Russell 2000 Small Caps and the Wilshire 5000: In a Stall, Or the Pause That Refreshes the Bull

Bespoke has a recent article pointing out some weakness in the small caps.

It is interesting to see that the broad lower end of the equity market is stalling here, with a negative return year to date. This is what we see in the Russell 2000 small caps index. It has been flirting with this support level for some time, and is testing its 200 DMA once again.

This *could* be distribution, or profit-taking if you will, but absent determined selling on volume, the markets can continue to drift with an upward bias for some time, given the Fed's bubble of liquidity going right to the banks, and thereby to Wall Street.

And we get a broader perspective from the Wilshire 5000, which is effectively flat for the year, and is oscillating round its 50 DMA.

The SP 500 is the locus of market support, some might say propping, and if there is weakness it may first appear in sector specific areas and the broader markets.

But not so yet, even though we are seeing weakness, and the volumes are thin, especially if one discounts HFT antics. 

The market is vulnerable to an exogenous shock, lacking firm underpinnings from the real economy, but absent a shock the vicious cycle of wealth extraction through the printing of money and paper asset inflation seems to be operating quite efficiently for the gangster class.

"We must make our choice. We may have democracy, or we may have wealth concentrated in the hands of a few, but we can't have both."

Louis D. Brandeis

And this aggregation of power and wealth will likely continue until the next financial crisis.  Wealth and power are being steadily transferred, as a matter of de facto policy, from the many to a select few in the rise of a new, transnational oligarchy.

This is the Anglo-American way, which has been widely adopted both at home and abroad, through manipulation, intrusion, intimidation, and intervention.

SP 500 Futures - 'Tax On Deposits' Triggers Tremors in La La Land

"News of the tax triggered a run on cashpoints in Cyprus over the weekend. Monday is a bank holiday and measures need to be approved before banks reopen on Tuesday.

Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades, a conservative elected just three weeks ago, said the tax on deposits was an alternative to a disorderly bankruptcy.

In a televised address, he said it was painful but "will eventually stabilize the economy and lead it to recovery."

Savers who lost money would be compensated by shares in commercial banks, with equity returns guaranteed by future revenues expected from natural gas discoveries, Anastasiades said.

Reuters, Cyprus Works On Tax Levy Deal To Get Bailout Approved

The futures are down 16+ points this evening, most likely on jitters over bank instability in the eurozone.

According to one of my friends, Dennis Gartman sent out the following:

"By now I suspect that most of you have heard the news from Cyrpus over the weekend, but just in case you’ve not the Cypriot government has chosen to confiscate money from any and all accounts at any and all banks in Cyprus to pay for its banking problems...

This is astounding, and the decision was… if not fully decided in Brussels… was approved by Brussels and Berlin and Paris et al. This is unlike anything I’ve heard in my 40+ years of being in the market. This is HUGE news; this is massively bearish news for the EUR; this is massively bullish news for gold and this is THE MOST IMPORTANT BUSINESS NEWS OF THE YEAR THUS FAR. Please believe me on this; this is Europe’s “Lehman” moment.

I shall be around all day tomorrow trying to figure out what has happened here and why, but if the EUR… which closed on Friday at 1.307… does not open below 1.2900 and then continue lower, and if gold, which closed on Friday at $1590/oz does not open above $1625 and head higher I will be truly, truly stunned."

Be prepared; Monday is going to be violent"

I had a couple of email messages after a post about the sacredness of trust in money and banking earlier today.  They implied that I had a misplaced sympathy for the crooked Russians, and the little people of Cyprus.

That post was not intended to be a moral message, although morality is certainly involved.  It is more of a practical matter. 

When your money system is based on trust, it is critically important to maintain appearances.  Simply reaching out and confiscating the insured savings of depositors is very bad form, especially when everyone knows you are doing it to support a rigged system that is run for the benefit of a fortunate few.

The sophisticates are fairly used to discussing the darker corners of injustice of the system in their own circles.  And they have become comfortable with it, as they are in viewing the victims of their greed as 'takers.'  I am sure that this played some part in the expedient decision to support the Eurocrony corporatist zone by simply stealing depositors' money, and deriding them as either crooks or hapless fools who 'must contribute.' 

 But what the cynical plutocrats do not realize is that most people still believe in the system, in rules and justice.  And it is this belief that sustains a system based on promises and guarantees and trust.

I am fairly certain that the financiers and central bankers will wish to shut down any incipient panic in the Euro banks. After all, the entire global reserve currency system is a confidence game.

Buying the SP futures and selling more paper gold and silver might do the trick.  And their talking heads will carry the message that this is much ado about nothing, and merely another buying opportunity.

They certainly have dipped into that bag of tricks many, many times in the recent past.  And personally I will be stunned if they do not make a determined effort to do it again.

With Regard to the Cyprus Bank Deposit Confiscations: Is Nothing Sacred?

Customer funds were long considered 'sacred' at brokerage firms, and were segregated from the proprietary operations of the company. And they were stolen at MF Global, and no one has been punished.

Bank deposits, protected by insurance and the guarantees of the government, were long considered 'sacred' at financial institutions. And they are being stolen in Cyprus as a matter of convenience to the crony capitalists in Europe, who are loathe to force the banks to take their losses.  And so they impose them on the people.

And this is what was done, and is still being done, in the US and the UK as well.  It is merely being done in a different form.

The Parliament of Cyprus will vote on this plan on Monday.

There are always various ways, and people, who will be willing to justify such theft. The banks were taking dirty Russian money, the people are lazy spendthrifts. This is always how it goes when the oligarchs steal to finance their gambling losses.  And in their insular arrogance they always go too far, provoke a reaction, and then act surprised.

As I wrote a few weeks ago:

Politicians from both sides of the aisle will swear pious oaths to protect and foster the well being of the middle class. They will say that their policies and proposals are all designed for its betterment. And yet the state of the middle class continues to dwindle into despair and disrepair. Why is this?

It is not because of the predominance of a right or left ideology, of taxation and deficits and austerity. It is not because of the re-emergence of a perversion of the gospel, in the predestination of prosperity. We have seen all this before. It is not because in our comfort we have lost the sense of the imperative of common cause.

It is because of the overwhelming corruption of power, and of the cynical amorality of thoroughly modern political managers who worship power and personal wealth as ends unto themselves. They distract the people with artificially divisive social issues and crises, while robbing them blind.

It is driven by the allure of the cartels, monopolies, and monied interests, and their corrupt political bargains. It is a child of the subornation of perjury on a massive scale. It is the unscrupulous servility to power of those who have sworn to uphold and protect the law. What is truth? Whatever suits us, whatever we say it is, by whoever has the power and the craft to define 'we.' It is not the triumph of evil so much as the absence of any sense of the good, of honor, honesty, and of simple common decency.

And it is marked by the daily subverting of the law as a matter of convenience and comfort to the insatiable few, and the cravenness of their enablers, driven by personal ambition, ignorance, and fear. It is the will to power, the elevation of the ascendant self and the system that supports it, above all else. Greed is good. Whatever works. And the enemy is all that is not the self, but that which is the other.

And where there is nothing sacred, the people perish.

Protect yourselves.  And do not look only to your wealth, but also to what is lasting.

"For what does it profit a man to gain the whole world, and lose his soul?"