03 November 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Markets Flight to Safety From Election Overhang


Gold was up while silver and the US dollar were lower.

Looks like a pretty clear 'flight to safety' globally, sparked no doubt by the shadow being cast by the US elections next week.

The delivery reports and warehouses were largely quiet, with the exception of Hong Kong CME warehouses which showed a continuing drain of gold inventory.

Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow may move markets, but I suspect that the US elections will be casting a bigger footprint.

Congrats to the Chicago Cubs fans for the World Series win. Viewership for the seventh game was amazingly high, and the game held plenty of 'tension' in a back and forth struggle from two seemingly exhausted teams.

And a shout out to Cleveland for making it to the series in such a convincing manner. I think both teams will bear watching next year, within the wider range of uncertainty from trades and injuries.

Next week's election may be equally compelling, but somehow I suspect that the election will be captured again by the status quo, perhaps with a twist or two.

Paul Krugman was a special guest on Bloomberg TV today. He is a nice study in the credibility trap.  I must admit he is getting better at speaking politically, and weaving his observations and talking points together on the domestic political front.

At the end of the day, however, he is still off on domestic policy, perhaps not as a badly as some of his counterparts who are plainly ideologically captive, but rather captive to his 'reputation' and desire for political positions which is the primary currency and asset in the areas where economic becomes a pseudo-science overreaching itself in public policy prescriptions.

Have a pleasant evening.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily - Holy Volatility!


The upcoming election seems to be setting a chill on the financial class.

Today was the eighth consecutive down day for US stocks, the most since 2008.

The declines, however, have been relatively modest, with the indices showing what appears to be a normal correction of less than 10%.

Volatility as measured by the VIX, which might be better called 'uncertainty,' continued rising as can be seen from the chart below.

Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow may move the markets, but I suspect that the bigger overhang is the upcoming US elections next week Tuesday.

Have a pleasant evening.


02 November 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Much Ado About Nothing


There was a posting on the NAV of some of the precious metal trusts and funds intraday here.

And there was also a short piece on the competing crime families that are our two established political parties here.

Gold and silver had a nice spike higher earlier in the day on a lower dollar as you can see in the charts below.

The metals gave back some of their gains into the close.

The FOMC did not seem to affect them much despite its dovish waffling and wistful desire to raise rates at least once before the end of the year in December.

The clearing (delivery) reports were brisk for gold and meh for silver.   And the reverse for the warehouse reports as silver keeps moving metals in and out, and the gold bullion sits there and looks pretty while the punters swap a pyramid of IOUs per ounce for it.

Let's see if the metals can keep the move going higher.

Have a pleasant evening.







SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Sixteen Tons


Election and geo-political jitters still had stocks slump for yet another day as even a largely dovish sounding statement from the FOMC could not cheer the markets.

The selling is starting to look a little overdone for the short term, and VIX seems a bit 'peaky.'

Facebook beat their numbers after the bell. And the market greeted the news with yawns, focusing on one of the mobile numbers apparently.

Fitbit posted a big loss and lower guidance, and the stock was being monkey-hammered after hours.

Let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.