02 March 2009

SP Monthly Chart and Short Term Indicators


Big Support has been broken and the SP is dropping hard to the nearest support.

Market is becoming short term oversold again.

Non-farm payrolls coming out on Friday could provide a catalyst for a panic leg down. We may get a short covering squeeze before then.

Watch resistance and support on the daily and hourly charts.



Bullish Percent



McClellan Oscillator



Volatility Indicator (VIX)



Net Asset Values and Premiums of Select Gold and Silver Funds and ETFs




The Financial Crisis Was Well Under Way in December 2007


Here is one clear indicator of when the Financial Crisis actually started with a vengance, although its roots go back to the Clinton Administration at least and the repeal, in stages, of Glass-Steagall.


Source: Institutional Research Analyst and the FDIC

The Next Bailout: Pension Funds Imploding


It is in times like these that Pension Fund Managers, and the Other People's Money crowd in general, are showing how they earned their pay, or didn't.

Aren't you glad the Bush Administration did not achieve its objective of putting the Social Security Trust Fund into the stock market?

Although its not clear how much difference that is going to make in the long run.

We are still in the calculated and deliberate 'general looting of the country' phase and the tide has not yet turned. The financiers are still in control.


Chicago Business News
Pension bombs going off

By: Paul Merrion
March 02, 2009

Exploding pension fund shortfalls are blowing billion-dollar holes in the balance sheets of some of the Chicago area's biggest companies, forcing them to make huge contributions to retirement plans at a time when cash flow and credit are already under stress.

Boeing Co.'s shareholder equity is now $1.2 billion in the hole thanks to an $8.4-billion gap between its pension assets and the projected cost of its obligations for 2008. At the end of 2007, Boeing had a $4.7-billion pension surplus. If its investments don't turn around, the Chicago-based aerospace giant will have to quadruple annual contributions to its plan to about $2 billion by 2011.

Stock market losses also pounded pension funds at Abbott Laboratories Inc., Caterpillar Inc. and Exelon Corp., with others sure to emerge as companies file their annual financial reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission in coming weeks.

The pension gaps underscore a growing conundrum. Unfunded pension liabilities have to be subtracted from shareholder equity, weakening balance sheets at a time when it's already tough to borrow money. Barring a reprieve from Congress, companies may be forced to make more layoffs or curb capital investments to divert cash to shore up pensions....

The Chicago companies are symptomatic of nationwide woes. Last year, the 100 largest corporate pension funds in the U.S. saw their net assets decline by 21%, while liabilities increased 1.2%. Applying those averages to any of the region's top funds puts almost all of them into the red by at least $1 billion....