17 December 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Ice Storm - Quiet Trading Day


"Demagogues are willing to do or say anything to gain office or to consolidate their power.  Unconstrained by ideology, they have no concern for the consequences of their actions.  Anything that serves to make them more powerful is good enough for them — even if the political system that facilitated their rise should be destroyed in the process.

This, rather than some deep similarity to fascism, also explains the affinity between demagogues and political violence.  True fascists venerate violence but also want to make it serve a purpose larger than themselves, like territorial conquest.  Demagogues, on the other hand, tap into the most violent currents in a population simply to bolster their own popularity.

In the process, they often unleash lethal damage.  They wreck the informal rules of civility that democracies require to survive.  Once voters are activated along violent lines and fervently believe the myths propagated by the demagogue, the dam is broken;  the ordinary rules of democratic politics no longer apply, and there is no telling what might come next."

Daniel Ziblatt


"The inability to identify with others was unquestionably the most important psychological condition for the fact that something like Auschwitz could have occurred in the midst of more or less civilized and innocent people.  What is called 'fellow traveling' [collaboration] was primarily business interest: one pursues one’s own advantage before all else and, simply not to endanger oneself, does not talk too much. That is a general law of the status quo."

Theodor Adorno


"I will not bow, and God grant that we will never bow, before the gods of evil."

Martin Luther King, But If Not

Here are the charts for today.

There will be a fairly important stock options expiration on Friday.

This is driving much of the short term action in a lightly traded, pre-holiday week.

That, and the billions and billions in cheap money that the Fed is giving in bundles to the Wall Street Banks.

Sociopaths like to imagine themselves as powerful, inspiring fear in others.  They practice outrageous behaviour, to intimidate and shame others.  They often seek power in the world of money, for example, having a taste for crime which makes them feel special and privileged, but not for actual violence of the hardened criminal.

They may offer quite a show on the surface, effecting the loud and effusive manner of the rough and tough.  But inside are half-formed and emotionally stunted people who lash out at others for the emptiness and pain that they feel life has given to them.   They may become increasingly paranoid and prone to uncontrollable acting out as their tall tales and grand visions of themselves unravel.

And these are the people who too drive the management and shape the formation of our public principles.   This is why the rule of law is paramount, and why no one can be allowed to rise above it.

This is the Achilles heel of unrestrainged free market capitalism which assumes that everyone is rational and virtuous.  What a fatal error! Especially in a system that appeals to atomizing motives such as selfishness and greed, and seeks to reward and empower the worst in us.

Have a pleasant evening.




16 December 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Greatest Show on Earth - Stock Option Expiration on Friday


"O, for a muse of fire, that would ascend
The brightest heaven of invention,
A kingdom for a stage, princes to act
And monarchs to behold the swelling scene!"

William Shakespeare, Prologue, Henry V


"Since God has accepted you to be among the holy people that He loves, you must clothe yourselves with tender mercy, kindness, humility, gentleness, and patience. Make allowances for each other’s faults, and forgive anyone who offends you. Remember, the Lord forgave you, so you must also forgive others.

Above all, clothe yourselves with love, which brings us all together in harmony. And let the peace of the Lord rule in your hearts. For as members of one body you are called to live in peace. And always be thankful."

Col 3:12-15

Stocks were on a pre-holiday tear higher today, starting in the late hours last night.

The Fed is filling the stockings of Wall Street with bundles of easy money.

Gold and silver were up slightly and the dollar closed a bit lower.

The fantastic, every-retreating trade deal remains tantalizingly on the keyboard of Twitter Trumpolini.

There is a fairly important stock market option expiration on Friday.

Shenanigans are already well underway.

The weather here is rather rotten with freezing rain and icing moving in with the afternoon commute.

A good opportunity to make some bone broth soup.   I use a method of my own, but it is similar to this.

And a happy birthday to Ludwig von Beethoven.

Have a pleasant evening.



15 December 2019

Christmas: Do Not Be Afraid


“Do not be afraid; for behold, I proclaim to you good news of great joy for all.  For today in the city of David a savior has been born for you who is Messiah and Lord.  And this will be the sign—  you will find an infant, wrapped in swaddling clothes, lying in a manger.”

And suddenly there was a multitude of the heavenly host with the angel, praising God and saying:
“Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace to those of good will.”

Luke 2:10-14


"Fear not; for I am with you: be not dismayed; for I am your God.   I will strengthen you;  yes, I will help you;  yes, I will uphold you with the right hand of my righteousness."

Isaiah 41:10



13 December 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Dead Reckonings


“What shall I say about this generation?  John the Baptist did not drink wine, and often went without food, and you called him mad.  And I, the Messiah, both eat and drink, and you say that I am a glutton and a drunk, and am friends with the worst sort of sinners.   The truth of you will be known by your works.*

Matt 11:16-19


"An old woman came down this way,
She had no bread left to eat they say,
The bread was gobbled by the corporate men,
And she fell in the gutter in the cold and rain,
And was never hungry again."

Bertolt Brecht, Liturgie vom Hauch, 1927


There are those contentious and disorderly people, who engage in useless speculation and deceptive talk, and focus on divisive points of dispute... All things are good to the pure of heart, but to these corrupt and disbelieving controversialists nothing can be good, since both their minds and and their hearts are corrupted. They may say that they know God, but by their actions they deny Him, being corrupt and disobedient, and of no use for any good purpose."

Titus 1:10,15-16


"How terrible it will be for those who call evil good and good evil, who substitute darkness for light and light for darkness, who substitute what is bitter for what is sweet and what is sweet for what is bitter!"

Isaiah 5:20

There will be the December stock option expiration next week.

Stocks popped intraday on the news of the 'trade deal' with China, and then sold back off after it was revealed to be less of thing that represented, repeatedly. Sell the hype.

Gold and silver moved back higher, as the Banks seemed to falter a bit in their short selling campaign.

Gold in particular is coiled, and if it breaks out, may rise quickly with a great deal of energy.

Ordinary people do not easily lie about significant things, directly and openly; they are not so bold and brazen. They do at least know shame.

But they so often are tempted to repeat and pass around the lies of others, often notorious liars, saying, 'who can know what is truth? I am merely passing this along. Make up your own mind.'

They do it because it pleases the darkness of their soul, to spread these falsehoods, to satisfy their anger and bitterness.  And they pass along things that are so shockingly false and mean-spirited,  even to their own friends and children, that they are like a slow poison for innocent minds. And they think themselves blameless because they did not say it, or strike the blow with their own hands!

There was an ostentatiously observant man who did this sort of thing to win some senseless religious argument that he kept raising.  And when called on the blatant use of an obvious falsehood he said, 'what is truth?'  

He quoted Pilate, with the words with which the Roman procurator condemned the very truth itself.  For the sake of some petty point of religion!  This is where the overly sly use of deceptiveness leads us.  It corrupts our very judgement and perception. 

Do not allow yourself to be given over to this sort of temptation and deceptive wickedness.  If we could see some of the things we do through God's eyes we would hide yourselves in shame.

Remember to feed the least of His creatures, the birds and the animals. And be mindful of the hearts of those you meet, encouraging them with a kindness and a smile.

Have a pleasant weekend.