17 June 2011

The Almost Shocking Year-To-Date Divergence Between Gold and the Gold Miners


These are the established companies for the most part.

One can speculate endlessly for the reasons, but it looks to me that there is a paired trade going on, of long bullion and short miners. That is similar to one of my favorite paired trades this year, long bullion and short a broad stock index or the financial sector.

If this is true, if gold breaks out and the stock market recovers somewhat, the miners will play catch up.

But if the stock market falls apart, the miners are much more vulnerable to a selloff than bullion. That is the reason for the paired trade I believe.