01 March 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Just Another Comex Options Expiration


"Major commercial and investment banks—and the hedge funds that ran alongside them—were the big beneficiaries of the twin housing and equity-market bubbles of this decade, their profits fed by an ever-increasing volume of transactions founded on a relatively small base of actual physical assets.

Our future could be one in which continued tumult feeds the looting of the financial system, and we talk more and more about exactly how our oligarchs became bandits and how the economy just can’t seem to get into gear. Recovery will fail unless we break the financial oligarchy that is blocking essential reform."

Simon Johnson, The Quiet Coup, May 2009


"The great enemy of freedom is the alignment of political power with wealth. This alignment destroys the commonwealth - that is, the natural wealth of localities and the local economies of household, neighborhood, and community - and so destroys democracy, of which the commonwealth is the foundation and practical means.”

Wendell Berry


"The ferocity of media attacks on him [Bernie Sanders] often indicates that corporate power brokers are afraid his strong progressive populism is giving effective voice to majority views of the public... For corporate elites determined to retain undemocratic power, a successful Bernie 2020 campaign would be the worst possible outcome."

Norman Solomon


"Today in America, the middle class is disappearing. For many, the American dream has become a nightmare. 

The business model of Wall Street is fraud. In my view, there is no better example than the recently-exposed illegal behavior at Wells Fargo.   We have got to end the two-tier justice system — one for the poor and working class and one for Wall Street and the wealthy — that has existed for far too long in this country.

Wall Street won’t change until we make it clear that no bank is too big to fail and no CEO is too big to jail.  Billionaires and Wall Street should not be buying elections.

The reason that Congress isn’t doing what the overwhelming majority of Americans wants has everything to do with the power of the monied interests. Let us bring our people together to take on and defeat a ruling class whose greed is destroying our nation. Our government belongs to each and every one of us, not just the few.”

Bernie Sanders

Gold and silver were mugged in honor of the day after the options expiration on the US Comex.  I have to say that this was pretty much as had been expected.   And that is a shame.

Stocks took another go at the big overhead resistance.

The spokesmodels noted that Wall Street 'looked through' the bad economic data that came out this morning.

A more elegant way of expressing this is that the lack of a recovery in the economy will have the Fed sidelined for the rest of the year, and will continue the hot money flows that fuel speculation in stocks and mispriced risks. The Fed feels free to continue pursuing the same monetary and regulatory policies that have cause us at least two bubbles and subsequent crashes so far in this century, and are working on a third.

This is no accident. It is a means to the greatest redistribution of wealth and record inequality since the Gilded Age.

And it is supported by an extremely well funded and determined public relations effort, with alternative media sites and think tanks, to lure people into proudly supporting their own economic pillaging.

Creating torrents of new money from nothing, and making sure that it reaches the hands of 'the right people' and no one else, is how to fuel bubbles without triggering a broader inflation. The Banks must be restrained, and balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustainable recovery.

Need little, want less, love more. for those who abide in love abide in God, and God in them.

Have a pleasant weekend.



28 February 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - This Century of Scandals - Pride and Presumption


"Of course, it was not a good idea for Australia to sell most of its gold and for Canada to sell all of its gold. The timing of these sales was also some of the worst ever. Beyond this, these central banks acted irresponsibly and had no accountability to the populations of their nations. Gold is the wealth of ages, the sovereign wealth of a nation. It is not some securitized financial asset to be sold and squandered by statist central bankers who answer to no one...

Some of the gold that the Western central banks still claim that they hold is in fact not there at all. It has been leased out in London, sold and shipped abroad, and now sits in China or India, and all the while the Western central banks still claim that this gold is on their balance sheets as they maintain the fiction that ‘gold receivables’ are in fact the same as physically held gold.

All central banks that store gold bars at the Bank of England should now sit up and take note that storing gold at the Bank of England is a wealth hazard fraught with political and confiscational risk.

It is irresponsible that Australia not only sold a majority of its gold at fire sale prices in 1997, but that it has since done nothing to rebuild its strategic monetary gold reserves. All the while, the Asian powers of China and Russia have been doing just that. As one of world’s largest gold mining producers, Australia also has the means at its disposal to rebuild its gold by tapping into primary gold production."

