17 April 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Identities


“If you wanted to understand a politician you mustn’t pay too much attention to his speeches, but find out who were his paymasters.  A politician couldn’t rise in public life, in France any more than in America, unless he had the backing of big money, and it was in times of crisis like this that he paid his debts.

The great corporation which employed you lied to you, and lied to the whole country—from top to bottom it was nothing but one gigantic lie.”

Upton Sinclair


"To keep me from becoming conceited because of these surpassingly great revelations, there was given me a thorn in my flesh, a messenger of Satan, to torment me. Three times I pleaded with the Lord to take it away from me. But he said to me, 'My grace is sufficient for you, for my power is made perfect in weakness.' Therefore I will boast all the more gladly about my weaknesses, so that Christ’s power may rest on me. That is why, for the Lord's sake, I delight in weaknesses, in insults, in hardships, in persecutions, in difficulties. For when I am weak, then I am strong.

2 Corinthians 12:7-10

Great power and wealth rarely serve to bring out the best in a person. Rather to the contrary, it most often exposes and amplifies any of their weaknesses in character.

If a fellow was a duplicitous, greedy, self-serving, and double-dealing type before they came into power, it is highly unlikely that more wealth and more power will suddenly make them virtuous. The notion that a greedy person will somehow obtain enough and suddenly become empathetic is a fallacy. Greed knows no bounds and is never satisfied by its very nature. We can imagine ourselves having enough, perhaps, but that is because we are not greedy in the pathological sense.

Indeed, I think the mistaking of enormous wealth and power for virtue in the first place is one of the greatest errors of our culture.

One of the great exceptions you might think in US history was Franklin Roosevelt. However it ought to be noted that he inherited his money and family position. But it was through the infliction of a crippling disease, that affected him every day of his life, through which he obtained a genuine understanding of the human condition, and who he was. It was his affliction that gave him his greatness.

Again and again we see how those who have been granted great natural gifts and who use them to achieve good for others and not themselves are almost invariably afflicted in some way, some obstacle that prevents them from overreaching themselves, from forgetting who they really are, from falling victim to the belief in themselves above all.

Abraham Lincoln himself notes how circumstances in his life would bring him to his knees.
“I have been driven many times upon my knees by the overwhelming conviction that I had no where else to go.  My own wisdom and that of all about me seemed insufficient for that day.”
Those who can never see their own deficiency and errors and fundamental humanity, bringing them into empathy and kindness for others, a toleration for the mistakes and shortcoming that are a part of the human condition, are perhaps the saddest cases of all.   They have willingly blinded themselves, and others, to the true state of things, and will too often lead themselves and those who follow them into the abyss.

Gold and silver were rallying on Sunday evening on the increasing geopolitical risks.

However, volumes overall were light today, as several overseas exchanges remained closed and traders off work after the long holiday weekend.

And so the metals were sold, and stocks rallied on more puffery and nonsense.

Have a pleasant evening.



13 April 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Risk Off - Maundy Thursday


"Jesus stood up from the meal, took off his outer clothing, and wrapped a towel round his waist. After that, he poured water into a basin and began to wash his disciples’ feet, drying them with the towel that was wrapped round him.

He came to Simon Peter, who said to him, ‘Lord, are you going to wash my feet?’

Jesus replied, ‘You do not realise now what I am doing, but later you will understand.’

‘No,’ said Peter, ‘you shall never wash my feet.’

Jesus answered, ‘Unless I wash you, you have no part with me.’

‘Then, Lord,’ Simon Peter replied, ‘not just my feet but my hands and my head as well!’

When he had finished washing their feet, he put on his clothes and returned to his place. ‘Do you understand what I have done for you?’ he asked them. ‘You call me Teacher and Lord, and rightly so, for that is what I am. Now that I, your Lord and Teacher, have washed your feet, you also should wash one another’s feet. I have set you an example that you should do as I have done for you.

A new commandment I give you: that you love one another, as I have loved you. By this all will know that you are mine— if you have love for one another.'”

John 13


"What we would like to do is change the world–make it a little simpler for people to feed, clothe and shelter themselves as God intended them to do. And to a certain extent, by fighting for better conditions, by crying out unceasingly for the rights of the workers, of the poor, of the destitute–the rights of the worthy and the unworthy poor in other words, we can to a certain extent change the world; we can work for the oasis, the little cell of joy and peace in a harried world. We can throw our pebble in the pond and be confident that its ever widening circle will reach around the world."

Dorothy Day, June 1946

Today was a 'risk off' day in the markets.

Some of this was due to geopolitical risks.

The rest was in anticipation of a three day weekend, with new political and geopolitical risks being anticipated.

