28 February 2011

American Monster: Excerpts from The Madoff Tapes



“It’s unbelievable. Goldman … no one has any criminal convictions—the whole new regulatory reform is a joke. The whole government is a Ponzi scheme.”

Here are some brief excerpts from a story in New York Magazine called The Madoff Tapes. The story runs to nine pages, so consider this just a taste and read the whole thing when you have the time. I thought Steve Fishman did a terrific job of letting Bernie talk and of presenting his thoughts in a orderly manner without a lot of interpretation and editorial intrusion. He has real talent as an interviewer, and seems a natural reporter.

But while you read this bear in mind that you are seeing reality interpreted through the eyes of Madoff, a master manipulator and pathological liar, an individual perhaps in deep denial, but the question is, to whom.

His psychiatrist in prison tells him he is not a sociopath because he has remorse. I think his major remorse is that he was caught. The article implies that he is a narcissist. I think he is all of the above, and much, much, more.  

Always full of self-pity and the quick deflections of a classic con man, he seems to blame his corruption on the failure of his father's business, and a personal vow never to let it happen to him, a resolve that became an obsessive compulsion.   Besides, everyone was doing it.  He just did more of it, more quickly and with an automated efficiency that turned into raw fraud when the easy gains evaporated.   It is a microcosm of the US financial sector today.

Sometime in the future someone is going to do a thorough analysis on what was common in the background of these fellows who were drawn to Wall Street in the 1980's and beyond, and what made them the way they are. But we can discover what set them free to do their worst, and that was the undermining of regulation, of the government, and the 'regulation is bad and greed is good' meme that has brought an entire society to its collective knees in a number of countries. Once the monied interests have traction with the government the corruption gets rolling and the feeding frenzy begins.
“Our government teaches the whole people by its example. If the government becomes the lawbreaker, it breeds contempt for law; it invites every man to become a law unto himself; it invites anarchy.” Judge Louis D. Brandeis
At times Bernie Madoff sounds like a less articulate version of a former Fed Chairman, that is, less able to rationalize his way, with a prideful sneer, out of nearly anything and everything, with a practiced verbal acuity and evasiveness.

I think he is emblematic of an empire in decline, a decline that found a voice and became respectable with Thatcherism and Reagonomics, and into full flower with the repeal of Glass-Steagall and the undermining of the regulators, in a campaign led by a few New York bankers using plenty of lobbying money and sophisticated public relations campaigns, with the resulting institutionalization of fraud and mass plunder by the financial interests that continues today.  No one wants to be the one eyed man in a land of those blinded by greed, especially when the greedy are holding most of the carrots and the sticks.  So even the seeing pretend to be conveniently blind.  Go along to get along.

The only difference between Madoff and many of the others like him on the Street is that Bernie ran out of rope, and was caught. The others seem to be hanging on and are trying to bluff their ways out of similar predicaments by keeping the game going, at any cost to the country, unto the destruction of the dollar and bond, the misery of families, and the pure corruption of all that has made America great.   It is almost never the money; it's the will to power, and pride.

The rationale will be like the one offered by Madoff: a cheap apology, a spreading of blame to everyone and therefore to no one, the enablers and beneficiaries knew something was wrong, and they took the deals anyway.   There will be other lower level financial men offered up to the the law as a diversion for the crowd, and if is gets worse some of the oldest scapegoat cards in history may yet be played, an unforgivable act.  And it will be a shame, because the men behind the scenes will live on to roll out their frauds once again on a new generation of the unsuspecting.


New York Magazine
The Madoff Tapes
By Steve Fishman

“How could I have done this?” he asks. “I was making a lot of money. I didn’t need the money. [Am I] a flawed character?”

“Everybody on the outside kept claiming I was a sociopath,” Madoff told her [his prison therapist] one day. “I asked her, ‘Am I a sociopath?’ ” He waited expectantly, his eyelids squeezing open and shut, that famous tic. “She said, ‘You’re absolutely not a sociopath. You have morals. You have remorse.’ ” Madoff paused as he related this. His voice settled. He said to me, “I am a good person.”

