Showing posts with label Geithner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Geithner. Show all posts

28 April 2010

NY Fed Cited in Cover-Up By SIGTARP's Barofsky - Possible Criminal Charges


It's never the crime, it's always the cover up.

This is beyond a doubt the story of the week. Neil Barofsky has been a thorn in the side of the Treasury Department and the Fed since he first took office.

I doubt there will be criminal charges filed against Turbo Tim personally, since in his case the clueless CEO defense may obtain some traction. Unless, that is, they have wiretaps and/or emails showing collusion with some of the bailed out banks, in either insider trading or the manipulation of assets for extraordinary gains.

It is a boiling scandal, and emblematic of the hidden corruption that has pervaded financial regulation in Washington for the past ten years at least. It did not start with Obama, but it may still bring down key members of his Administration.

Reform the financial system, audit the Fed.

Bloomberg
Barofsky Says Criminal Charges Possible in Alleged AIG Coverup

By Richard Teitelbaum
28 April 2010

April 28 (Bloomberg) -- ...That tense relationship [between Treasury and Barofsky] has grown out of Barofsky’s mandate to monitor and root out fraud and waste in the management of TARP, the $700 billion program passed in October 2008 to remove toxic debt from the banks. The special inspector general, in a series of reports, interviews and congressional hearings, has heaped criticism on the Treasury Department’s operation of the program.

Barofsky’s most recent broadside came on April 20, when a SIGTARP report labeled a housing-loan modification program funded with $50 billion of TARP money as ineffectual.

...The TARP watchdog has also criticized Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner in reports and in congressional testimony for his handling of the process by which insurance giant American International Group Inc. was saved from insolvency in 2008, when Geithner was head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

The secrecy that enveloped the deal was unwarranted, Barofsky says, adding that his probe of an alleged New York Fed coverup in the AIG case could result in criminal or civil charges.

In Senate Finance Committee testimony on April 20, Barofsky said SIGTARP would investigate seven AIG-linked mortgage-related securities similar to Abacus 2007-AC1, the instrument underwritten by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. that is at the center of a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit filed against the investment
bank on April 16.

...Barofsky and Geithner’s offices have gone toe-to-toe over AIG, alleged lax oversight of TARP funds and even over the question of whom Barofsky reports to.

Barofsky, a former federal prosecutor who was once the target of a kidnapping plot by Colombian drug traffickers, says he’s also looking into possible insider trading connected to TARP. He says his agency would want to know if bankers bought stock in their companies before it was made public that their institutions would get TARP
money, for example.

“There was a time when, if you got that word the stock price would go up, and if you were to trade on that information prior to the public announcement, that would be classic insider trading,” Barofsky says.

A Democrat named by a Republican president, Barofsky says missteps by both the George W. Bush and Barack Obama administrations are to blame for TARP’s failures.

“There’s a reason there are Tea Partiers out there, and when you look at it, anger at the bailout is one of the first things they talk about,” says Barofsky, referring to the anti- Obama political movement. “This Treasury Department and the previous Treasury Department bear some of the responsibility for not being straightforward with the American people.”

Barofsky criticized Geithner’s predecessor, Paulson, in an October 2009 report, saying Paulson publicly described the initial nine TARP bank recipients as healthy when he knew that at least one of them risked failure.

...SIGTARP has more than 40 agents, including former Secret Service, Federal Bureau of Investigation and Internal Revenue Service investigators, who sport blue windbreakers emblazoned with the SIGTARP seal.

They are authorized by Congress to carry guns -- Barofsky does not --make arrests, and subpoena and seize records.

In its late-January report, SIGTARP said that the banks rescued by TARP remained “too big to fail.” They still have an incentive to make risky wagers in order to generate the profits that will reward their executives, the report says.

“The definition of insanity is repeating the same actions over and over again and expecting a different result,” Barofsky says. “If the goal of TARP was to make sure we don’t have another financial collapse, well, obviously it’s made the likelihood of that much, much greater.”

....In a December report, Barofsky showed how insurance giants Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. and Lincoln National Corp. bought tiny thrifts -- one with just $7 million in assets -- to qualify for the TARP Capital Protection Program, which is designed to encourage bank lending. Hartford and Lincoln used the more than $4.3 billion in TARP funds they received almost entirely to finance insurance operations,
according to the report.

