16 October 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Rattling Nonsense - Stock Market Option Expiration on Friday


"To a fool, wisdom will sound foolish."

Euripedes, Bacchae


"If I speak in the tongues of men or of angels, but do not have love, I am only a resounding gong or a clanging cymbal.   If I have the gift of prophecy and can fathom all mysteries and all knowledge, and if I have a faith that can move mountains, but do not have love, I am nothing."

1 Corinthians 13:1-3

Fears of yesterday were cast aside as the hot money came back into the markets, and the shorts who overstayed their position in the recent decline were scrambling to cover.

We have seen a particularly effective wash and rinse in the equity markets this week, ahead of the stock option expiration on this Friday.

Netflix showed better-than-expected results, including the all important subscribers, after the bell.  This lit the afterburners of the big cap tech stocks.  Huzzah!

Safe havens joined prudent words and wisdom in leadership today—  all are generally in disrepute amongst the exceptional ones.
"For fools rush in where angels fear to tread.
Distrustful sense with modest caution speaks;
It still looks home, and short excursions makes;
But rattling nonsense in full volleys breaks;
And never shocked, and never turned aside,
Bursts out, resistless, with a thundering tide."

Alexander Pope, An Essay in Criticism

Have a pleasant evening.



15 October 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - A Bull Market In Bulloney - Lie and Deny Everything


“Before mass leaders seize the power to fit reality to their lies, their propaganda is marked by its extreme contempt for facts as such, for in their opinion fact depends entirely on the power of man who can fabricate it.”

Hannah Arendt


And one day, too late, your principles, if you were ever sensible of them, all rush in upon you. The burden of self-deception has grown too heavy...

The world you live in—your nation, your people—is not the world you were born in at all. The forms are all there, all untouched, all reassuring, the houses, the shops, the jobs, the mealtimes, the visits, the concerts, the cinema, the holidays. But the spirit, which you never noticed because you made the lifelong mistake of identifying it with the forms, is changed.

Now you live in a world of hate and fear, and the people who hate and fear do not even know it themselves; when everyone is transformed, no one is transformed. Now you live in a system which rules without responsibility even to God.  The system itself could not have intended this in the beginning, but in order to sustain itself it was compelled to go all the way.”

Milton Mayer, They Thought They Were Free

Gold and silver managed to rally up a bit today on a slightly weaker dollar.

there was no breakout. I know quite a few people are watching the 100 DMA for gold. I think the chart is pretty much in concurrence with a widely watched metric and manages to convey more information overall.

Stocks tried to rally all day, but just could not hold it into the close and sold off a bit.

So, no breakouts or breakdowns. The best the market mavens could do was manage a draw.

The situation with the Saudis is interesting and worth watching.

The retail sales data was not constructive to the sustainable recovery story.

Even with the one percent fat and wealthy, and corporations chock full of cash and building monopolies at a record pace, can the US economy sustain itself with a consumer base that is frightened, unhealthy, generally put upon by frauds, and scraping by on stagnant incomes?

I don't even live in a 'swing state' and the level of television ads and door to door volunteers is at surprisingly high levels.

All politicians lie, but lately they are lying so much and so casually that they doesn't even bother to hide their tracks or make any attempt to save face, except with more lies and denials.  And the whole process on both sides of the aisle has become cynically slick, professionally noxious, noisome and disgusting.

The working class may be hooked on opioids, but the elite's drug of choice is Denietol.

Why not? It appears to be working fine for them.

Our healthcare system is criminally insane. The level of corruption in the corporate world and on Wall Street is at record levels.

And what are we talking about on the national stage?  Certainly not financial and healthcare reform.

Have a pleasant evening.


14 October 2018

Reprise: Remembering Oscar Romero and the Martyrs of El Salvador


"Brothers, you came from our own people. You are killing your own brothers. Any human order to kill must be subordinate to the law of God, which says, 'Thou shalt not kill'. No soldier is obliged to obey an order contrary to the law of God. No one has to obey an immoral law. It is high time you obeyed your consciences rather than sinful orders. The church cannot remain silent before such an abomination.

