09 November 2011

MF Global's Customer Assets - STOLEN - And Nothing You Hold In This System Is Safe



As suspected, MF Global brazenly took liquid assets like Treasuries and warehouse receipts, but not cash which would have been more quickly missed, from customer accounts to post as illegal collateral for emergency funding with a lender who must have known that they were receiving stolen goods.

When things fell apart, the lender simply took the collateral and liquidated it, and kept the money.

And now they are refusing to even acknowledge this transaction, and apparently the management of MF Global is not yet talking. Why? Because it was an insider deal, and they don't want to give back the stolen money.

When 'non-consequential' customers were requesting their funds, they were issued checks instead of wire transfers. The checks of course were not honored and bounced. But days later, and just hours before the bankruptcy filing, MF Global was paying BONUSES to its UK traders. Remarkable in light of how much dirty business the NY firms have been outsourcing to London. Follow the hush money.

This is a scandal of the first order, and a severe test for the Obama Justice Department, the regulatory agencies, and the exchanges.  This is a great crime, undeniably premeditated, and possibly the tip of an iceberg that would shake the public confidence in a deeply corrupt financial system. 

If a registered broker can simply take Treasuries and receipts for physical assets like gold and silver from customer accounts and give them to a complicit crony lender, and then look at the public with a straight face and say the money is missing and they do not know where it is, then no one's accounts are safe, anywhere, at any bank or broker, in the US financial system. 

This has every appearance of a legally sanctioned theft, pure and simple.

Postscript:  Apparently it really is legally sanctioned according to CFTC Rule 1.29.  But it still may have been a violation of the laws of fraudulent conveyance.  Where is Eliot Spitzer when you need him?

Here is a synopsis of the likely events from Forbes:

When did MF Global exploit the customer segregated accounts and why? How were the proceeds used to stem the firm’s deepening insolvency?

Based on the sequence of events described above, I believe that MF Global transferred assets, not cash, from customer segregated accounts to a “house” account sometime late Wednesday or early Thursday.

I’ve given those who executed the “nuclear option” to save MF Global the benefit of the doubt. I believe those executives used all available legitimate means to raise cash first, including trying to sell proprietary assets, as CNBC reported, and exhausting existing credit lines. When margin calls on the repurchase agreements and account closure demands from strategically important clients – not the bread and butter individual traders and smaller investors and money managers who got rubber checks – kept coming, they hit the wall.

Why do I believe MF Global executives transferred customer assets not cash to “house” accounts? Because missing cash would be noticed immediately. Their clients were still trading and clearing and cash was required to settle. Securities such as U.S. Treasury Bills, blue-chip equities such as CME Group stock held by many exchange members, and physical assets such as gold, warehouse receipts, and other certificates of title are less active. They would not be missed Thursday through Monday...

Any firm willing to lend $300-400 million for a week or so against approximately $700 million of customer assets was certainly wise enough to require recourse to those assets in the event of a bankruptcy. Some of the assets, like CME stock, were sure to drop in value if the bankruptcy occurred.

When MF Global filed for bankruptcy midday on Monday October 31, 2011, the lender owned the customer assets.

My guess is the pledged assets were immediately liquidated.

No one is raising their hand to admit they’re the firm who lent MF Global several hundred million dollars, enough to get them through the weekend, based on collateral MF Global had no right to pledge. It’s not clear what the responsibility of a firm is in that situation to ask questions and confirm title. What is clear is that the arrangement, most likely a favor called in based on very strong relationships, must have been planned in advance. When all else failed to generate enough cash on Wednesday afternoon, someone at MF Global pressed the button and set the wheels in motion.

The lender must have had the capacity to make such a loan and the ability to execute a strategy intended to leave few traces. But there are always trails to follow. (Like the traces of the enormous number of put options that were placed prior to 911.)

Regulators can look for records at MF Global and at the DTC of transfers of assets between customer accounts and MF Global house accounts and, then, of those same assets between MF Global and a third party. I suspect there is only one lender, since there was not enough time to arrange for more than one and the potential for exposure would be greater with more counterparties.

I don’t think the last inning lender is one of the banks with existing MF Global accounts. Everyone knew those organizations would be under immediate and heavy scrutiny...."

Read the rest here.

I beg to differ with the author. I do think it is a big, very well-connected name, and I think they are a party to a greater ongoing fraud that will never see the light of day, even if the money is eventually returned. And I have to wonder if anyone of consequence will ever be prosecuted for this, because they simply know too much about this and other things.

This increasingly brazen theft is the consequence of moral hazard from a credibility trap.

I am amazed at how so many people cannot wrap their minds around what is happening in the financial system, as a late stage fraud turns increasingly to blatant looting.

