15 November 2009

Long Term Gold Chart Updated (And An Addendum Showing Detail)


The character of this move of the breakout will tell us how far gold will correct when it hits an intermediate top and consolidates or corrects.

Gold is in a bull market. One never gives up all their position in a bull market. Rather, you hold it while the bull is running. If you are an aggressive 'trader' you can buy on support and sell at resistance around a stable position to improve your cost basis, taking some of your own money 'off the table' but letting your profits run.

Otherwise it is better to just hang on and enjoy the ride.



As always, in a general market crash the liquidation will also hit gold and silver, and may set up an exceptional buying opportunity. But do not count on it. Never give up your seat completely on a bull market train while it is running, because it may take an extraordinary act of will to get it back again.

Last Update November 4, 2009

Sept. 16 Addendum: Someone asked for a 'picture of Scenario 1.' Here is what it might look like. With regard to timing, I am expecting gold and the SP 500 to make some sort of a short term top together, and for SP 500 DEC futures to peak out about 1117 before they correct back down to trend support. So you can see my dilemma in trying to synchronize these two views and charts. I think a market 'crash' is off the table unless there is an event, but who can predict something like that reliably?