In the name of God, in the name of this suffering people whose cry rises to heaven more loudly each day, I implore you, I beg you, I order you: stop the repression...

You can tell your people that if they succeed in killing me, that I forgive and bless those who do it. Hopefully, they will realize they are wasting their time. A bishop will die, but the church of God, which is the people, will never perish."

Oscar Romero

In El Salvador in the 1970's, a right wing coalition backed by the country's richest families inflicted a reign of terror on the reformers who sought peaceful change in their repressive, oligarchic rule where a few had the most, and the rest lived in deprivation and poverty.

The Catholic Church in that country, under the leadership of Archbishop Romero of San Salvador, offered peaceful support and comfort to the protesters and the reformers and the many victims of official murder and terrorism.

On 24 March 1980 Archbishop Romero was assassinated while saying Mass at La Divina Providencia, one day after calling on the soldiers to stop torturing, raping, and murdering people in the reign of terror.

No one was every arrested or held responsible for this act.

On the day of his funeral, the mourners were bombed, and attacked by snipers positioned on the rooftops.  Forty people died and many more were wounded.

Later that year four missionary nuns were raped and murdered shortly after they had arrived at the airport.

The assassination of Oscar Romero provoked a vicious twelve year civil war against financial and political repression, as the reformers gave up hope of any peaceful change.  And it opened the door for more radical elements in their ranks as the people gave in to despair.

As had happened in the past, and continues to happen today,  repression of peaceful change and justice threatened to bring about the very conditions that the ruling families of the country had feared.  These are the fruits of greed and the lust for power, driven to hysteria and violent repression.

People like to remember the frightful abuses of state socialism at the extreme, and well they should do this.  But they tend to overlook and excuse the crimes and repression inflicted on the people in the name of neo-liberal capitalism, which is nothing more than oligarchy and a fascism of the powerful. They both use fear and terror to herd the people into the abbatoirs of predation and repression.  And we allow ourselves to be blinded by their lies and propaganda, their myths of our exceptionalism, and our own fear, hate, and willfulness.

Hatred and violence in all their forms, whether of the extremes of the left or right, no matter what is used to justify such acts, are little different in their offense against His commandments and His love, and to the sorrow of the individual victims.

"It was a civil war of the 1980s, one that pitted leftist revolutionaries against the alliance of countries, oligarchs, and generals that had ruled the country for decades—with U.S. support—keeping peasants illiterate and impoverished. It was a bloody, brutal, and dirty war. More than 75,000 Salvadorans were killed in the fighting, most of them victims of the military and its death squads. Peasants were shot en masse, often while trying to flee. Student and union leaders had their thumbs tied behind their backs before being shot in the head, their bodies left on roadsides as a warning to others...

Many Americans would prefer to forget that chapter in American history; those under the age of 40 may not even be aware of it. Salvadorans haven’t forgotten, however."

Raymond Bonner, America's Role in El Salvador's Deterioration


'A true opium of the people is the huge solace of thinking that for our betrayals, greed, cowardice, and murders we are not going to be judged.'

Czeslaw Milosz









13 October 2018

Relative Scarcity of Physical Gold Prompts Large Drawdowns From Funds and ETFs


"It appears that there is a dwindling and overleveraged supply heading towards an unmanageable and relentless source of demand."

It is interesting to watch the ongoing management of physical gold holdings in the West.

Physical gold has been seeing large drawdowns from inventory during this price decline, but silver does not.

This is not due to some preference or matter of taste.   Physical gold for sale at these prices is in short supply, whereas silver is not.

Both are subject to speculative price manipulation in the paper markets.

The relentless demand from Asia is stressing the highly leveraged claims per physical ounce of gold in London and New York.

It appears that there is a dwindling and overleveraged supply heading towards an unmanageable and relentless source of demand.

The system will be maintained— until it cannot.   Although the game can be extended by a determined effort, no commodity pricing pool can last forever in the face of a stubbornly stable supply and a steady excess of offtake out of the pool, shenanigans and antics notwithstanding.

Physical gold is flowing from West to East, into the markets and strong hands of Asia. 

Bye bye gold.

The eventual resolution may be quite energetic in terms of price.