Is this a classic case of cognitive dissonance? No one really wants to hear about it. They look at other things, trivialities. They simply will not see it, until it comes for them. What is it going to take, how far can this go?

If this continues, then nothing you hold in this system is safe.

Risk Off



From last night:

"Why this resignation [by Berlusconi] without an heir apparent introduced 'certainty' eluded me somewhat.

I suspect that the Wall Street wiseguys are planning their own version of death by bunga bunga for the investing public."

Just another wash and rinse. Key support in the futures has held so far. Wax on, wax off.

Attention:
General Counsel, Chief Executive Officer and Company Secretary, and the Administrators,
MF Global UK Limited (in Administration),
5 Churchill Place,
Canary Wharf,
London E14 5HU
31 October 2011


Dear Sirs,

DEFAULT NOTICE

We refer to the LCH rules, (which shall include all of the General Regulations, the Default Rules, the Default Fund Rules, the Settlement Finality Regulations and the Procedures) and the Clearing Membership Agreement (including extensions thereto), the all monies guarantee provided by MF Global Holdings Ltd (‘the LCH Rules and Documentation’) and we hereby declare you to be a ‘defaulter’ as defined in the LCH Rules and Documentation. Capitalised terms used herein and not defined herein shall have the meaning given to them in the LCH Rules and Documentation.

Ian Axe
Group Chief Executive
For and on behalf of LCH.Clearnet Limited

Cc: MF Global Holdings Ltd
717 Fifth Avenue, 9th Floor
New York, NY 10022
USA

And at:
Corporation Trust Center
1209 Orange Street
Wilmington
New Castle County
Delaware, DE 19801
USA




08 November 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - La Douleur - Berlusconi Boogie Woogie



It was Risk ON as the markets rallied on news that the Italian PM Signor Berlusconi will be resigning after an austerity vote.

The rumours that he is being recruited as a Republican presidential candidate are probably mistaken, although he would blend.

Why this resignation without an heir apparent introduced 'certainty' eluded me somewhat.

I suspect that the Wall Street wiseguys are planning their own version of death by bunga bunga for the investing public.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Risk ON



It was definitely Risk ON as the markets rallied on news that Italy PM Berlusconi will resign after the austerity vote.

Why this is a rationale to take on more risk eludes me, and I tended to view today as what we call 'technical trade.'

The VIX did fall, but is still within a range.




07 November 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts



The metals ripped higher, with gold tearing through key resistance at 1780 and running up to 1800 into the close.

Now that the bulls have stuck a close here, they need to hold it and post a weekly close in the 1780+ area.

If they can do this then the next big trial will come with the December option expirations, barring fresh headline jitters.

As noted on the chart, the last big smackdown was an exceptional buying opportunity. For those 'waiting on the sidelines' if you did not take that low price, then you should stop kidding yourselves. You are out of the metals market, and have joined the ranks of bystanders.

That is not to say that the road for the metals going forward is smooth and straight up. It most certainly will not. Big changes are coming, and the outcomes are difficult to handicap to say the least.

But all things considered, I would rather be prepared for what is probably coming and hope for something better, than to place all our hopes solely in the hands of politicians who so far have shown themselves to be dishonorable, duplicitous, and even cruel.





SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - No Fear, No Conviction - Flash Ready Market



For all that is going on the complacency amongst the pros is remarkable. There are wild swings in the futures overnight, the markets come in lower each morning during the retail trade, and the wiseguys buy the dip.

No fear. But I wonder how much conviction there is as well.




06 November 2011

ICE Follows CME in Lowering Margin Requirements to Mute MF Global Impact



ZeroHedge initially misinterpreted the somewhat vague release from CME, raising an alarm amongst a number of people who sent it to me. And a number of people have since been critical of their mistake, which from what I could see was understandable. The CME release was very misleading.

ZH has since corrected it. And the ICE release makes the exchanges' intentions abundantly clear. When you are on the 'cutting edge' of releasing and interpreting news, it is possible to get it wrong once in a while. And it is to your credit to correct it as soon as you can, which has been done.

Zerohedge performs a valuable service in making headlines and news available to general readership in a timely manner, and I thank them for this. Sometimes the headlines are a bit sensational but that is what it is. But on net I am exceptionally glad that the site exists.

The exchange actions on margin may tend to quell some of the expected volatility from MF Global, which is good news to those who have accounts there which they are still trying to resolve.

But greater events are in motion, and it may end up having little lasting effect once the herd starts to move.

Exchange Actions Re: MF Global Inc.

Effective immediately, ICE Futures U.S. is temporarily
lowering the Initial Margin rate for all Speculative accounts to a
level equal to the Maintenance Margin rate for all contracts. The
Initial Margin rate for hedgers already is the same as the
Maintenance Margin rate.

