10 September 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - You're Their Kill of the Night - Financial Predators Are on the Prowl


"Financial predators are usually narcissistic and audacious criminals. They regularly have an extreme sense of entitlement coupled with high self-efficacy.  Many of them have a charismatic quality and are preternaturally persuasive.  Financial predators are commonly shameless and quite adept serial liars.  They perceive themselves having near unlimited guile and resourcefulness to extricate themselves out of any compromising situations."

Russ Alan Prince, Forbes


"You've taken obvious joy in talking about how the agency will help banks a lot more than it will help consumers, and how upset it must make me.  This isn't about me.  This is about active duty military. It's about first responders and students and seniors and familiess—  and millions of other people who need someone on their side when consumers get cheated.  You are hurting real people to score cheap political points."

Elizabath Warren to Mike Mulvaney on the gutting of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau


"You should thank God for bank bailouts—  absolutely required to save your civilization. So I think when you have troubles like that you shouldn't be bitching about a little bailout.  You should have been thinking it should have been bigger. You should thank God the government saved the big banks and their investors.

Now, if you talk about bailouts for everybody else, there comes a place where if you just start bailing out all the individuals instead of telling them to adapt, the culture dies. Suck it in and cope."

Charlie Munger


"Psychopathy is a personality disorder characterized by twenty well-documented traits and characteristics. The most visible are glib/superficial charm, a grandiose sense of self worth, a strong need for stimulation (that is, psychopaths are easily bored) and impulsivity.

However, there are others, which they successfully hide from view, in particular pathological lying, conning, manipulation, a lack of empathy, remorse and guilt. Over time, one might begin to see examples of irresponsibility, lack of realistic, long-term goals, and their failure to take responsibility for their own actions."

Paul Babiak, co-author with Robert Hare of Snakes In Suits

I know, let's pursue a system that lacks regulation, justice, and transparency, and relies on the 'good nature' of some of the greediest and most ruthless elements in its society to make most of the important decisions.  And whoever can collect the most dirty money through whatever means gets to be in charge.

The sad truth is that old Charlie is just saying what the rest of his moneyed class and their enablers and courtiers have been thinking and saying to each other for quite a while.  They are just not old and dodgy enough to blurt it out publicly.

We are living in a time of a general plague in human morals, and a sickness upon the American soul.

Stocks were choppy today, attempting to recover and find a footing among recent declines. They were not quite able to make it.

Indicators are flashing danger signals for an equity market that is likely mispricing the risks in the credit and consumer markeets.

Former IMF economist Olivier Blanchard addressed a meeting at the Boston Fed, and suggested that if there is another financial crisis and severe recession that the Fed should engage in 'unusual monetary policy' and intervene in the equity markets to buy stocks in order to artificially prop up their prices and further distort credit risk.

Well, he didn't say that last part.   But that is what he is really saying, along with the understand that the Fed should provide a more direct subsidy to the wealthiest ten percent and their stock holdings.

And the Boston Fed Chair Mr. Rosengren said that things are just so good that the Fed should start considering 'restrictive' interest rates before something awful like wage inflation can take root.

Gold and silver declined just a bit, along with a weaker Dollar and a lower VIX Clearly, all is well.

A state of emergency has been declared in the Carolinas and Virginia on the approach of Hurricane Florence, which appears to be heading for a direct landfall while strengthening to a robust Category 4. And their are two other hurricanes following this one in their westwardly path across the Atlantic.

Rudy Giuliani is calling for the FBI to investigate the anonymous Op-Ed writer, saying that if they could leak something like this to the Times, then they might leak it to someone else like a foreign power. Sounds like the movie Minority Report, right?

If these jokers are so good at crime fighting that they can spot crimes before they occur, why don't they do something about the robo-call epidemic. It's a good thing that my home phone is on the government 'Do Not Call' list, because otherwise I might get more than the ten or so fake and fraudulent calls that come in each day. Luckily there is a service that my cable provider offers that pre-empts these fraud calls, and it works. But that's beside the real point, isn't it? Fraud protection and law enforcement is not a privilege, but a right that everyone pays for, but not everyone gets.

A visitor from China noted that our public infrastructure, in particularly the commuter rail systems, are remarkably underdeveloped and in poor condition. Perhaps we should create a Patreon page, and try to fund infrastructure development in the US in this way?