“Treasury didn’t have to approve that,” Barofsky says.

Allison wrote SIGTARP that buying troubled assets from insurance companies was part of TARP.

Janet Tavakoli, founder of Chicago-based Tavakoli Structured Finance Inc., says Barofsky hasn’t been aggressive enough. She says SIGTARP should be running criminal probes of the bankers who underwrote and managed the collateralized debt obligations that were at the center of the financial meltdown.

CDOs are bundles of mortgage-backed bonds and other debt sold to investors. Tavakoli says the CDO managers sometimes replaced relatively high-quality securities with new ones that were more likely to default.

“It is securities fraud if you take securities and package them and knowingly pass them off with phony labels,” she says.

Barofsky says investigations related to the underwriting and sale of CDOs are ongoing.

...Barofsky says he’s battling an entrenched culture of secrecy in the Treasury and elsewhere.

One of the important lessons that I hope will be learned from this entire financial crisis is that the reflexive reaction against transparency, that disclosure will bring
terrible things, has not been proven true
,” he says.

He offers the AIG bailout as an example. For more than a year, the New York Fed kept key aspects of the AIG bailout secret, including details of its own involvement and its decision to have AIG pay the insurer’s bank counterparties 100 cents on the dollar on the credit protection they’d bought against about $62 billion in CDOs.

In a November report, SIGTARP criticized Geithner’s failed efforts to obtain discounts from the banks.

After the banks had been
paid in late 2008, a lawyer from the New York Fed sought to have AIG keep the banks’ identities under wraps, as well as data about the CDOs that would have revealed which firms had underwritten the toxic bonds and which ones had managed them.

“There’s a lot of things about AIG that were not disclosed, based on the assumption that the sky would fall,” Barofsky says. “Transparency does a lot more good than bad.”

Barofsky says the question of whether the New York Fed engaged in a coverup will result in some sort of action.

“We’re either going to have criminal or civil charges against
individuals or we’re going to have a report,” Barofsky says. “This is too
important for us not to share our findings
.”

He won’t say whether the investigation is targeting Geithner personally.

In a statement, the New York Fed said: “Allegations that the New York Fed engaged in a coverup of its intervention in AIG are not true. The New York Fed has fully cooperated with the Special Inspector General.”

22 May 2009

Regional Federal Reserve Banks Think the Geithner-Bernanke-Summers Plan Is Failing the Real Economy


Torches on the right, and pitchforks on the left.

Have a happy Memorial Day weekend to all our readers in the States. US markets will be closed on Monday.

Perhaps a reminder that the freedom won by those who came before us at so dear a price should not be dealt away so easily out of fear and greed.

"But, in a larger sense, we can not dedicate - we can not consecrate - we can not hallow - this ground. The brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it, far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here. It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us - that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion - that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain - that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom - and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth."

CentralBankNews.com
Why the regional feds are up in arms
22 May 2009

A number of presidents of regional Federal Reserve banks and senior staff have recently expressed dissent from the official line taken by the US authorities in managing the banking crisis.

This development may surprise central bankers in other countries, used as they are to enforcing conformity among officials of their organisation to the official line. It would be astonishing, for example, if several governors of euro-area central banks were to suddenly challenge Jean-Claude Trichet's handling of the crisis or the crisis management policies of governments of euro member states. Collective responsibility and cover-ups are the watchwords in Europe.

The heads of the district fed banks are particularly concerned with the inequities and inefficiencies arising from official protection of banks deemed too big to fail.

Hoenig speaks out -

In April, Tom Hoenig, president of the Kansas City Fed, said that actions that had been taken in an attempt to protect the largest US institutions from failure risked "prolonging the crisis and increasing its cost."

Support for firms considered too big to fail had provided them with a competitive advantage and subsidised their growth with taxpayer funds. They were, he said, not only too big but also "too complex and too politically influential to supervise on a sustained basis without a clear set of rules constraining their actions."

To those who might be surprised at such forthright criticism from a senior official, he reminded his listeners that the 12 regional banks were set up by Congress "specifically to address the populist outcry against concentrated power on Wall Street." He added: "Its structure reflects the system of checks and balances that serves us well at all levels of government, and it is the reason I am here today able to express an alternative view."

