle Caruso-Cabrera who broke the story, which was picked up by Bloomberg TV.
Sound like an extension in time to allow for discussions to continue until next Monday, and an agreement not to leave the Eurozone-- yet.
UPDATE: GREEK GOVT OFFICIAL SAYS NO AGREEMENT IN EUROGROUP, GREECE WILL NOT ACCEPT AN EXTENSION OF CURRENT BAILOUT
Well, that wash and rinse didn't take long.
EU, Greece come to agreement in principle, meetings to continue: SourceMichelle Caruso-CabreraGreece has reached an agreement, in principle, with the European Union to stay in an EU bailout program, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC Wednesday.The discussions will continue through Monday, according to the source.Futures added to gains, while Treasury bond yields climbed following the report. The euro rose against the dollar.Meanwhile, a Eurogroup source told Reuters that there is no agreement yet with Greece, but there may be a deal to explore the possibility of extending the current bailout program.
Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Misplaced Trust, Over-Confidence on Steroids
"We run carelessly to the precipice, after we have put up a façade to prevent ourselves from seeing it.”Blaise Pascal
Gold and silver were hit by selling in NY this morning.
Hey, why not? Things are just what we say they are, especially when they have an increasingly tenuous connection to reality.
There was intraday commentary about 'Debt Is Just Money That We Owe Ourselves Here.'
This is beginning to feel a whole lot like 2006, where a few were just about crawling out of their skins with the nonsensicalness of what they were hearing, and the looming disaster which they saw coming.
No one really listened. I remember vividly making noise on economic chatboards, with participants saying things like 'what does he want' and 'what is he saying?' After all, Greenspan had assured us that housing was invincible and incapable of being in a bubble, and Bernanke had things well in hand, with theory triumphing over all.
And then as it is now, the herd was just blithely rolling along, following Wall Street into the next unforeseeable financial crisis.
We are there again. And like then, they know it. But they think they can manage it to their benefit, so why would they care?
And given the chance, they will do it again. It is the pleasant cycle of financialisation and accumulation. We are diverted by bread and circuses, the media's sturm und drang that anesthetizes thought.
Have a pleasant evening.
Economists-Say-Dumb-Things Chronicles: 'Debt Is Money We Owe To Ourselves'
Like so many sloppy discussions of economics to make an important policy point, but badly, this one diverges from common shared reality fairly quickly.
Let me strike the key hypothesis in this, that prompts a leap of faith, over a cliff and into the abyss of fantasy.
"Debt is money we owe to ourselves."
Something on which Mr. Krugman can agree with Dick Cheney who said, 'Reagan proved that deficits don't matter.' How is that for a twist?
From an accounting standpoint and within the realm of theoretical identities this is true. Each debt is someone else's asset.
The key of course is how we define 'ourselves.'
If 'we' are the entire planet, equally and without distinction of interests and property, then perhaps one might say, ok, although it loses all meaning and significance. I would not mind pooling my household books with one of the Banking billionaires and to be able to step up to the Fed's free cash window anytime to do my business, with the assurance that I have a government guarantee underpinning my ledger, but alas.
And this is a problem because the paramount issue we are facing today is the historically extreme concentration of capital assets in a relatively few hands, and the burden of unpayable debts being imposed upon a large segment of the people by a system that has been hijacked by the moneyed interests.
If you take this pithless observation by Mr. Krugman down one level of detail in the States for example, one finds that the debt is an asset on the books of a increasingly small number of wealthy people, with much of it controlled for them by a handful of Banks.
This system is not sustainable, and I see no sign that it will even cohere, without substantial reform.
I wonder if the average American who is losing their car and house, and who is being hounded by debt collectors for whom those debts seems to matter a great deal, can use that argument with the Banks.
Putting aside private debts, let's just stay in the realm of sovereign debt, where the economic imagination can more easily take its flights of fancy.
Debt is just money we owe to ourselves is similar to the flat pronouncement that a sovereign that issues its own currency can never default. Money is just an accounting entry so why the fuss? And from this comes a Pandora's Box of muddy thinking, a selective myopia towards history, and Trillion Dollar Platinum coins.
