20 January 2012

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Turning Bearish, Keep an Eye on the VIX



Flat to down day with a little late pop into the close. All eyes are on the Greek situation.

Earnings were a disappointment especially with GOOG but IBM carried the Dow Jones Industrials higher.

I think we are nearing a short to intermediate term top in stocks. \

The SP could have as much as 20 points left, but we'll look at the VIX to signal a top and reversal if there is one.

This is a difficult call because the monetary and sovereign debt considerations are somewhat exogenous and may trump the slowing economy.

But even with the pumping the market looks tired.

I increased the short weighting in the long bullion - short stocks pair trade into the closing rally.






Metals Options and Futures Calendar for the First Half of 2012



Source: CME Group 2012

Jan. 26 Comex February gold options expiry
Jan. 26 Comex February copper options expiry
Jan. 27 Comex February miNY gold futures last trading day
Jan. 27 Comex January silver futures last trading day
Jan. 27 Comex January copper futures last trading day
Jan. 27 Comex February E-mini copper futures last trading day
Jan. 27 Nymex January platinum futures last trading day
Jan. 27 Nymex January palladium futures last trading day
Jan. 31 Comex February gold futures first notice day
Jan. 31 Comex February silver futures first notice day
Jan. 31 Comex February copper futures first notice day
Jan. 31 Nymex February palladium futures first notice day
Feb. 23 Comex March silver options expiry
Feb. 23 Comex March copper options expiry
Feb. 24 Nymex February platinum futures last trading day
Feb. 24 Nymex February palladium futures last trading day
Feb. 27 Comex February gold futures last trading day
Feb. 27 Comex February copper futures last trading day
Feb. 27 Comex February E-micro gold futures last trading day
Feb. 27 Comex March E-mini copper futures last trading day
Feb. 27 Comex March miNY silver futures last trading day
Feb. 29 Nymex March palladium futures first notice day
Feb. 29 Comex March silver futures first notice day
Feb. 29 Comex March copper futures first notice day
March 16 Nymex April platinum options expiry
March 20 Nymex April platinum futures first notice day
March 27 Comex April gold options expiry
March 27 Comex April copper options expiry
March 28 Comex April miNY gold futures last trading
March 28 Comex March silver futures last trading day
March 28 Comex March copper futures last trading day
March 28 Comex April E-mini copper futures last trading day
March 28 Nymex March palladium futures last trading day
March 29 Comex April E-mini gold futures last trading day
March 30 Comex April gold futures first notice day
March 30 Comex April copper futures first notice day
April 25 Comex May copper options expiry
April 25 Comex May silver options expiry
April 26 Comex April gold futures last trading day
April 26 Comex April copper futures last trading day
April 26 Comex April E-micro gold futures last trading day
April 26 Comex May E-mini copper futures last trading day
April 26 Comex May miNY silver futures last trading day
April 26 Nymex April platinum futures last trading day
April 27 Comex April silver futures last trading day
April 30 Comex May silver futures first notice day
April 30 Comex May copper futures first notice day
May 24 Comex June gold options expiry
May 24 Comex June copper options expiry
May 26 Comex June miNY gold futures last trading day
May 29 Comex May silver futures last trading day
May 29 Comex May copper futures last trading day
May 29 Comex June E-mini copper futures last trading day
May 29 Comex June miNY gold futures last trading day
May 31 Comex June gold futures first notice day
May 31 Comex June copper futures first notice day
May 31 Nymex June palladium futures first notice day
June 26 Comex July silver options expiry
June 26 Comex July copper options expiry
June 26 Comex July silver futures last trading day
June 27 Comex June gold futures last trading day
June 27 Comex June copper futures last trading day
June 27 Comex June E-micro gold futures last trading day
June 27 Comex July E-mini copper futures last trading day
June 27 Comex July miNY silver futures last trading day
June 27 Nymex June palladium futures last trading day
June 29 Comex July silver futures first notice day
June 29 Comex July copper futures first notice day
June 29 Nymex July platinum futures first notice day

19 January 2012

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts



Gold was capped while silver continued to rally off physical buying that might be attributed to the Sprott Physical Trust expansion.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts



Google missed after the bell taking some of the air out of big tech. Intel and IBM beat. Microsoft beat earnings and missed revenue.

Frothy market.