- Lacker protests

A few weeks later another senior Federal Reserve official also asserted that the implicit guarantee that the government would step in and save those institutions deemed too big to fail was a key cause of the current economic malaise.

Speaking at the Asian Banker Summit in Beijing on 11 May, Jeffrey Lacker, president of the Richmond Fed, said that the existence of the financial safety net created incentives for too-big-to-fail institutions to pay little attention to some of the biggest risks.

"Their tendency to underprice such risk exposures reduces market participants' incentive to prepare against and prevent the liquidity disruptions that are financial crises, thus increasing the likelihood of crises."

It was, Lacker said, "worth noting that some large firms that appear to have benefited from implicit safety-net support were heavily involved in the securitisation of risky mortgages."

Lacker said that the implicit belief that some institutions were too big to fail had built up over the years in response to a series of events and government actions involving large financial institutions.

- and Stern maintains his criticism

Gary Stern, the president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve has also been a vociferous critic of the Fed's bank bailouts. Writing with Ron Feldman, the senior vice president for supervision, regulation and credit at the Minneapolis Fed, for a book entitled Towards a New Framework for Financial Stability (published by Central Banking Publications), Stern said that the Fed was right to come to Bear's rescue, but criticised the decision to expand its safety net as "not subtle or implied." "Uninsured creditors of other large financial firms may now have heightened expectations of receiving government support if these firms get into trouble," he said.

More recently, in a statement to the Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban affairs on 6 May, Stern returned to the subject: "If policymakers do not address TBTF [too big to fail], the United States will likely endure an inefficient financial system, slower economic growth, and lower living standards than otherwise would be the case."

Gary Stern is retiring as he turns 65 in a few months, the mandatory retirement age for senior officials in the reserve banks.

Contrary to public perception, the 12 regional Fed banks are not government agencies. Nor are they private banks. Each is owned by member commercial banks.


09 March 2009

Chris Whalen: Tim Geithner is a Disaster and Will Be Out by June


"Tim Geithner has no financial skills. The only reason he is there [the Treasury Secretary] is to protect Goldman Sachs."

Interview with Chris Whalen of Institutional Risk Analytics on TheStreet.com



06 March 2009

The Banking Crisis: Obama's Iraq Part 2


It is hard to assess who among the current DC crew are more limp when it comes to addressing the banking crisis in a meaningful and effective manner: Geithner, Summers or Bernanke.

They are all the very picture of the bureaucrat, which is a nice way of saying "systemic hacks." Have Timmy and Ben have reached their level of incompetency? Larry Summers has far exceededed his some years ago at Harvard.

It is difficult ground when one speculates on motives, but these are all rather bright fellows, albeit creatures nurtured by the system that they serve. It is hard to accept that their inability to address our financial crisis is sheer incompetency. But for now they obtain the benefit of doubt and the CEO's defense made so popular by the Enron crowd.

We wonder how bad it will get before Obama understands that his team is not working, that they have no actionable vision among them for whatever combination of reasons, and that the corruption being perpetuated is starting to stick rather handily to the Democrats.

The banking crisis is starting to look like Obama's Iraq.


Bloomberg
Hoenig Says Treasury Failed to Take ‘Decisive’ Action on Banks
By Steve Matthews and Vivien Lou Chen

March 6 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury has failed to take “decisive” action to address the bank crisis, pursuing an ad- hoc approach that leaves management in place and avoids necessary asset writedowns, a veteran Federal Reserve official said.

“If an institution’s management has failed the test of the marketplace, these managers should be replaced,” Fed Bank of Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig said in prepared remarks for a speech in Omaha, Nebraska. “They should not be given public funds and then micro-managed, as we are now doing” with “a set of political strings attached.”

Hoenig’s comments are the most detailed criticism of the Treasury’s actions by a Fed official since the financial crisis began. By contrast, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has endorsed the approaches taken by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and his predecessor.

Geithner is requiring a “stress test” for the largest 19 U.S. banks to determine if they need more capital. He has stressed that nationalization isn’t the goal.

