Here is the chart we have been keeping through this decline and now into the bounce.
The bounce will end when it ends. It is a 'false flag' intended to spark a recovery in confidence and the economy. It is fueled by an enormous infusion of liquidity by the Treasury and Federal Reserve into a few favored banks, who are making the bulk of their newly found profits by trading.
The rally cannot be sustained without continuous printing of money. The difficulty with this tried and true monetary approach which has lifted the economy out of the last two bubble breaks is that the financial sector is closer to the heart of the credit bubble than tech or housing, which were just vehicles for the Ponzi scheme.
And the largesse is not being distributed evenly, as relative outsiders like Ken Lewis are finding out. "Not all animals are equal." And not all the pigs have purchased premier positions at the trough.
So, when will it end? On the charts, the area between 1060 and 1100 is likely, since it is in the area of a valid and confirmed neckline. But given the strength with which the SP has penetrated the prior resistance, one has to approach any forecast of an end to a rally like this with fear and trembling, and a generous portion of caution.
Still, our point is not to make a killing for the punters, but rather to help to illuminate the perfidy at the heart of the US financial system. It is truly amazing at how brazen it has become, especially under their token reformer.
The comments on this chart are those that had already been there. All that has been done is to update the chart from July, and to clean it up a bit for readability.
"In the Incarnation the whole human race recovers the dignity of the image of God. Thereafter, any attack, even on the least of men, is an attack on Christ, who took on the form of man, and in his own Person restored the image of God in all. Through our relationship with the Incarnation, we recover our true humanity, and at the same time are delivered from that perverse individualism which is the consequence of sin, and recover our solidarity with all mankind."
Dietrich Bonhoeffer