11 August 2009

J P Morgan Chase Caught Speculating with Customer Money


Why the surprise? This is what the Wall Street banks do, even under a 'reform' administration. They use their customer money and public funds, for which they pay a pittance, to wildly speculate in markets, distorting prices and taking enormous risks, in order to pay themselves outrageous bonuses. They buy politicial influence to enable regulatory capture and support their financial schemes. And when their bets go wrong, the public absorbs the losses. This is the model of US gangster banking in the 21st century.

The Obama Administration cannot energize their health care reform because the public demands reform in the financial sector, and quite frankly Obama has lost the 'high ground' of the reformer by his inability to free his administration from the growing taint of scandal.

So it remains for the rest of the world to begin to rein in the outrageous behaviour of the US financial institutions that treat the world's bourses as their private casinos.

For a party that spent eight years on the sidelines, the American Democrats have proven themselves to be particularly inept at doing anything to promote their agenda once presented with a solid majority by the voting public.

The banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, before there can be any sustainable recovery.

Daily Mail
Blair bank targeted in £8.5bn FSA probe

By Ben Laurance
10th August 2009

The bank where Tony Blair is an adviser is the target of an unprecedented probe involving billions of pounds of customers' funds, the Daily Mail can disclose.

JP Morgan Chase, whose chief executive Jamie Dimon last year recruited the former prime minister as an adviser, is being investigated by the City's watchdog, the Financial Services Authority for allegedly failing to keep track of £8.5billion of clients' money.

The FSA has called in a top firm of accountants to examine the bank's London activities after evidence emerged that JP Morgan had mixed customers' funds with its own.

Banks are meant to maintain a strict segregation of their own money from that which is held on behalf of clients.

But JP Morgan managers in London discovered last month that client and bank money used for trading futures and options - a way of speculating on movements in currencies, share prices and commodities - had apparently been put into a single pool.

They raised the alarm and notified the FSA. The scale of case is unprecedented, say City insiders. The FSA has penalised small firms in the past for mixing funds owned by clients and the banks themselves.

But this is thought to be the first case involving such a large household name.
JP Morgan Chase faces the threat of an unlimited fine if the watchdog decides enforcement action is necessary.

News of the FSA investigation will come as a huge embarrassment for the bank, which is valued on Wall Street at £100billion.

It is thought that the JP Morgan Chase problem dates back to late 2002. This followed the takeover of JP Morgan by Chase Manhattan two years earlier.

Assets were not segregated to protect clients as FSA rules demand, insiders believe.

When the issue first came to light last month and the FSA was told, the authority called in specialists from leading accountancy firm KPMG to investigate.

The cost of the probe - known as a section 166 review - will be met by the bank.

Sources say that KPMG's team of investigators has been working at JP Morgan Chase's offices on London Wall in the City, combing through records and e-mails and interviewing staff.

Bank employees who were involved in handling client funds in 2002 as well as those still responsible have been questioned. The KPMG team has been asked to find out what checks, if any, were made to ensure that clients' money has been kept safe and segregated.

The accountants have also been asked to calculate if clients lost out because they were not paid any interest they might have been due.

Senior figures at the bank could be reprimanded or even barred from working in the City if the FSA concludes that they were slack in setting up systems for separating customers' funds.

The accountants have been asked to deliver their preliminary findings to the FSA by the end of this month. A final report is due by the end of September. These reports will not be made public - unless the FSA subsequently decides that the bank should be punished.

JP Morgan Chase has been regarded as one of the more robust of the banks to emerge from last year's meltdown in the global financial system. Among the six largest U.S. banks, it is the only one to have stayed consistently in the black since the recession began in 2007.

But it still took £15billion last year under the U.S. government's programme to prop up the financial system. The money has since been repaid.

Last month, the bank reported quarterly earnings of £1.64billion, which was a major factor in spurring the recovery in its shares and in Wall Street prices as a whole.

A report last week showed that last year, the firm paid bonuses of £600,000 ($1m) or more to 1,626 employees. Of those, more than 200 received at least £1.8m. The top four earners received a total of nearly £45million between them.

JP Morgan Chase said: 'We have no comment.'