I wonder if Greece can use this argument, that debt is just money that we owe to 'ourselves,' when they meet with the Germans this week.
But no, the US is different. Every other country may fail, and many have including that insubstantial nation of Russia not all that long ago, but not us. We are young and immortal. Our benchmark for virtue is power, and we are virtuous enough to be able to say that when things are not working out as we planned, we are able to decree that 'money is whatever we say it is,' and God help anyone who does not agree.
And so we might presume that the mighty US is going to be able to make that case about debt forever to its creditors who are outside the direct thought control of its monetary system, a short list of which is contained below.
It is funny how the moneyed interests and their courtiers are always saying, 'debt doesn't matter,' especially when they want us to assume their gambling debts which they incurred by frauds using our own money. Until, that is, they decide to call in the loans and the debts, and impose their will upon the people with foreclosures, garnishment, austerity, and debtors' prisons.
I agree wholeheartedly that the rhetoric around the discussion of spending priorities gets silly and overheated and quite frankly disgusting. That has more to do with a society in the grip of a greedy few, corrupt public servants, sophistical theoreticians, and boisterous minions than it does with the need to expand our economic theories into existential irrelevance. Madness is certainly attractive perhaps in a land going mad, but it is unlikely to be productive.
Arguments like those from the MMT crowd, both right and left, and economists like Paul do us no favors in concocting some fantastical solution to what is primarily a problem of governance, justice, transparency, and power gone horrible wrong.
The 'debt' and the 'budget' are not an economics argument but a policy argument. What is important to us? What do we continue to hold as these truths? And how do we resolve those disagreements? Avoiding that policy and priority discussion enables those who are caught in the credibility trap to continue to beg the question entirely, and the real task at hand, which is reform.
We cannot discuss reform until we expose the corruption. And therein lies the problem, because quite a few powerful hands have been dipping into the largesse, and quite a few courtiers have a vested interest in continuing to propagate the lies and myths of a failing system.
I am not a 'hard money' guy. I am certainly not in favor of a domestic gold standard as a remedy for our current set of problems.
What I am saying, and I think it has been consistently so, is that the system that we have now is so fundamentally broken that no matter what incidental things that we do, no matter how much stimulus is provided under whatever rationales, that all good will be turned to ill, the gap of inequality will keep widening, and that the situation will continue to worsen, lurching from crisis to crisis.
Is this not what we have seen since all the programs were put in place since the crisis of 2008? That the rich are getting richer, because all we have really done is prop up an unjust, broken, and unworkable system. And I think that this is the point that is being made by Greece in Europe today.
You cannot keep a game running when the insiders that control it are making up the rules as they go along, hiding their assets, dictating the judges' decisions, dipping into the other players money at will, and generally cheating and doing whatever they wish when they wish, because they can.
The system is too flawed to be sustainable, and must change in order to cohere.
NY TimesDebt Is Money We Owe To OurselvesBy Paul KrugmanFebruary 6, 2015Antonio Fatas, commenting on recent work on deleveraging or the lack thereof, emphasizes one of my favorite points: no, debt does not mean that we’re stealing from future generations. Globally, and for the most part even within countries, a rise in debt isn’t an indication that we’re living beyond our means, because as Fatas puts it, one person’s debt is another person’s asset; or as I equivalently put it, debt is money we owe to ourselves — an obviously true statement that, I have discovered, has the power to induce blinding rage in many people...More than that, as Fatas points out, rising debt could be a good sign. Think of my little two-classes model of debt, where some people are less patient than others — perhaps (to step outside the model a bit) because they have better investment opportunities. Moving from a very limited financial system that doesn’t allow much debt to a somewhat more open-minded system should, in that case, be good for growth and welfare...And the problems with public debt are also mainly about possible instability rather than “borrowing from our children”. The rhetoric of fiscal debates has been, for the most part, nonsense.Read the entire piece here.
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