Last week, the U.S. government moved to convert some of the preferred stock it owned in Citigroup Inc. to common shares, gaining a 36 percent stake in the company and boosting Citigroup’s buffer against future losses. While authorities pushed for changes to the makeup of Citigroup’s board, Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit remains at the helm.

Hoenig said while policy makers “understandably” want to avoid nationalizing banks, “We nevertheless are drifting into a situation where institutions are being nationalized piecemeal with no resolution of the crisis.”

The Treasury’s $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program “began without a clear set of principles and has proceeded with what seems to be an ad-hoc and less-than-transparent approach,” Hoenig said today.

Banking regulators need to be willing to write down losses, bring in new managers and sell off businesses if institutions can’t survive on their own, “no matter what their size,” said Hoenig, the second-longest serving of the Fed district bank presidents, after Minneapolis’s Gary Stern.



17 February 2009

"The Worst Is Yet to Come" With Tim and Larry


Howard Davidowitz is one of the best retail industry analysts available. It is always worth listening to him. His outlook on the broader macro level, based on consumer activity, is depressingly gloomy.

The gloomy long-term Depression outlook becoming so popularly accepted that we find ourselves rebelling against it. Perhaps unjustifiably so.

It will come down to what the Obama Administration does about the Banks. If the big Wall Street banks are allowed to absorb the capital vitality of the economy and limp along as insolvent zombies it is highly possible that we will have our own 'lost decade' like the Japanese experience.

Larry Summers is in command as the economic advisor with young Tim as his minion. We can barely imagine the infighting that must be going on between the practical politicos around Obama, probably led by Rahm Emanuel, who must be simply frothing at the boneheaded policy blunders that Geithner and Summers are creating.

A chart of W's popularity shows a decided peak just after 911, and then a steady decline into political oblivion and one of the worst popularity ratings in modern presidential history. It is now being revealed that there was a feeling in the White House that Cheney and Rumsfeld misled the president and cost him, dearly. W became very cool and detached with Cheney and his circle in the last two years, He ignored personal pleas to pardon Cheney's man, Scooter.

There is a real possibility that Larry Summers and Tim Geithner could be the spoilers for Obama despite the enormous wave of popular support which he enjoys today. Betting on the over/under, we suspect that eventually Rahm will put him in a political body bag, with Larry providing plenty of personal assistance in his own demise. But that's just an opinion and it could be wrong. Their failure is definitely not in the best interests of the country. Here is a similar opinion.

Fool Me Once Geithner, Shame on You, Fool Me Twice...

And now for a stiff dose of reality which is even too gloomy for our tastes but may be correct from Howard Davidowitz:


Howard Davidowitz Video Interview

"Worst Is Yet to Come:" Americans' Standard of Living Permanently Changed
by Aaron Task
Feb 17, 2009 12:53pm EST

There's no question the American consumer is hurting in the face of a burst housing bubble, financial market meltdown and rising unemployment.

But "the worst is yet to come," according to Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates, who believes American's standard of living is undergoing a "permanent change" - and not for the better as a result of:

- An $8 trillion negative wealth effect from declining home values.
- A $10 trillion negative wealth effect from weakened capital markets.
- A $14 trillion consumer debt load amid "exploding unemployment", leading to "exploding bankruptcies."

"The average American used to be able to borrow to buy a home, send their kids to a good school [and] buy a car," Davidowitz says. "A lot of that is gone."

Going forward, the veteran retail industry consultant foresees higher savings rate and people trading down in both the goods and services they buy - as well as their aspirations.

The end of rampant consumerism is ultimately a good thing, he says, but the unraveling of an economy built on debt-fueled spending will be painful for years to come.

10 February 2009

Today's Non-Announcement From the Treasury


Unless we are missing something, The Plan (hereafter known as TP) does not disclose how the bad assets will be valued and the procedure by which they will be removed from the various banks' balance sheets.

Today's announcement appeared to be a Public Relations event in which the Obama Administration sought to distance TP from the tainted giveaway program for the banks which it was under Hank Paulson and the Bush Administration.

So again, we will have to wait, and the market has no resolution, and remains 'edgy.'

A noble endeavor perhaps, but this Administration risks being long on appearance and short on substance. We suspect there were no details because they are still being 'discussed' behind the scenes.

