24 August 2012

Matt Taibbi and Eliot Spitzer Discuss Eric Holder's (and Obama's) Failure: Credibility Trap


The failure of Obama's Justice Department to engage in any systemic investigations and indictments of a thoroughly rotten and corrupt financial system that has laid waste to the real economy is an almost perfect example of the credibility trap.
A credibility trap is when the regulatory, political and/or informational functions of a society have been compromised by a corrupting influence and a fraud, so that they cannot address the situation without implicating, at least incidentally, a broad swath of the power structure. The status quo has at least tolerated the corruption and the fraud, if not profited directly from it, and most likely continues to do so.  The power brokers have become susceptible to various forms of blackmail.  And so a failed policy can become almost self-sustaining long after it is seen to have failed, and even become counterproductive, because admitting failure is not an option for those in power.
Another example is the blatant fraud, and principles not of productivity but of prey, that prevail on the financial asset exchanges and the monetary system, the stealing of customer funds, and the manipulation of commodity markets such as silver. And it expresses itself in the frivolous coarseness of spectacle, and careless brutality of decline.
"Happy Hunger Games. And may the odds be ever in your favor."
Normally a two party system or a balance of powers would correct such a situation, but if the fraud is pervasive and enduring enough, those remedies can lose their effectiveness since the fraud binds even seemingly diverse elements in its grasp. And therein lies the trap.

There is a general loss of honor, a disparagement of moral principles, the common welfare, and a sense of 'service.' People in power are creatures of the system, 'getting their ticket punched' in Washington, as resume builder on their way to an even more lucrative position back in the corrupt system where they can leverage their connections and knowledge of the system to further undermine the rule of law. Their guiding principles are self-referential greed and power.

After one of the most outrageous periods of widespread fraud in a major developed country, prosecutions for fraud are at twenty year lows.  Who expected this outcome from an election in which the theme was change and reform?

Here is a recent article, Why Can't Obama Bring Wall St to Justice, asking the broader question inferred by this video interview. Why?  And the answer is not to be found in making excuses and allowing him to hide behind the incompetency or disengagement defense so popular in American management circles.

And if you think that voting for the other guy in this case, the emotinally engaging but fatally flawed red v. blue paradigm, is going to provide a cure you are sadly mistaken. The other guy in this case is the poster child for most of the problems that face a nation under siege by a financial elite engaged in an economic, ideological, and political coup d'etat.

As Glenn Greenwald recently put it:
"You can often, and I would say more often than not, in leading opinion-making elite circles, find an expressed renouncement or repudiation of that principle [of the rule of law]...All of these acts entail very aggressive and explicit arguments that the most powerful political and financial elites in our society should not be, and are not, subject to the rule of law because it is too disruptive, it is too divisive, it is more important that we should look forward, that we find ways to avoid repeating the problem...the rule of law is not that important of a value any longer...

The law is no respecter of persons, but the law is also a respecter of reality, meaning if it is too disruptive or divisive that it is actually in our common good, not the elite criminals, but in our common good, to exempt the most powerful from the consequences of their criminal acts, and that has become the template used in each of these instances."
And thanks to the apathy of the people and the gullibility of the badly used, self-proclaimed 'patriots' they are winning.
“The disposition to admire, and almost to worship, the rich and the powerful, and to despise, or, at least to neglect, persons of poor and mean condition is the great and most universal cause of the corruption of our moral sentiments.”

Adam Smith
Such unsustainable social arrangements are backed by force and fraud. And as the fraud loses its power over time, force must increase, until there is an end in genuine reform, or a terrible self-destruction.




23 August 2012

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Hard into Resistance



So far it has been a real lift for the metals, as they have both broken out of their short term capping and coiling patterns.

Now they have both reached intermediate, rather than short term, overhead resistance from trend lines.

I would not be surprised to see a little consolidation here and a few weak hands taking profits.

Bill Murphy Interview: JPM Is In Trouble (audio)




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Profit-Taking Down to Support



The SP futures closed at 1400 and the NDX futures at 1360.

We *might* have some more downside here even if this is a correction in this summer rally. 1385 or so might be a decent target.

Europe weighs on the market, but volumes remain light.

Earnings and Revenues are not coming in well, so it may be on the central banks to provide some joy juice to the markets. It is likely not to help the real economy however since the monetary transmission systems are on 'shift upward without producing anything of value.'



Net Asset Value Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - And Again at 2 PM


Gold is still carrying a higher premium in the funds and trust than silver.

Notice how sharply gold and silver have moved after those weeks of tedious capping. And there is not a lot of doubt in my mind that it was conscious and purposeful.

I hope you were able to take advantage of this 'tell' as well as the absurd pinning action which we saw in the equity markets since the beginning of August, especially in the SP 500.

Sprott PSLV is continuing to add to silver inventory and drawing down the cash raised in their last unit offering.

There are still a number of ways to interpret this. I suspect that there is news-in-the-making being digested behind the scenes. War, QE, some major Euro development, take your pick.

Note:  I have included a second set of data from later today.