29 September 2018

Draining Physical Gold From Funds and Trusts To Supply the Markets of Asia - An Extreme In Speculation


Numbered — God has numbered your reign, and will end it.
Weighed — you are weighed on the scales, and found wanting.
Divided — your power will be divided up and given to others.

Daniel 5:25-28


“QE [quantitative easing] puts beer goggles on investors by creating a line of sight where everything looks good."

Peter Boockvar

It is interesting, but little noted, that during similar price declines, physical gold is removed from the funds and trusts, while silver remains almost untouched.

That is because the 'gold float' of physical gold available to supply the steadily aggressive demand is critically low, whereas silver, while also beaten down by speculators, sees no decline, because there is an adequate supply of physical silver, for now.

Compared to the physical delivery market of Shanghai, the NY Comex looks like a game of Liar's Poker, an exercise in pure speculation, almost like a bucket shop.

The number of 'claims per ounce' in gold has risen once again to 315 claims per ounce offered at these prices.

In the way that the Fed implements it, Quantitative Easing is like beer goggles for financial paper.

A purposely misaligned, an arbitrary valuation and mispricing of risk in any asset class, commodity or currency, can be sustained only by force and fraud. As the fraud becomes weaker and less effective, the force must increase.  Eventually the scheme breaks down, and a more market-based equilibrium will reassert its presence. That is monetary or value theory based on history. 

Gold is moving from West to East, and is unlikely to return anytime soon, and at anything near to these prices.

Our markets will have been weighed, and found wanting.