05 December 2008

Euro/Yen and the US Equity Markets Bubble: A Monetary Phenomenon


Here is an interesting comparison which we believe has some validity in that the credit and asset bubble
was significantly a Yen and Dollar, and possibly a Renminbi, monetary phenomenon.

The broadly manipulated currency markets in a fiat regime are the tail wagging the dog of the world economy.

The ultimate question might be who, if anyone, is doing the wagging?




Just to keep it interesting, and to drive home the point that these relationships are rarely simple and straightforward,
this chart shows the sharp decline in the euro/dollar cross with the decline of US financial assets.
We think we have previously shown a tight correlation between US asset values held by European banks and the eurodollar.
There may also be some 'flight to home currency' phenomenon amongst US investors.