21 April 2010

93% Of Commodity Specs Believe that Gold Price Will Decline; US Financial Model Is a Threatened Specie


Of course that pun in the title is intended. How could you even ask?

Mom and Pop America, unlike their Asian counterparts, and most speculators apparently, do not favor the precious metals like gold.

They might be right. But sometimes it is safest to be positioned comfortably far from the maddening (pun intended as in 'frenzied' and 'annoying') crowd.

For me that entails being on a short term hedged trade, long stuff and short fluff.

The US financial sector, as represented by the bloated banks, are overvalued based on a business model that relies on gaming the system, routinely defrauding their customers, adding little value to the global economy except for themselves, and feeding off the wealth creation and the labor of the many. That seems to be coming to an end, perhaps not tomorrow, but as time goes by.

If stocks take a serious tumble in the US we'll know which way the wind is blowing. If gold holds its ground, we will have an indication that it is ready for the next leg up, because the drop in stocks is based on a disgorgement of assets which have lost their appeal and confidence because of the repeated, increasingly reckless, and virulent frauds of the American oligarchs.

Commodity Online
Poll: 93% of Investors Believe That Gold will Fall

By Rutam Vora
21 April 2010, 10:49 a.m. EST

(Commodity Online) -- At a time when gold prices reeled under pressure, for a sustained period after hitting their all-time high in December 2009, the perception towards the yellow metal seems to have reversed with investors hinting at weakening of gold prices in the near future and strengthening of other investment avenues...

In an online opinion poll conducted by Commodity Online, a majority of the respondents have hinted at a possible fall in gold prices in the near future, and better earning opportunities will come knocking on the door.

In an online poll of a sample size of 21,600 respondents selected from across the globe, 93% or 20,100 of the total sample size had opined that there would be a fall in gold prices due to a recent upbeat mood in the global equity markets, while only 1,400 respondents contradicted the stand, 0.46% did not comment on either side. This showed that most of the respondents believed that there would be a fall in gold prices in the near future due to a recovery in global equity markets.

However, with regard to the other metals being an investment destination, most of the respondents maintained a view that they (base metals) can potentially become alternative investment instruments. As many as 64.35% of respondents considered base metals as a potential investment instrument but of them, 53% still chose gold as a preferred investment instrument compared to base metals, while 46.76% preferred base metals to gold....

Similarly, of the total respondents as many as 53.1% believed that the US dollar would replace gold from its status of 'safe haven.' Looking at the recovery of the US economy from the nightmarish recession which had started from the US and hit the world economy in 2008, the dollar was found gathering steam once again. However, 46.8% of the respondents contradicted the view and maintained their skepticism towards the dollar and put gold to their preferred investment mode...