07 December 2010

Gold Daily Chart and Silver Weekly Chart


We saw the trend reversal today that I was expecting, as silver in particular was getting rather overextended based on the uptrend it has been following. I do not think this was anything more than profit-taking and a bit of a romp by the perma-bears who were licking their wounds and came back in for another go at the bulls.

So what next? Stocks really did not pull back much, except from the utterly unrealistic rally at the open, closing relatively unchanged. Treasury wants to sell its CITI stock and the Street wants the Chinese IPOs out the door.

Bonds got clipped pretty much on the same trend reversal theme although the 3 year auction did provide a spark by having a weak showing.

This market is without fundamental underpinnings, short term and transactionally oriented, rather like the American president, so let's give it a day to show us what is really going on.

The longer term outlook calls to mind an old quote from Norman Mailer:
"There's a shit storm coming like nothing you ever knew."



SP 500 and NDX December Futures Daily Charts





06 December 2010

Obama and GOP Make A Deal For the Great American Giveaway


If you want it, here it is, come and get it...


 



Washington Post
Obama, Republicans reach deal to extend tax cuts, unemployment benefits
By Shailagh Murray
December 6, 2010; 6:40 PM

President Obama and congressional Republicans have agreed to a tentative deal that would extend for two years all the tax breaks set to expire on Dec. 31, continue unemployment benefits for an additional 13 months and cut payroll taxes for workers to encourage employers to start hiring.

The deal has been in the works for more than a week and represents a concession by Obama to political reality: Democrats don't have the votes in Congress to extend only the expiring tax breaks that benefit the middle class. The White House estimates that the proposed agreement would prevent typical families from facing annual tax increases of about $3,000, starting Jan. 1.

Obama was able to extract an agreement from GOP leaders to support an additional 13 months of jobless benefits, a 2 percent employee payroll tax cut and extensions of several tax credits aimed at working families that were included in the stimulus bill.

The deal also would revive the estate tax, but it would exempt inheritances of up to $5 million for individuals and $10 million for couples. Democrats on Capitol Hill are strongly opposed to setting the cap at that high a level and to the 35 percent rate discussed by Obama and Republicans that would apply to the taxable portion of estates.

The White House is preparing for significant opposition from Democrats and will send Vice President Biden to meet with Senate Democrats on Tuesday. Later on Tuesday, House Democrats are schedule to discuss the proposed deal.