The US government, specifically the Congress, has to renew the debt ceiling, and despite being controlled by one party it remains dysfunctional, being sharply divided by ideologues and servants of various corporate interests and a wealthy few who do not carry the needs and best outcomes for the people or the nation in their hearts.   And as for the corporate powers, they serve only their own greed, which is mammon.

Few suffering servants in power these days; they serve what they love the most, a false vision of god as themselves, which is death. It would be far better for them if they had never been born.

Gold and silver remain jammed into key resistance, and both of the major stock indices which I track here closed down to key support.

VIX, the measure of risk and volatility, has ticked up to a new short term high.

Let's see if we can come out of this weekend blithely, and reverse these trends next week. Or on the other hand, confirm these trends with breakouts and breakdowns as the mispricing of risk that began with the Trump ascendancy starts to unwind.

This is Holy Week for us. And so I will likely not post anything tomorrow, but perhaps some little things over the weekend. I spent much of today taking care of the queen, who is very fatigued and forgetful because of her illness. I managed to do all her laundry which was a major milestone. She was too tired to object, because I won't 'do it the right way.' lol.

Have a pleasant weekend.




12 April 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals - Abide


Gold and silver had a very good follow through on the rally yesterday, going out on the highs even into the after hours trade.

Gold is around 1283 and silver 18.50. A weaker dollar helped, in addition to strong physical buying from India for the festival and wedding seasons.

Stocks were off a bit and the VIX ticked higher, in line with a 'risk off' day that was propelling the safe haven trade in the precious metals.

I see that the Kitco precious metals ticker on the left has been lagging updates badly.  I don't know what their problem may be, but I moved that ticker below the two from Nick Laird which while they show the five day price trend also show the most recent price and time for each metal.

While they are showing some good strength, the metals need to keep moving to set the higher highs that may persuade the markets in general that their long sideways consolidation trend is over.

It appears that we will have a very early treatment slot at hospital every day for the next three weeks, so I will be around most afternoons.   I am not going to promise to stay awake.  lol

Let's see how the trading goes tomorrow.

Have a pleasant evening.




11 April 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - I See Them Long Hard Times To Come


"Governments can err, Presidents do make mistakes, but the immortal Dante tells us that divine justice weighs the sins of the cold-blooded and the sins of the warm-hearted on different scales. Better the occasional faults of a Government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the constant omission of a Government frozen in the ice of its own indifference."

Franklin D. Roosevelt

Today was a 'risk off' day, although stocks managed to take back much of their losses after the European close.

Gold and silver went out near their highs.

The precious metals are jammed up against overhead resistance.

A breakout from here and a strong closing print that sticks it the breakout and confirms it opens up some interesting possibilities.

Have a pleasant evening.





10 April 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Freedom


“The world says: 'You have needs— satisfy them. You have as much right to it as the rich and the mighty. Do not hesitate to satisfy your needs; indeed, expand your needs and demand more.' This is the worldly doctrine of today.

And they believe that this is freedom. The result for the rich is isolation and suicide, and for the poor, envy and murder.”

Fyodor Dostoyevsky, The Brothers Karamazov

The marketeers were massaging perception today, putting up a good front of confidence despite the many, many geopolitical and economic risks.

This smells like a bubble topping. That can take quite a bit of time, or not. It depends on what happens to specifically break the illusion that is driving the hot money to chase mispriced risks.

Gold and silver finished largely unchanged. The Comex is becoming a betting parlor that happens to have a little physical metal in the back room. This is more true for gold rather than silver, given the activities of some parties in Comex silver to use it as a delivery mechanism for their wholesale operations.

I still like gold and silver here, but until they can break out this is an uncertain position on the charts. The formations have not yet activated, but are there waiting to open up. The resistance by the metals bears has been determined, but paper driven.

As I mentioned the other week, the tumor in the queen's brain has come back and is so deeply positioned as to be inoperable  So tomorrow we begin radiation treatments every day for three weeks with the goal of eliminating it.  It will be a tough go, and I may be late or miss a few postings.

This week we remember the events of one of the most meaningful weeks in all human history. And in this is our freedom, not of the world that seeks to master us, but in spite of it.
You, my brothers and sisters, were called to be free.   But do not use your freedom to indulge your desires and your greed; rather serve one another, with humility and love. For the entirety of the law is fulfilled in keeping this one commandment: 'Love your neighbor as yourself.'

Gal 5:13-14
This we have not only forgotten, but mocked and trampled into the dirt. We live in an age when greed has been declared the greatest good, and the measure of the economy and the markets.  And so in the name of such false freedom, we may once again make a hell on earth.

Have a pleasant evening.