Yeah, but does China have a wall better than ours (as it is some day conceived to be)? Uh, oh yeah they have been there and done that. I've even climbed some restored portions of it. Quite impressive. Trump should make a note of it and its durability.

How about a major national infrastructure and public works program to stimulate well-paying jobs and general pubic productivity as FDR did with the highly success CCA and WPA programs?   Oh yeah, I guess we have that, but its virtual or something still rattling around in the corporatist black box of the Beltway.

Need little, want less, love more. For those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant evening.






Interlude for a Rainy Afternoon - Angels In Heaven - What Then Are We To Do?


One day one day I was walking along
I heard a voice I didn't see no one
the voice to me you know it sounded so sweet
it sounded like Jesus talking to me

and I know, I know I've been changed
I, I know I've been changed lord and I know
I know I've been changed
the angels in heaven done signed my name.

Chris Rodriguez and The Spoon Lady, Angels In Heaven

Spoon Lady certainly puts her heart into her work.

I like the way that the dog casually walks across the 'stage' during their performance.

We live in times of a plague in the human spirit. What then are we to do?

The only way to fill the emptiness of a heart broken by loss or made unquiet by worry is with love, of God and of God in others. Defy the world with love, and a light will come into your life. 'If they drive God from the earth, we shall shelter Him underground.'

Read poetry, comfort the afflicted, make music, care for the weak among His creatures, love beauty, feed the hungry, fall down and get back up, sing songs of joy and thanksgiving, be ready to lend a smile and a helping hand, and always stand with your brothers and sisters, lifting your eyes up to heaven, and shine its light, brightly, into the darkness.





09 September 2018

Gold and the Next Financial Crisis


This NY Times Op-Ed quoted below is for the tenth anniversary of the financial crisis, written by three of the men who helped to create it, and intensify its after effects.

With a little help from the like minded who have followed, they have virtually insured a repeat.  Bob Rubin, Bill Clinton, and Alan Greenspan should be given an honorable mentions, with a nod to Phil Gramm.

Why publish it now?

There are some slightly ominous signs around in the equity markets, the currency and debt markets, and from the gold and silver markets as noted in the charts below.

So the timing is most likely designed to shift the responsibility for the next crisis from themselves to 'these other guys' who came after them and have ruined their fine work.  Just in case.

"Ten years ago, the global economy teetered in the face of a classic financial panic, the most dangerous type of financial crisis. In a financial panic, investors lose confidence in all forms of credit, retreating to the safest and most liquid assets, like Treasury bills. The prices of risky assets collapse, and new credit becomes unavailable, with dire consequences for workers, homeowners and savers.

The seeds of the panic were sown over decades, as the American financial system 'outgrew' [sarcastic emphasis mine] the protections against panics that were put in place after the Great Depression.

Depression-era safeguards, like deposit insurance, were aimed at ensuring that the banking system remained stable, but by 2007 more than half of all credit flowed outside banks. Financial innovations, like subprime mortgages and automated credit scoring, helped millions to buy homes, but they also facilitated unwise risk-taking by lenders and investors.

Most dangerously, trillions of dollars of risky credit were financed by uninsured, short-term funding..."

What We Need To Fight the Next Financial Crisis by the Unholy Trinity of Policy Errors and Moral Hazard

Here is Pam and Russ Martens take on this Op-Ed - Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson: The Fed Should Be Able to Make Secret Trillion Dollar Loans Again




07 September 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Household Diversions, International Destinations -The Tyranny of Dust


“The world says: 'You have needs— satisfy them. You have as much right as the rich and the mighty. Don't hesitate to satisfy your needs; indeed, expand your needs and demand more.' This is the worldly doctrine of today. And they believe that this is freedom. The result for the rich is isolation and suicide, for the poor, envy and murder.”

Fyodor Dostoyevsky


“The tyrant is a child of Pride
Who drinks from his sickening cup
Recklessness and vanity,
Until from his high crest headlong
He plummets to the dust of hope.”

Sophocles, Oedipus Rex


"Lo, all our pomp of yesterday
Is one with Nineveh and Tyre!
Judge of the Nations, spare us yet,
Lest we forget, lest we forget!"

Rudyard Kipling


"Show me your ways, O Lord, and teach me your paths.
Lead me in your truth, and teach me: for you are the God of my salvation; and I wait for you all the day.
Remember, O Lord, your tender mercies and loving kindness, as they have ever been of old."