As he [Andrew Madoff] tells friends, his rage at his father, far from dissipating, has metastasized. To friends, he’d described his father as a bully and a gifted manipulator. Madoff was a family man, yes, but to Andrew,  that was yet another manifestation of his narcissism. The family served the needs of Bernard L. Madoff.

I had more than enough money to support my lifestyle and my family’s lifestyle. I allowed myself to be talked into something, and that’s my fault. I thought I could extricate myself after a short period of time. But I just couldn’t.

From the beginning, Madoff, who’d moved to Queens at age 7, had a chip on his shoulder, along with a certain contempt for the industry [securities] he’d chosen. “It was always a business where you had to have an edge, and the little guy never got a break. The institutions controlled everything,” he said in a voice surprisingly thick with emotion. “I realized from a very early stage that the market is a whole rigged job. There’s no chance that investors have in this market.”

By 2000, as spreads and profits were squeezed in the market-making business, Madoff had a chance to sell for $1 billion or more. But he refused. “As far as my sons and brother and my wife were concerned, they thought I was nuts for not selling out,” he told me. His family was “livid,” and he didn’t dare explain it to them. “I couldn’t at that time, because it would have uncovered this other problem [the fraudulent nature of his business] I had.” (Nice illustration of the credibility trap that now hampers the entire US economy from the top down - Jesse)

The boys had their separate spheres, but Bernie didn’t hesitate to get involved. “He didn’t have a filter,” as one observer put it. He’d say things to his sons that other employees thought shocking, even abusive. His version of an explanation was, “Because I said so.” More than once, the boys thought, 'He’s a bully.'

Later, they wondered what fraction of that love was sincere.  They’d always known their father was a master manipulator, one quality that had helped him succeed on Wall Street.

Madoff says that he waved red flags, issued caveats that should have been obvious to even an unsophisticated investor. “They were all told by me, ‘Don’t invest any more money than you could afford to lose. This is the stock market. There’s always stuff that can happen. Brokerage firms can fail. I could go crazy and do something stupid. If you want a [safe thing], put your money in government bonds. So everybody understood this. “Everyone was greedy,” he continues. “I just went along. It’s not an excuse.” In his mind, the hedge funds and the banks were little more than marketers, skimming their 1 to 2 percent off the top, a fee for their supposed “due diligence,” though they exercised little oversight. “Look, there was complicity, in my view,” Madoff told me.

Through the nineties, Madoff dreamed of climbing out of the hole he’d dug. “I kept telling myself that some miracle was going to happen or that I was going to be able to work my way out of it. I just didn’t know when that was.” By around 2002, he realized this was a fantasy. “By then, the number was so astronomical I didn’t know what I was hoping for, quite frankly.” So he continued. The scheme demanded endless funds. Money flowed out almost as quickly as it came in, at points.  (A certain global reserve currency comes to mind - Jesse) 

And then the family that had for so long been a source of pleasure and support was gone. The boys had cut off their mother—a situation for which Madoff blames the lawyers but which was also the boys’ preference.

He sees himself at this stage as a kind of truth-teller. He has disdain not only for the industry but for the regulators. “The SEC,” he says, “looks terrible in this thing.” And he doesn’t see himself as the only guilty party on Wall Street. “It’s unbelievable, Goldman … no one has any criminal convictions. The whole new regulatory reform is a joke. The whole government is a Ponzi scheme.”   (Name some names Bernie if you have true remorse, and wish to be remembered as anything except a fraud and cheap con man - Jesse)

A Microcosm of the Market Manipulation in the US and the Repeated Failure of Ideology


I am seeing this same sort of 'gaming the markets' across many markets and stocks that the author notes below, especially in those markets amenable to leverage and electronic manipulation such as indices driven by futures, options markets, and ETFs which more closely resemble carney games than investment vehicles.

