08 August 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Take Five

 

"God is constantly knocking at the gate of my heart to invite me to go beyond the state I have reached, because my whole life should be a journey on the way to love.  I cannot give a renewed assent to love, nor above all can I give a more intensified assent than hitherto, unless a divine movement comes secretly to my heart to help it ascend higher. 

I can refuse it.   But if I let God act he will raise me further, step by step, to a greater love."

Charles Journet


Just charts tonight.

The surgery this morning did not go well.  

The replacement lens would not seat so they had to remove it, and stitch me up without it.

Very unusual, don't know what caused it.

It seems I will be visiting some specialists to see if there is any damage, and what might be done to correct the situation.

I am just letting you know why I may be posting somewhat lightly for a little while.  Starość nie radość

In the end the only real tragedy is not to be a saint.

Have a pleasant evening.

 


07 August 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Ensnared In Proud Places

 

Ravages of Pride

"It was pride that changed angels into devils; and it is humility that makes men angels.  There never has been, and never can be, and there never shall be any sin without pride.”

Augustine of Hippo

"And I saw a new heaven and a new earth: for the first heaven and the first earth were passed away; and there was no more sea.  And I heard a great voice out of heaven saying, 'Behold, the dwelling place of God is with men, and he will abide with them, and they shall be his people, and God himself shall be with them, and be their God.'"

Revelation 21:1-4

"The humble live in continuous peace, while the hearts of the proud are full of envy and frequent anger."

Thomas à Kempis

“We live according to what we see and feel and wander like madmen in a labyrinth of darkness and illusion for want of the light of faith which would guide us safely through it.  By means of faith we should be able to aspire after God and to live for Him alone, forsaking and going beyond mere worldly symbols.

In the state of abandonment the only rule is the duty of the present moment.  In this the soul resembles water, which flows into any shaped vessel, exactly filling every crevice.  

The high road to all perfection is pointed out in the 'Our Father.'  Thy will be done.  Say this with your lips as well as you can; and still more perfectly in your heart, and be assured that, with this interior disposition nothing is wanting to you, nor ever will be.  There is absolutely nothing that gives us more peace or does more to make us holy than obeying the will of God.

It is certain that God always gives what is necessary to those souls who fear Him. The gifts He bestows on them are not always the most apparent to the senses, nor the most agreeable, nor the most sought after, but the most necessary and solid, what best enables us to die to self.  All humble souls should admire and respect one another, saying: 'Let us proceed along our own path to the same goal, united in purpose and by means of God's plan which, in its great variety, is in us all.”

Jean-Pierre de Caussade, L'Abandon a la Providence divine


The first and most difficult step in the abandonment to God's will is to let go of our selfish pride.  Trust in God is a way of life, through which only His love can guide us.  Love is not easy.  It seems weak and foolish, and even despicable to the fallen and the eyes of the world.

It is a disposition of the mind and the heart, an act of acceptance of grace.  It can be a shield against temptation.  It is a habit of acting and looking at life, as we carry a yoke of restraint on our weaker nature and harsher emotions.  We are always failing, always having to recover and go forward again.

Stocks wobbled most of the day but managed to pull together and rally into the close, going out near the highs.

The Dollar was a choppy unchanged.

Gold and silver were under selling pressure, because they can.

VIX fell.    

Exceptional complacency and moral hazard are us.

The big tickle this week is likely to be earnings, and the inflation data on Thursday and Friday.

I will probably not be posting tomorrow as I am going to have eye surgery for a cataract in the morning.

As routine and beneficial this may be, I may not be feeling perky in the aftermath.

Why does it have to be so early?  

Have a pleasant evening.

 

04 August 2023

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Consequences - Metals Rally, Stocks Slump

 

"The worst thing is that we live in a contaminated moral environment.  We fell morally ill because we became used to saying something different from what we thought.  We learned not to believe in anything, to ignore one another, to care only about ourselves.  Concepts such as love, friendship, compassion, humility or forgiveness lost their depth and dimension, and for many of us they represented only psychological peculiarities, or they resembled gone-astray greetings from ancient times, a little ridiculous in the era of computers and spaceships."

Vaclav Havel, New Year's Address to the Nation, 1 January 1990

“The disposition to admire, and almost to worship, the rich and the powerful, and to despise, or, at least to neglect, persons of poor and mean condition is the great and most universal cause of the corruption of our moral sentiments.  To attain to this envied situation, the candidates for fortune too frequently abandon the paths of virtue; for unhappily, the road which leads to the one, and that which leads to the other, lie sometimes in very opposite directions.  But the ambitious man flatters himself that, in the splendid situation to which he advances, he will have so many means of commanding the respect and admiration of mankind, and will be enabled to act with such superior propriety and grace, that the lustre of his future conduct will entirely cover, or efface, the foulness of the steps by which he arrived at that elevation. 

In many governments the candidates for the highest stations are above the law; and, if they can attain the object of their ambition, they have no fear of being called to account for the means by which they acquired it.  They often endeavour, therefore, not only by fraud and falsehood, the ordinary and vulgar arts of intrigue and cabal; but sometimes by the perpetration of the most enormous crimes, by murder and assassination, by rebellion and civil war, to supplant and destroy those who oppose or stand in the way of their greatness.  They more frequently miscarry than succeed; and commonly gain nothing but the disgraceful punishment which is due to their crimes.”

Adam Smith, Theory of Moral Sentiments, 1759

"I wonder if this ignorance of history is a cause or an effect.  Does ignorance facilitate gullibility and exploitation, or does it not also make it more bearable for lack of comparison?  Perhaps it is something of both.  One can not otherwise explain America's fascination with and fatal attraction to second rate actors, narcissistic lotharios, idiot sons, wardheelers, and reality show divas.  Such is the state of an empire in decline.  A still vibrant nation can survive its Warren Hardings and Andrew Johnsons, and perhaps even an unfortunate run of them.   One can only wait and see what will happen next, watchful and prayerful and hopefully prepared."

Jesse, 7 January 2011

 

The Payrolls Report came in pretty much on forecast. 

Stocks failed in their initial rally attempt and went out losing ground.

VIX rose.

The Dollar fell.

Gold and silver rallied a bit.

Have a pleasant weekend.