Psalm 25:4-6

Most people are willful idiots, who forgive themselves everything, and others nothing.  I am an unwillful idiot.   I am not sure that this is better, or even a marked improvement.  But at least I try to have compassion for others because of this small kernel of self-awareness.

Self-awareness is in very short supply these days.

The Non-Farm Payrolls report came in 'better-than-expected' with a headline number of 201,000.

Most ignored the significant revisions lower from the last report in this one. Rolling jobs over from one month to the next is a time honored gimmick in putting a little nicer shade of lipstick on the pig.

The 'household report', as opposed to the well named establishment report, is the one in which actual people are interviewed in what one hopes is a statistically significant manner. And in informational terms it was not very good, at all.

The big tickle was that this 'great' jobs report was going to allow the Fed to raise interest rates later this month at the next FOMC meeting.

Here is a news flash. The Fed is going to raise rates at this next meeting unless the Yellowstone caldera blows its top.

So the dollar rallied and gold was hit. What a surprise. And gold recovered a bit and actually finished marginally unchanged with a .32% decline or thereabouts.

Gold inventories continue to look tight.   Silver not so much, although the Banks seem to be hoovering up contracts for their own accounts at these prices.

A cold front came through, and as a result it is cooler but quite humid and a bit cloudy, with leaden gray skies. As sometimes happens on gloomy days, there is a little bit of a hole creeping into my heart.

And so I have been indulging myself as best I can, and keeping busy all day. The young man is coming to visit tonight, and he also informed me that a UPS delivery is coming that requires a signature.  So Dolly and I have been keeping watch.  I have prepared a jambalaya for him tonight, and it is slow cooking in my Instant Pot, which I like very much.

While waiting I have spared myself watching financial television. They are so obviously reading talking points, especially about the precious metals, that it is fatiguing.  And so it is a good day to stay in with a very nice cup of European dark roast coffee, and spend a little time planning ahead. 

I ordered a variety of fragrance samples from Le Labo in NY.  I will use them to help pick out some gifts later on for some of the female friends and relatives as Christmas presents.  They apparently have exceptional lotions on offer.

My mother taught me to buy things that people really need, but then I just give it to them right away.  Which defeats the holiday purpose.  So it works out a little better to buy them things that they would really love, but would not ordinarily get for themselves because of cost or whatever reluctance to self-indulgence.  I seem to know more people like that than is ordinary in these days of self-indulgence.

There is also a November gift buying roadtrip to Cacao Market by Mariebelle in Greenpoint Brooklyn in the future.  This was the queen's award winning destination for chocolate truffles at least in the US. We were there for their opening, and met the wonderful lady herself.   Mariebelle has other locations that are closer such as Soho, and much farther away in Japan and Dubai, but this particular location was styled after the store in the movie, Chocolat.    And it provides an excuse to visit a few more locations in that area.

As always a good thing to do when one is reading financial material, I put on a selection of travel videos from a current favorite NonstopDan on Youtube, and a few others of a documentary nature about things that I wish to know about, or to do. 

As a former international 'road warrior' who hung up his carryon and passport some years ago, it is nice to see what is new in international travel especially with regard to business class. I have to say that Business class has certainly become more luxurious in many cases.

And would have enjoyed that very much.  One time I flew all the way around the world heading ever west, with a number of stops along the way over a two week period.  I booked the trip through Continental, which was my airline of choice at the time, in addition to a few flag carriers.  It was a shame to see them and some others acquired, but that is how things go in a financialized, non-customer focused economy.

And the lounges, like Virgin's 'Clubhouse' at Heathrow 4, seem to be larger and more expansive than when I used to pop in.  I am so jealous.  lol

I was also reminded of the BA Lounge at JFK, where the Concorde passengers used to wait along with the business and first class passengers. We made the trek there because at that time it was the only 'day flight' from NY to London.

We never did get the much desired upgrade to the Concorde, but the queen enjoyed watching the people, and sampling the goodies there, nonetheless. She was a most companionable traveling partner, who found delight in even the smallest things, and found new things fascinating.

Let's see what new and amazing lows that our ruling elite may strike for our viewing pleasure next week, and the many ways in which they may seek to baffle the world.

Have a pleasant weekend.