There has always been some element of this, but it is starting to become predominant and is driving out the honest trade and investment which cannot compete, in the same manner that the mortgage frauds corrupted and distorted a major sector of the economy and drove out conventional investment, regulation, checks and balances, regulatory oversight, and finally common sense.

It is getting to be a bit much, and is going to end badly. It will end badly because, like the shadow economy which has been crafted by the same makers, it is hollow, a facade, set up for the benefit of a few who transfer wealth to themselves from the many. As someone wrote to me today:
"There aren’t really many good options for people who just want to save some money for retirement and live their lives in the meantime. Not even social security or pensions for 30-year veteran teachers are safe from pirate raids and partisan deconstruction. Everything else available to the ordinary retail and retirement saver has become a Wall Street killing floor."
This is no accident. This is no error in judgement. This is not philosophy. It is a calculated white collar crime, that has co-opted many elements of society. It hides behind slogans like 'small government' and 'libertarianism' and 'free markets' but its real intent is to subvert the law and corrupt the processes of the economy and society. It is a type of financial coup d'etat.

The problem is not that there is too much government, but rather, the government which you have is tainted with corruption and needs a thorough cleaning and reform. Knock down all the fences if you will in the name of an unsustainable ideal, and give the ravening wolves free range for their plunder. And then be surprised.

Anyone who believes that not enforcing the rules, or even simply eliminating them, will result in the natural and efficient flow of productive activity has never driven on a modern freeway. This notion is just another version of a belief in the noble savage, the view that people are naturally good and rational, but are corrupted by rules and society. And those people who espouse this think that they are cavorting in some magical world with Peter Pan, instead of with some of the oldest and basest forms of evil against which good people have continually come together throughout history for their mutual protection.

And when the next financial crisis comes along, perhaps the people will not be so complacent and gullible, and see the real culprits behind the ideological scapegoats and fog of talk show hosts. But I'm not betting on it.

From FMX Metals Connect

Editorial comment: It’s becoming increasingly annoying watching dealers buy calls and sell puts the day before we rally $20, and then the next day buy put and sell calls before we drop $20.

Yesterday’s sell off from the 1415 area seemed almost orchestrated. At the very least, the futures selling came in during the thinnest trading hours.

While exchanges herald the benefits of electronic trading there is one thing wrong with it. Electronic trading minimizes the information leakage associated with using brokers, for sure, but it is also allows oligarchic organizations to anonymously manage price movement while hiding behind digital displays.

We won’t use the word manipulate, in part because of our libertarian bent, but it’s getting ridiculous. Where there used to be 50 5-lot thieves on the floor now there are five Too-Big-To-Fail banks with infinite fed-sponsored balance sheets doing whatever they please. The idiot locals on the floor, fragmented as they were, served to keep the big banks in check because there was transparency of price and to a large extent, the players were known.

This doesn’t exist anymore and we don’t see an end to it. Instead of thinning the forest for the trees, technology, regulatory and economic factors have killed the saplings and destroyed market diversity. This translates to a narrow and deep liquidity pool in trading venues; god forbid if one of them fails.
Never fear. The Big Banks will remain on the Fed's dole, and will be receiving nearly continuous bailouts until the currency and the bonds are exhausted, if things go according to plan. And then the reivers will move on.

25 February 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Bear Raid Confirmed and the Silence of the Lambs



A Simple Economic Solution to Hunger, Poverty, and the Problem of the Poor
An old woman came down this way,
She had no bread left to eat they say,
The bread was gobbled by the corporate men,
And she fell in the gutter in the cold and rain,
And was never hungry again.

At that the birds in the forest fell silent,
On every treetop is rest,
In every hilltop can be heard
Barely a breath.


The medical examiners came down this way,
'She is not just putting on,' they say,
The starved old woman was buried six feet deep,
And was never heard from again.
And the examiners smiled for the corporate men.

