10 October 2013

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Cap and Slap in the After Hours Trade


"For I behold the heavens, the works of your fingers: the moon and the stars which you have made.
What is man that you are mindful of him? or the Son of Man that you dwell with him?
You have made us a little less than the angels, and you have crowned Him with glory and honour,
And have set Him over all the works of your hands."

Late breaking news says that President Obama has refused the offer of a six week extension of the debt ceiling.

The precious metals, especially gold, were under pressure and being capped all day, with silver holding its own a little better.

Once the day session ended and we went into electronic after hours trading the algos came out and starting hitting gold and silver fairly steady, along with the related products like the Funds, ETFs and miners. If you were looking on Level 2 tradebook you saw a steady stream of sell 100, sell 100, sell 100 transactions nibbling away at the bid positions.

It may just be a coincidence, but once the stats are known for the daily Comex warehouse transactions it seems as though the action picks up a bit.

Yesterday we saw little movement on the warehouses. Typically we do not see a lot of deliveries in the first half of an active month, except perhaps in the first few days.

As you know the central bankers and finance ministers of the G20 are meeting in Washington DC today and tomorrow.  There was an old story about China calling for a new world reserve currency that went around but I am pretty sure it was an old story that reappeared on a web site without a date. 

China has been making high level public calls like this since at least 2009.  The progress of great events seems painfully slow to those involved in them.  In the history books it would be compressed to a few pages or paragraphs.

One thing that hardship and experience teach is patience, and an appreciation of the little things in life, if we are but open to learning those lessons.  I was very happy today that my wife was feeling well enough to go out for a simple Japanese lunch and a little light shopping.  She is in the middle of her chemo treatment cycle again, although I have to say that the last scan was clear, so that in itself makes everything one endures much better. This kind of treatment is all about waiting, and hoping.  Although there is no cure, they consider these things to be 'chronic illnesses' that can be treated for quite some time.   They have made progress but there is still so much to be learned, so much that they cannot do and do not know yet.   But there is much room for hope.

It is funny to see her getting out the wig again, so that the little old housebound ladies she visits and helps each week will not know that she is sick, although they don't seem to notice the portable pump she wears for a few days during the week as a fanny pack. They live from day to day, and almost any change seems to frighten them. I help deliver the groceries, and fix the little things around their homes, and look in on them when the weather is bad. I get a kick out of their adherence to 'name brands' when we buy them food and medicine and personal things.

Even if something is exactly the same thing and less expensive it seems as though any change is too much for them to bear. These are people in their late 90's who are well enough and stubborn enough to wish to live at home, but who are 'fragile' and whose families are at a distance from them.  They cling to their homes. It is a common enough thing from what I have seen.

It seems as though I have spent quite a bit of time in hospitals these past three years. One gets to know the staff, and the hours that the cafeteria is open, and the best place to sit and have a cup of coffee while using your laptop with access to a power outlet.   There are the familiar faces, and the opportunities to comfort people whose family member is in for surgery.

And everywhere there is a depth of humanness and kindness, a forebearance for one another and a common sympathy that is all too rare in the hustle and bustle of life. There are the angels who help the disabled to make their visits for some meager payment, many of them from the Caribbean. It is interesting to speak with them and to hear their stories, and to learn about their families back home.  And to thank them for what they are doing for 'the least of these.'

In its sadness even such trials impart their beauty, and show the resilience of faith and creation. 

Have a pleasant evening.






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Rally Time For the Doomed


Stocks popped hard from a relative extreme of VIX riskiness, as a new offer from the House Republicans gave the markets hope that the debt ceiling on October 17 may be deferred for six weeks.

Let's see how this works out. All the other problems and fundamentals remain, but it is perilous to trade thin volume markets that are running on event driven news.

One day its all gloom and doom, and the next day its all coming up roses and blue skies again.

The pros like volatility and the brokerage houses like transactions and leverage.   Its a fraud thing.

P.S. I hear that President Obama has turned down the offer of a six week extension on the debt ceiling.

Have a pleasant evening.






NAV Premiums Of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


Tough hit on the PM's today, especially in the thinner after hours trade.


09 October 2013

Matières à Réflexion For Tuesday 9 October


Google has repaired the problem with the sidebar, so its back to the usual format.

"He who makes a beast of himself gets rid of the pain of being a man."

Samuel Johnson


“Truly, this earth is a trophy cup for the industrious man. And this rightly so, in the service of natural selection. He who does not possess the force to secure his Lebensraum in this world, and, if necessary, to enlarge it, does not deserve to possess the necessities of life. He must step aside and allow stronger peoples to pass him by.”

Adolf Hitler

For Wednesday, 9 October

Fiscal Talks Set; Republican Approval Rating Falls To Lowest In History

Twitter's Shady Accounting (Anything else would have made them the oddball in the crowd.)

The Default Deniers (In fairness there is a lot of goofiness being tossed around by people with no sense of what 'full faith and credit' means, especially to those not under their control.)

Single Payer Prescription For What Ails Obamacare - Amy Goodman (I think Obama et al understand this. I think the chances of getting it into law and accepted was about zero. Notice the grief the country is getting for a compromise that was previously generated by a conservative think tank Heritage House.)

Chicago Trader Mosley Enters Plea Deal For Ten Years In Prison

Grayson Says Fed Should Simply Monetize US Debt By Cancelling It (Gee, now why didn't anyone else ever think of such a clever solution, John Law edition)

Imports from US and Switzerland to Hong Kong 300 tonnes In August

India Gold Refineries Shutting Bulk Operations Due to Lack of Supply

Hank Greenberg: Notes from the Fully Entitled Pigosphere

Who Might Benefit From a US Credit Default? - Tavakoli

Stevie Cohen Weighs Plea Deal in Insider Trading Case

Goldman Buys Gold After Panicking Speculators - TFerguson

Ecuador May Take Assange Case to World Court

Experiment Puts Auditing Model Under Scrutiny - MIT (What a surprise. And how about those Ratings Agencies.)

Why the War On Poor People? (Why do self-entitled sociopaths and narcissists pick on the weak?)

Hedge Funds Dumping Mispriced Credit Risks and Dodgy Debt on Small Investors

Republican Crazy Talk About the Debt Ceiling - Reich (I include this not because I think it likely or even agree, but it does point out that this *could* end in a Constitutional crisis that few anticipate. But few anticipated WW I or the mass murder of 'unworthy lives' even as it unfolded. Part of the problem is that in times of stress, people retreat into the self-defining worlds of Fox News and MSNBC in order to stop the pain of thinking.)

Cameron Backs MI5 Chief That Snowden Aids Terrorists (Be afraid, be very afraid)

Greenwald: Canada's Spying 'Aggressive and Insidious'