Ronan Manly, Australia's Gold at the Bank of England


"Do not say, “No one can have power over me”
for the Lord will surely chastise you.
Do not say, “I have sinned, and nothing has happened to me yet”
for the Lord is slow but sure in his judgement.
Do not be so confident of forgiveness
that you foolishly add sin upon sin upon sin."

Sirach 5:3-5


Gustave Doré, The Fall of Lucifer
“How you are fallen from heaven,
Lucifer, son of the morning!
How you have been cut down to the ground,
You who cowed the nations!
For you said in your heart:
‘I will ascend into heaven,
I will exalt my throne above the stars of God;
I will sit on the mount of the most holy
On the farthest sides of the north;
I will ascend above the heights of the clouds,
I will be like God.’

Isaiah 14:12-14

Today was an option expiration on the Comex.   And the price was knocked down sharply in the day trade.   What a surprise.

There was an interesting withdrawal of gold on offer at today's prices which occurred yesterday in the NY Comex warehouses.

The physical inventory in Hong Kong also continued to see net outflows.

Stocks continued to flounder at these levels.  The economy is out of balance, and is not sustainable without continuing infusions of liquidity. 

We do not suffer from an abundance of evil, so much as a broad lack of virtue and good.

Are we not exceptional?   Are you not entertained?

Have a pleasant evening.






27 February 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Edgy, Lacking in Wisdom


William Blake, Satan In His Original Glory
"The problem with movies and books is they make evil look glamorous, exciting, when it's no such thing.  It's boring and it's depressing and it's stupid.  Criminals are all after cheap thrills and easy money, and when they get them, all they want is more of the same, over and over."

Dean Koontz


“That is, of course, the kind of perspective we expect from mobsters, dictators, and others whose primary regard is for unflinching support, not for allegiance to truth or facts.”

David Cay Johnston


"Wisdom breathes life into her children
and admonishes those who seek her.
He who loves her loves life;
those who seek her will be embraced by the Lord.
But if he fails her, Wisdom will abandon him
and deliver him into the hands of despoilers."

Sirach 4:11,19

Stocks had trouble figuring out what to do with themselves today.

The futures managed to stick another declining day in the face of overhead resistance.

Only the Fed's excess liquidity is keeping this pig afloat now. But they do seem to be determined.

Gold and silver were off a bit as the mispricing of risk continues. VIX was lower and the Dollar was flat.

A gut check ahead of an active month's option expiration is not unexpected, especially after a nice run up and a short term overbought condition.

Have a pleasant evening?


26 February 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Consequences - Arrogance On a Collision Course With Reality, Again


Yuri Leonov, Icarus
"As in the past so in the future, the wrong we have done, thought, or intended will wreak its vengeance on our souls, no matter whether we turn the world upside down or not.

Our knowledge of good and evil has dwindled with our mounting knowledge and experience, and will dwindle still more in the future, without our being able to escape the demands of ethics. In this utmost uncertainty we need the illumination of a holy and whole-making spirit— a spirit that can be anything but our reason."

Carl Jung, Psychology and Religion


"Be not deceived;  God is not mocked.  Whatsoever a man sows, that shall he also reap."

Galatians 6:7


"Even great men bow before the Sun; it melts hubris into humility."

Dejan Stojanovic


"But, what creates the most intense surprise,
His soul looks out through renovated eyes."

John Keats


"A crash is a watershed event, generational in its scope, always accompanied by an economic slump of greater than a year, often called a depression rather than a recession. Its effects are measured in years.  It is a furnace in which the national character is tested and tempered, hammered into something different from what had gone before."

Jesse, 2008

The problem we are facing in American polite society is not that there is so much that is bad, but that there is so little that is genuinely good. This is the consequence of the moral imperative of the 'lesser of two evils.'

Stocks were wobbly— again.

One might expect that they have just completed a long run higher, and now stand looking at some formidable upwards resistance.

Gold and silver held steady, while the Dollar slumped a bit.

My cyclical calculations and trend forecasts suggest that July 2020 may be a decisive, if not pivotal, period in our time. I think I may have mentioned this once or twice before.

Have a pleasant evening.