The Growth Rate of Total Credit at all US Commercial Banks is dropping precipitously as can be seen from the chart below.
This is a negative indicator for most banks involved in the actual business of banking, even as the spreads between Fed money and money on loan widen.
Advantage goes to those banks who are gaming the markets, also known as trading profits, which is probably the opposite outcome which Tim and Ben would desire, if they were thinking about it.
Should banks be trading in the markets at all for their own accounts? We think not.
Glass-Steagall should be reintroduced as quickly as possible to get the banks back in the business of banking. It is a profound disappointment that the Obama Administration with the Democratic leadership have done little or nothing to reverse the speculative trends in the money center banks.
That they have been the recipients of huge campaign contributions from these same banks make the situation all the worse, for how can one stand on principle when the outcome is at odds with your stated objectives, and you are taking money from those who favor that outcome?
If you wish to get the banks lending again, stop giving them hot money and a free ticket to the speculative gaming tables where the rules, or a lack thereof, are in their favor.
08 April 2009
Bank Credit Growth Drops Precipitously
07 April 2009
SP Futures Hourly Chart at the Close
Alcoa kicks off earnings season after the bell.
Two formations are on the chart: one bearish and one bullish. The market will tell us which one will be dominant. We are in very light trading because of the short holiday week and trader uncertainty.
Keep an eye on the VIX which is at historically high levels on average, as a symptom of the huge fear and volatility in this market.
P.S. Yesterday when this chart was posted the Pivot label was on the chart but the line associated with it had been left off. It has now been added.
McClellan Oscillator Daily for the NYSE Cash Market
Money Supply Growth
For those of you who are not familiar with the various measures of money supply here is a relatively easy to understand reference.
Money Supply: A Primer
MZM is currently the preferred measure of broad money supply 'liquidity' growth with M2 as the longer term measure standing in place of M3 which was the best and broadest measurement.
