19 January 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts



"Gold pays no interest because it is ultimately safe. Gold is the only currency that has lasted through the centuries, going back 6,000 years. Currencies have to pay interest so that they will be attractive enough for people to hold them. As a rule, the poorer and riskier the nation, the more its currency must pay in interest in order to attract investors. Normally, the dollar would be paying an attractive rate of interest, except for the manipulations of the Fed. Thus short rates in the US are around zero, courtesy of the Fed."

Richard Russell


"An almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue which unites statists of all persuasions...In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided, for example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper or any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as payment for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power and government-created bank credit would be worthless as a claim on goods. The financial policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves."

Alan Greenspan

Note: Extended levels of support and added an important trendline after the close early this morning.



SP 500 and NDX March Futures


Possible intermediate top forming here. Do not expect it to be simple or straightforward. Keep an eye on Bernie Bernanke.



SP March Futures At 10 Day Moving Average Support



My portfolio extends a big 'thank you' to the wiseguys for dumping this ramp up in stocks on about the same day as last year, selling APPL on the news for example. lol.

Note however that the 10 Day Moving Average appears to be holding, and having a bit of a bounce up after the close. Another move up for a wash and rinse?

I still find it hard to believe that there will be the 'big dump' of about 100 SP points given Benny's pledge of easy money POMO's but stranger things have happened.

Stay tuned.



18 January 2011

Volatility Then and Now



As you may recall, there was a steady ramp higher in stocks at the end of 2009 until about January 19, 2010. There was also a corresponding drop in the VIX volatility index to rather low levels.

There was a precipitous sell off in stocks in the latter part of that January as the market corrected from an artificial and highly overbought condition.

Beware of artificial complacency for it always masks a fraud.

This year the Fed will be adding over 100 Billion over the next several weeks. So we may have a bit of a timing issue. But these sorts of things rarely end positively except for the insiders on Wall Street.

Some things to watch are the 10 day moving average, which is now around 1278 on the SP futures, and the bottom of the short term trend channel which is around 1270.

Wall Street banks are run primarily for the benefit of their own insiders, first and foremost, pure and simple. And a generous helping slops over to the their employees and constituency in media, universities, and politics, but little is left over for productive public efforts. And the distortions that such short term financial gimmickry and wealth transferrals promote is an impediment to a sustainable recovery.

VIX - Nov 1, 2010 to January 18, 2011
 

VIX - Nov 1, 2009 to January 18, 2010


VIX - Nov 1, 2009 to Feb 1, 2010 
  
SP 500 From November 2009 to February 8, 2010