And the birds in the forest fell silent too,
On every treetop is rest
In every hilltop can be heard
Barely a breath...


Bertolt Brecht, Liturgie vom Hauch, 1927

The CFTC is accepting comments on the silver positions and market structure at the Comex. You may read about it and perhaps comment to the CFTC here.

From the quick bounce back it does appear that the big flash crash in silver in late day thin trading was a bear raid after all. We will know more when the Comex releases final numbers.

I had taken the opportunity on Thursday to buy the dip in silver at its gut wrenching bottom rather heavily, and with positions of leveraged instruments a little less ordinary. Most of those were sold today for a profit, and one must look forward to next week to see which way the markets wish to go. Monday is 'first delivery day' for the current contract and the ugly negotiation for cash settlements will begin in earnest.

The raid yesterday may have been a negotiation tactic. It certainly was a cheap and tawdry affair, obvious to all but the most willfully blind, and those in silent complicity. With the volume drying up in the markets making one's quota on the trade desks must be getting increasingly difficult.

It reminded me of playing a game with the little girl, who cheats in the most clumsy and obvious ways, thinking herself very clever. And if she loses, she complains and pouts incessantly until you cover her losses. Rather like the American crony capitalists, I think.



This goes out to the Boys on the Prop Trading Desks. Nice try this week, but kind of pitchy. And you definitely got no soul.



And as always, for Blythe. Thanks for breakfast, sugar bun.



A Special Request, Going Out To Max Keiser's Silver Liberation Army (SLA).
Stand and Deliver Next Week, Comex Bitchez...



SP 500 and NDX March Futures Daily Charts - US$ In Trouble



John Williams of Shadowstats provides some interesting insight on the Dollar even as the US equity markets continue their levitation.
U.S. Dollar Losing Its Safe-Haven Status? With political upheaval surfacing in the Mid-East and North Africa, global capital increasingly has been moving into traditional safe-haven investments such as precious metals, or into safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc. What is of particular significance here is that flight capital has been seeking shelter outside of the U.S. dollar, which for decades had been the favored safe-haven currency. Against the U.S. dollar, the Swiss franc – another traditional safe-haven currency – hit a record high in the last day or so. Other than for the British pound, the U.S. currency has been losing exchange-rate value against the other major currencies (Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Japanese yen and even the euro) during this period of mounting political instabilities. Gold has neared its all-time high, while silver recently has set a multi-decade high.

Oil prices have spiked in response to the various crises, adding further upside pressure to U.S. consumer inflation from oil supply fears and ongoing dollar weakness. As with the dollar-debasement efforts of the Fed, these inflation pressures reflect factors other than strong economic demand.

At the same time, the fragility of the faux U.S. economic recovery is becoming more obvious to the markets, with economic data increasingly surprising consensus forecasts on the downside, as seen in this week’s home sales and GDP revision reporting. In the months ahead, an intensifying “renewed” decline in broad economic activity should gain increasing market recognition.

Irrespective of whether the political turmoil spreads or dies down, irrespective of Saudi efforts to help contain panicked oil price rises, irrespective of short-lived fluctuations in exchange rates and precious metals prices, the U.S. now stands at a point where it is particularly vulnerable to an evolving global loss of confidence in the U.S. dollar. Heavy selling of the U.S. currency and panicked dumping of dollar-denominated paper assets, which could trigger U.S. financial market upheaval and the early stages of a hyperinflation, is possible at any time with little or no warning. It could be triggered by an unhappy economic or political surprise, or otherwise. Where risks remain high of U.S. financial turmoil unfolding in the months ahead, the onset of a hyperinflation still has an outside timing estimate of 2014.



Do You Need To Buy a Vowel? M_NETIZATION


Global Economic Recovery Plan 'B' - Seek Safe Havens For the Elites, Ignite the Derivatives, and Then Wait a Couple of Decades...