The FSA said: 'We wouldn't comment on whether we are doing an investigation.'

KPMG also declined to comment.


10 August 2009

Gordon Brown's Bottom and the Sale of England's Gold

Unrelated (perhaps not) to the English gold sale is this revelation about the gold reserves of Germany at around 7:25 in the tape .

This is of particular interest because Bundesbank has repeatedly denied the rumoured gold swaps with the the US Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) for 1,700 tons of gold, being held at West Point, NY with the designation "custodial gold."

Has the Bundesbank, like the Bank of England, sold (or lent if you will) half of its national gold reserves?

The other side of this rumour is that Bundesbank desperately wishes a 400 ton IMF gold sale to help it recover at least some portion of the 1,700 tonnes of gold which it has lent out to the bullion banks, who subsequently sold it into the market.

Why does it matter? It matters because of the lack of transparency of various Central Banks with regard to the size and timing of their gold sales, and their impact on the markets.

Its never really the initial act that is performed; it is the subsequent cover up and dissembling that brings down careers and governments.




"The most fascinating thing that I learned is that all the gold 'in Germany' is in New York."

07 August 2009

Will the US Dollar Falter on an "Iron Cross"?



And in a related question, how absurd is it that AIG posted a 'profit?'



06 August 2009

US Consumer Demand Off a Cliff as the Crisis Deepens


As we said, we would be taking a closer look behind the headline GDP numbers recently released. The advantage of procrastination is that eventually a capable person will chart up the data which you have been studying. So thank you to ContraryInvestor for his excellent charts. His site is among the best, and we read it regularly.

The big story is the collapse of the US consumer, unprecedented since WW II, and possibly the Great Depression. This is apparent in the numbers despite the epic restatement of GDP having just been done by the BLS in their benchmark revisions.

If the Fed and Treasury were not actively monetizing everything in sight, we would certainly be seeing a more pronounced deflation as prices fall WITH demand. And if they continue, we may very well feel a touch of the lash of that hyperinflation that John Williams is predicting. We still think a stiff stagflation is more likely, but are allowing that the Fed and Treasury may indeed be 'just that dumb enough' to trigger something less probable.

Until the consumer returns to some semblance of health, there will be no sustained recovery. It really is that simple.



The Fed will have to stop artificially draining credit supply by paying such a high rate of interest on reserves. They know this. It will stimulate lending, even to less worthy borrowers. But this is not a cure. It is one of the paths to more inflation, fresh asset bubbles, and the devaluation of the dollar. And 'stimulus' handouts are no better. Healthcare reform is a step in the right direction. The US consumer pays far too much for the same (or less) level of care in most of the developed nations. But that is not enough.



The cure will be to increase the median wage, and to stop the transfer of the national income to fewer and fewer hands. For that is how the system is set up today. It is not the result of 'free markets' but a sustained transfer of wealth through regulatory and tax policies, and a pernicious corruption of the nation most significantly starting in 1980, although a case has been made for 1913.

It is an ironic echo that our inexperienced, badly advised President seeks to place more and broader powers into the hands of the Federal Reserve and its owners, the banks, in the spirit of Woodrow Wilson.

Obama needs to bring in fresh thinking. Volcker and Stiglitz would be a step in the right direction, but it is ironic that they are much older than the Bobsey twins, Geithner and Summers. Bobsey being, of course, Bob Rubin. They should be sacked.

The problem as we see it is that Obama is hopelessly over his head, and failing badly. His stump speeches to admiring crowds, as the most recent in Elkhart, Indiana, ring increasingly hollow. Granted his situation is difficult to say the least. He reminds us increasingly of Jack Kennedy in his first year in office, and his manipulation by 'handpicked advisors.' Remember the Bay of Pigs? He did manage to find his own voice, and was beginning to make his own way. There is still some hope that Obama can find his, but the trend is not hopeful.

Look for several third party candidates to rise in the next election, as both the Democrats and the Republicans fail to deliver an honest performance for the country. The problem is that at least one of them will be a toxic choice, probably the one that is most narrowly financed.

It does not look hopeful at this moment in history. But tomorrow is another day.