This action is being taken to mute the impact of the transfer of
accounts from MF Global Inc. to other clearing members that
was effected overnight, and thereby support the integrity of
Exchange markets.

04 November 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Freedom Without Virtue



"But what is liberty without wisdom, and without virtue? It is the greatest of all possible evils; for it is folly, vice, and madness, without tuition or restraint."

Edmund Burke

Bloomberg Magazine Advertisement
GroupOn = LinkedIn?

La la la, whatever. La la la, doesn't matter. As cynical an IPO as seen since 1999 they said today.

Where is the MF Global customer money? First it was missing, and then it was not. And then it was lost (or) missing again, and then found at JPM. And then that was denied, and now it seems to be lost at sea in a financial storm of venality.

Maybe Judge Crater and Jimmy Hoffa took it with them.

Value can be an ephemeral thing, but especially when it is defined at a keystroke from the touch of a faceless bureaucrat. To create and distribute a nation's money at will is liberty without virtue, folly, vice and madness.

I have seen strange markets and economies, and the organizations that ran them, going back to the days of Richard Nixon. But this is one for the record books. As I remarked in the equity commentary:

'Perhaps the disconnected nature of the nation's money, its profound alienation from the real economy, is the key to the market's increasingly erratic behaviour, and the remarkable silence of the lambs.'

Relativism at the extremes has a will of its own. You may wish to grab something solid, and hang on. The trick is to properly define 'solid,' and to stick with it amongst the growing madness.

Expect some serious volatility in the days ahead.

"The race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, but to those who see it coming and jump aside."

Hunter S. Thompson, The Rum Diary

Have a pleasant weekend.







SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts



As fraudulent enterprises go, the US markets were relatively calm today in the face of uncertainty in Europe and a rather weak Jobs Report.

Perhaps the disconnected nature of the nation's money, its profound alienation from the real economy, is the key to the market's increasingly erratic behaviour, and the remarkable silence of the lambs.





"Resplendent and unfading is wisdom,
and she is readily perceived by those who love her,
and found by those who seek her.
She hastens to make herself known in anticipation of their desire;
Whoever watches for her at dawn shall not be disappointed,
for he shall find her sitting by his gate.
For taking thought of wisdom is the perfection of prudence,
and whoever for her sake keeps vigil
shall quickly be free from care;
because she makes her own rounds, seeking those worthy of her,
and graciously appears to them in the ways,
and meets them with all solicitude."

Wisdom 6:12-16

CFTC Update on the Investigation Into Manipulation of the Silver Market In Progress Since 2008



The CFTC released a long awaited update on their investigation into the manipulation of the silver market, thereby meeting a key deadline to the public.

November 4, 2011

CFTC Statement Regarding Enforcement Investigation of the Silver Markets

Washington, DC – The Commodity Futures Trading Commission today issued the following statement:
“In September of 2008, the Commission announced the existence of an enforcement investigation into the possibility of unlawful acts in silver markets. Since that time, the staff has analyzed over 100,000 documents and interviewed dozens of witnesses and obtained expert advice. It has been a long, detailed, and thorough investigation, and it continues in an appropriate and considered manner.”

You can read the entire statement here.  Except that WAS the entire statement.

For questions or comments, call 1-800-EAT-CAKE.

Independent Interview with King World News by Bart Chilton, CFTC Commissioner

MF Global: $658 Million in Missing Customer Funds Found in Account at JP Morgan - Maybe



Government Of the People, By the People, and For the People
According to Bloomberg, $658.8 Million in what could be the 'missing customer funds' were 'found' today in an account at JP Morgan.

I know how it is.  Sometimes you forget to check your coat pockets and miscellaneous bank statements too. Sloppy bookkeeping. Tsk tsk. Oh well, just an honest mistake, right?

JP Morgan is one of the largest holders and agents of MF Global debt.

Jefferies Group underwrote MF's bond offering late this year.

MF Global’s commodity customer funds are reported to have a shortfall of $633 million, or about 11.6 percent, out of a segregated fund requirement of about $5.4 billion, according to the CFTC.

The CME is forcing the transfer of customer accounts to other brokers who are demanding double margin and issuing margin calls and forcing liquidation of positions, sometimes at widely fluctuating prices, according to some reports.

And in related news: SEC Investigates Insider Trading of MF Bonds

Hey, now that he has resigned from MF Global, perhaps Jon Corzine will consider taking Tired Timmy's place as Treasury Secretary. He is ex-Goldman you know.

Once you pass through the glass ceiling it becomes a glass floor.

Update:   JPM is now said by some news outlets to be denying that it is holding any MF Global customer money.  "It's MY milkshake. And I'm going to drink it all up!"  slurp slurp grnnfef.

When the going get tough, the weird turn pro.