31 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Our Pampered Plutocrats - Wall Street Throws a High Fructose Hissy Fit


"People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage. Intellectual myopia, often called stupidity, is no doubt a reason. But the privileged also feel that their privileges, however egregious they may seem to others, are a solemn, basic, God-given right."

John Kenneth Galbraith


"For decades, we have had a trade policy that has been written by giant multi-national corporations to help giant multi-national corporations. They have no loyalty to America. They have no patriotism. If they can save a nickel by moving a job to Mexico, they’ll do it in a heartbeat. If they can continue a polluting plant by moving it to Vietnam, they’ll do it in a heartbeat."

Elizabeth Warren


“At the heart of the TPP were new rights for thousands of corporations to sue the U.S. government before a panel of three corporate lawyers that could award unlimited sums, including for loss of future expected profits, to be paid by American taxpayers when the corporations claim U.S. policies violate the new entitlements the TPP would provide them.

The TPP also included extreme new monopoly protections for pharmaceutical firms that blocked competition and ensure high medicine prices.  The deal’s environmental standards, negotiated by Democratic President Barack Obama’s trade ambassador Mike Froman, were a roll back from those included in the last four agreements negotiated by George W. Bush.”

Public Citizen, More Information on the Trans-Pacific Partnership

There was a wailing and gnashing of glaringly whitened teeth on Wall Street today.

The spokesmodels were distraught with sympathy for the plight of their pampered plutocrats.

The Fed did exactly what was expected.  However...

What sent the Street into a tantrum were statements by Fed Chair Powell that suggested that this was not the beginning of a major easing cycle.

What, no more high fructose hot money with tax cuts for Wall Street, financed by austerity for everyone else?

Inconceivable!

This is late stage financial bubble action, and the financial class is jonesing for more easy money to keep propping up their Ponzi schemes and credit asset cons.

Now the attention will turn to the economic data, and demanding reassurances from the Fed that the flows of hot money into the pockets of the elite will continue unabated.

With tax cuts. And more monopoly power. And even less accountability for crime.

And everyone else be damned.

I came into today short stocks from last night, and to this I added some this morning.  I had trimmed back my short term gold position in my trading account on strenght earlier this week.

Why?  Because while nothing is certain, today's action was fairly probable.  If you are operating from the right set of base assumptions.

I am not too concerned about gold yet, and will be looking to add back to the short term positions.  I may wait for the Non-Farm payrolls report.  But the stock index shorts were a nice hedge.

Depending on what gold does the rest of the week, I may shift to one of the alternate chart scenarios, rather than the symmetrical triangle.

Have a pleasant evening.




30 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomorrow


"Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow,
Creeps in this petty pace from day to day,
To the last syllable of recorded time..."

William Shakespeare, Macbeth

Another sleepy summer day in the markets.

We wait, with bated breath, for the AAPL results after the close.

Tomorrow we will be getting the FOMC rate decision. They are widely expected to cut their benchmark rate by 25 basis points.

And immediately after that, the markets will begin to focus on what they will do next.

Is this a one and done, the first of a pair, or something even more in the sugary asset bubble category?

The Non-Farm Payrolls Report on Friday may help to prob that thinking.

The only surprising thing about today, at least to me, was the surprising strength in the broader market, the Russell 2000, even while the lead sled dogs in the SP 500 and NDX were faltering.

Gold and silver showed a little strength while the Dollar went sideways.

We are in day three of this latest 'heat wave' and the thunderstorms are on their way, hopefully to clear this miasma of heat and humidity out.

Things are quietly on a low rolling boil overseas, in various places.

Easily ignored by the news it seems, at least for now.

Have a pleasant evening.

29 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Calm Before the Storm



Stocks and the markets in general were in a very sleepy trading session, seasoned a bit with algo shenanigans.

The markets are waiting for the FOMC decision on Wednesday, and the Non-Farm payrolls Report on Friday.

Market indicators are suggesting that stocks are in a bubble, now.

We seem to be back in a 'heat wave' for now, very indicative of late July, punctuated by passing thunderstorms.

Have a pleasant evening.

26 July 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - TheTerrible Twos - FOMC and Non-Payrolls Next Week


"It's not just America. The whole world has sort of turned muddy. By and large, the world is increasingly run by ignoramuses, wackos and psychotics. This was long before Donald Trump. But we've got more crazy people running the world now than ever."

Seymour Hersh


"Listen then to what the parable of the sower means. When anyone hears the good news and does not understand it, the evil one comes and snatches away what was sown in their heart. This is the seed sown along the path. The seed falling on rocky ground refers to someone who hears the word and at once receives it with joy.  But since they have no firm roots, they last only a short time.  When trouble or persecution comes because of the word, they quickly fall away. 

The seed falling among the thorns refers to someone who hears the word, but the cares of the world and the temptations of riches choke the word, making it wither away.  But the seed falling on good soil refers to someone who hears the word and understands it.  This is the one who produces good fruit, yielding a hundred, sixty or thirty times what was sown.’

Matthew 13:18-23


"Let all mankind recognize My unfathomable mercy.  It is a sign for the end times.   Bring to me all devout and faithful souls, and immerse them in the ocean of My mercy.   He who refuses to pass through the door of My mercy must pass through the door of My justice. "

Maria Faustyna Kowalska

Next week will see an FOMC, in which the Fed is widely expected to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points.

I do think that ordinarily the market would sell the news.

But the scenario is complicated a bit by the Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.

So the market may hold off a bit, waiting to see how that number comes in.

It is a kind of Jekyll-Hyde market, and economy.

On one hand, things are fantastic, and the economy is booming like never before. We just need to keep doing what we are doing, with these great tax cuts and continuing deregulation. No problems to be seen, except maybe too many poor people.

On the other hand, the Fed needs to cut rates which it only recently increased, because they are 'stifling' economic growth and holding us back from even more exceptional achievements.

Personally I think just about everyone in the Beltway and Manhattan is full of it. And they don't care.

Well, putting that aside, let's see how this avalanche of economic news, and a dictate from the Fed, plays out next week.

Today is the feast day of Joachim and Anna, who were the parents of Mary, and thereby the grandparents of Jesus.   Grandparents can be a wonderful gift.  I pray for mine every day.

They had been forged in terrible poverty in the Depression, and were very good and down to earth. I had to live with them when I was very little.  My earliest memories are of my angel grandmother, as I sat in her lap while she told me stories from the old World, mostly about the struggle between good and evil.


The Dollar strengthened today as Larry Kudlow, CNBC/Wall Street spokesmodel and now presidential economic advisor, said that 'Dollar invtervention' is off the table, meaning that they would take no action on Trumpolini's desire for a weaker Dollar.

There is no scenario whatsoever under which the US does not intervene in most if not all of the markets, and on an almost daily basis these days.

I doubt that things will become better on their own, since reform and justice are almost friendless among the powerful.

What then are we to do?

What everyone has had to do, throughout the history of the world.

Stand firm, and remain standing with the light, not on your own strength alone, but trusting in the word of the Lord.

Have a pleasant weekend.