Again, from what we hear, it is the 'old guard' of Clintonistas versus the Obama inner circle. Larry Summers can be quite the hammer head, and Tim is just over his head. Perhaps he will grow into the job. Perhaps Larry will be fired (again) because of his political tin ear.

06 February 2009

Coming Next Week to an Imploding Economy Near You...


Without serious reform we will repeat the cycle of bubble, boom, and bust until the economy is shaken apart into civil disorder and re-emerges in proto-fascism.



21 January 2009

The Geithner Nomination: The Wrong Man for the Job



"Summers was his mentor, but other sources call him a Rubin protégé."

The questions and testimony in the Tim Geithner nomination hearings this morning are interesting.

The topics discussed early on are billions more needed for the banks (or else), and reform is badly needed to control the deficit.

And of course the need to restore 'confidence.' Confidence is a touchstone word like 911. Fear and security. The carrot and the stick.

The reforms discussed were reducing Social Security and Medicaid, and lowering corporate income taxes.

It is the banks that have caused the current deficit problems, and banking reform was never even breached as a topic.

Now, having worked in the political circles, we know that there is little of substance to be discussed seriously at a nomination hearing such as this. Senators float out ideas important to their backers, and the nominee agrees that there is a problem, and that they will be open to those ideas.

But we thought it was interesting.

By the way, Geithner did avoid some substantial taxes, and in a most egregious way. Not only that, but once he found out that he had erred, he did not make good on prior errors, until he became the nominee.

This is not a 'reform' candidate. This is a Mr. Fixit, a son of TARP, a three page proposal presented under duress.

Tim Geithner is primarily a political operative with a grounding in international economics. He is not a banker, a financier. Yes, he held the important post of NY Fed Chief, and he made a botch of it. If anything he would be more of an asset at State, but not in the key role at Treasury. Is the Obama bench this weak that they had to resort to a tainted nominee as their first choice?

This is a vignette about what is wrong in this country: democracy is under continuing assault by corporatism.

It is also amusing to watch the Republican senators, still flush from a long orgy of deficit spending, favoritism, no-bid contracts, lies and corruption, to be newly born as the vestal virgins of thrift and public virtue.

Tim Geithner was widely traveled as a child, living overseas with his father who was an administrator fo the Ford Foundation. He attended Dartmouth College, graduating with a A.B. in government and Asian studies in 1983. He earned an M.A. in international economics and East Asian studies from Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies in 1985. He has studied Chinese and Japanese.

After completing his studies, Geithner worked for Kissinger and Associates in Washington, D.C., for three years and then joined the International Affairs division of the U.S. Treasury Department in 1988. He went on to serve as an attache at the US Embassy in Tokyo. He was deputy assistant secretary for international monetary and financial policy (1995–1996), senior deputy assistant secretary for international affairs (1996-1997), assistant secretary for international affairs (1997–1998).He was Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs (1998–2001) under Treasury Secretaries Robert Rubin and Lawrence Summers. Summers was his mentor, but other sources call him a Rubin protégé.


Tim Geithner: Too Close to Goldman Sachs to Be Treasury Secretary, Critic Says
by Aaron Task
Jan 21, 2009 12:22pm EST

Tim Geithner apologized for not paying his taxes and some Republicans criticized his involvement in the TARP program at today's hearing, but Barack Obama's nominee for Treasury Secretary appears on track for confirmation.

Congress is "all in a panic" and "really clueless" about this all-important member of Obama's cabinet, says Christopher Whalen, managing director and co-founder of Institutional Risk Analytics. "I'm just not sure Tim Geithner is the guy we should have driving the bus."

Beyond his tax gaffe, which will mainly serve to politically weaken Obama's pick, Whalen says Geithner is the wrong many for the job because of his decision-making as President of the New York Fed.

"I believe Tim Geithner only represents part of Wall Street - Goldman Sachs," he says, suggesting Goldman was the "primary beneficiary of the AIG bailout" and notes Goldman alum Stephen Friedman serves on the board of the NY Fed. (Hank Paulson and Robert Rubin, with whom Geithner had frequent meetings in the past year, are also Goldman alum.)...