08 April 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Gold Breakout Targets 1510, Silver 45


Intraday comments on the markets can be seen here.

Gold and silver both broke out cleanly today and nailed the bullion bears' hides to the shed.

I have an open mind about a retest of the breakout for gold, but the short term target has been set at 1500-1510 with the inverse head and shoulder pattern that forms the right shoulder of the big inverse bull pattern that set up this breakout.

Big things are happening behind the scenes if you have eyes to see and ears to hear, and most of all a willingness to consider that all may not be as it appears on the surface. People are making decisions now, by doing nothing and going with the flow, that will effect them for the rest of their lives.

The discussion and threats of a US government shutdown are primarily political theater which does not mean all that much, but it does demonstrate foreign creditors that the politicians are not men and women of serious business, but merely bought things, purchased souls, playing to their various constituencies, fiddling around while the empire burns.




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts


US equities are a bit on edge ahead of earnings season which starts next week with Alcoa after the close on Monday.



Net Asset Values of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


This version includes the recent expansion of Sprott Gold and the latest update on the Central Trust.

The premiums to net asset value are interesting.

Notice that the Canadian dollar continues to strengthen against the US dollar, and the gold/silver ratio has dropped to the 36 range.

If the premium on PSLV is rational, then one has to wonder about the premium being applied to CEF. Does the auditing and redemption policy on PSLV make that much of a difference? Something for those who manage these funds to think about as they seek to differentiate themselves from the lesser regarded gold and silver ETFs, SLV and GLD, at least from the perspective of confidence in insurance as well as in gain.

I watched Inside Job last night and I strongly recommend that you see it, and show it to others. It is a very well done, concise, and understandable depiction of the US financial crisis, and how the failure to reform continues to cripple the real economy and the currency, to the detriment of the great majority of the people for the benefit of a relative few who have bent the government, the financial sector, and even the universities to their will.

As an aside, I finally watched No End In Sight, which is another documentary by Charles Ferguson and his team on the Iraq War, concentrating on the blundered occupation and the roots of the insurgency. It is also well worth watching.  

These documentaries are a little painful, because they strip away the illusion that these fellows who run things know what they are doing and are competent. This is why I have been saving them up for the right moment where I thought I could bear it. The recent rise in silver and gold gave me the heart to finally watch them, comforted by a feeling that I was not without alternatives.

I have seen whole companies lose the sense of meritocracy, and become like an oligarchy run by a few strong personalities, and their inner clique, stooges and girlfriends, and effectively destroy themselves while those running it line their pockets.  There is an elite that is wreaking havoc on the US national level, and it is affecting the global economy.

And to cap the evening, I finally watched Bush Family Fortunes by Greg Palast, which was not nearly so well done as Ferguson's two documentaries, but certainly capped off a discouraging evening's viewing.

What struck me the most is the sheer banality and lack of honorable character, much less virtue, in these financial men and politicians. The financial sorts such as Blankfein and Fuld are like caricatures of human beings. And the politicians are obviously phony and beneath contempt, without honor, lacking even the common virtues underneath a cultivated facade, 'whited sepulchres, which appear beautiful outward, but are within full of dead men's bones and all uncleanness.'
“False greatness is unsociable and remote: conscious of its own frailty, it hides, or at least averts its face, and reveals itself only enough to create an illusion and not be recognized as the meanness that it really is. True greatness is free, kind, familiar and popular; it lets itself be touched and handled, it loses nothing by being seen at close quarters; the better one knows it, the more one admires it.”

Jean de la Bruyere
When justice finally comes, hell is coming with it.