22 August 2022

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Ashes, Ashes, We All Fall Down

 

"Financial repression is sometimes the effect of policy even if it is not the intent.  It manifests itself, for example, when policy makers react more forcefully to declines in asset prices than to increases.

Price increases tend to be treated with benign indifference.  But declines often lead policy makers to respond with force, deploying fiscal stimulus and monetary accommodation. Market participants then conclude that governments have their backs.

Efforts to manage and manipulate asset prices are not new.  But history provides little comfort that these practices work. Interfering with market prices occasionally buys time, but rarely do policy makers seize the window of opportunity to enact structural reform.  Financial repression embeds the wrong incentives—obfuscation begets delay, and a robust recovery becomes unattainable."

Kevin Warsh, The Financial Repression Trap, 2011

"Through a set of economic policies designed to bail out and subsidize failed and often tainted corporate enterprises, while actively promoting a false sense of confidence to support those policies, the public has become exposed, by those very people entrusted to protect them, to dangerously high levels of hidden counterparty risks.

The cautionary functions of the media, the political class, and the regulatory bodies have been routinely directed, distorted, and even silenced for the benefit of a highly compromised and increasingly self-serving elite. And this corruption has begun feeding on its own momentum, resulting in increasingly blatant examples of deception, distortion, and outright theft. This is crony capitalism, and its deadly credibility trap."

Jesse, April 2012

“All make mistakes, but a good man yields when he knows his course is wrong, and repairs the evil. The only crime is pride.”

Sophocles, Antigone

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”

Upton Sinclair


Nine out of ten Americans who actually notice these sorts of thins (which are not many) would have noticed that today was a decidedly risk off day in financial asset markets.

With distractions like political yahooism and the Kardashians who can spare the time for such arcane machinations? 

VIX took a leg higher to tag its 200 day moving average.

Gold and silver moved lower, and there will be a Comex option expiration on Thursday the 25th.

I still greatly prefer the higher ground, with a little dabbling along the shoreline here and there.

Buy I actually made money today in some select gold mining positions, go figure.  

All eyes and ears will be on Powell at Jackson Hole this Friday.

Why?  Because although we are probably après-bubble peak, the Fed still has the juice to keep it going or let it slide, at least for now.

At some point an exogenous event will probably take their favorite toy away from the Banksters.

We had almost 2 1/2"" of rain today, starting very early this morning, to it had time to soak in.   

That more than doubles what we have had so far this summer.  

I have had the garden, and even mature and hardy shrubs, on life support for some time now.  

So far we have canned eight quarts of San Marzano and roma tomatoes.

The lawn, alas, looks blow-torched.

Little Daisy is thriving, and slowly but surely taking over things here.

Have a pleasant evening.



20 August 2022

Remembering Prague - Freedom

 

"Even a purely moral act that has no hope of any immediate and visible political effect can gradually and indirectly, over time, gain in political significance."

Václav Havel, Letter to Alexander Dubček, August 1969


"The impulse to freedom and democracy always seems weak and hopeless when matched against the forces of oppression, because aggressive oppression is always more single-minded, having already crushed internal dissent and perspective, and is generally better organized and equipped.

And yet even the greatest tyrannies have fallen, always.  This is because they carry within themselves the seeds of their own renewal and return to balance, or utter destruction.

As in most human things, their greatest strength is also their greatest weakness, and it is their inability to master and evolve that strength, to reform and achieve sustainability, that brings them crashing down, every time.  Their strength is their weakness, in its overreach and self-absorption."

Jesse, 8 June 2012


Marta Kubišová's song Prayer for Marta became a symbol of national resistance against the occupation of Warsaw Pact troops in 1968 as well as the Velvet Revolution in 1989. 

The name Velvet Revolution refers to the final protests against the communist regime that started in November 1989, on the fiftieth anniversary of the Nazi assault on the students at Prague University in which 1200 were arrested and 9 killed without trial.

Compared to the protests in other former communist states, Czechoslovakian protests were considered much more peaceful and smooth, like velvet

 


 

19 August 2022

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Another Stock Option Expiration Boogie Woogie

 

"When the Pharisees heard that he had silenced the Sadducees, they gathered together, and one of them, a scholar of the law tested him by asking, 'Teacher, which commandment in the law is the greatest?'  And Jesus said to him, 'You shall love the Lord, your God, with all your heart, with all your soul, and with all your mind.  This is the greatest and the first commandment.  The second is like it: You shall love your neighbor as yourself.  The whole law and the prophets depend on these two commandments.'”

Matthew 22:34-40

"If anyone says, 'I love God,' but hates his neighbor, he is a liar; for whoever does not love a neighbor whom they have seen cannot love God whom they have not seen."

1 John 4:20

"'For I was hungry and you gave me no food, I was thirsty and you gave me nothing to drink, I was a stranger and you did not welcome me, naked and you did not give me clothing, sick and in prison and you did not visit me.'  Then they will answer, 'Lord, when was it that we saw you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or sick or in prison, and did not take care of you?'  Then he will answer, 'Truly I tell you, just as you did not do it for one of the least of these, you did not do it to me.'”

Matthew 25:42-45

“Then the rich man said, ‘I beg you, Father Abraham, send Lazarus to my father’s house.  For I have five brothers for him to warn, so that they also will not come to this place of desolation and torment.’  But Abraham said, ‘They have Moses and the Prophets. Let them listen to them.’

But the rich man again said, ‘No, Father Abraham, but if someone from the dead comes back and speaks to them, they will repent.’  And Abraham said, ‘If they do not listen to Moses and the Prophets, neither will they listen if someone tells them who has risen from the dead!’”

Luke 16:27-31

Stocks took a dive today, going out near the lows.

The VIX edged higher.

The US Dollar rallied higher, and took back the 108 handle.

Gold and silver were thumped.

Next Thursday the 25th is a precious metal option expiration on the Comex.

Have a pleasant weekend.