08 November 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Pressures of Excessive Speculation and Mispriced Risk

“A business man who was also a biologist and a sociologist would know, approximately, the right thing to do for humanity.  But, outside the realm of business, these men are stupid.  They know only business.  They do not know mankind nor society, and yet they set themselves up as arbiters of the fates of the hungry millions and all the other millions thrown in.  History, some day, will have an excruciating laugh at their expense."

Jack London, The Iron Heel

"I met a traveller from an antique land,
Who said— 'Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
Stand in the desert. Near them, on the sand,
Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,
The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;
And on the pedestal these words appear:
'My name is Ozymandias, king of kings:
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!'

Nothing beside remains: round the decay
Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare,
The lone and level sands stretch far away."

Percy Bysshe Shelley, Ozymandias

“It seemed that out of every tear of a martyr new confessors were born, and that every groan on the arena found an echo in thousands of breasts.  Caesar was swimming in blood, Rome and the whole pagan world was mad.  But those who had had enough of transgression and madness, those who were trampled upon, those whose lives were misery and oppression, all the weighed down, all the sad, all the unfortunate, came to hear the wonderful tidings of God, who out of love for men had given Himself to be crucified and redeem their sins."

Henryk Sienkiewicz, Quo Vadis

As the first chart below indicates, the excesses of the bubble economy continue to build.

The resolution of this gross imbalance and malfeasance will be, by all historical accounts, 'unexpected' but tangibly impressive.

History is about to punch the proud and the self-anointed elite in the face.

Try to stay out of their way when they fall down. They will try to use you and yours to break their fall.

Stocks went out on the new highs in relatively light volume.

The VIX shows complacency. There is a proud complacency, buttressed by the Fed and the plutocrats' servants in public office.

Gold and silver were whacked lower again. In particular it was a little surprising to see silver give up the 17 handle.

The bullion banks are determined to cover those shorts, and avoid the loss that they have been carrying.

In light of the new price movements I have amended the chart formations for gold and silver.

The Bond markets and Banks will be closed on Monday for Veteran's Day. The rest of the markets will be open.

Given our excesses, begin to expect the unexpected.

Have a pleasant weekend.